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Potential large EC storm/Heavy LES March 11-13th


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12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Hrrr is improved compared to 12z for CNY..

sn10_acc.us_ne - 2022-03-11T154817.744.png

sn10_acc.us_ne - 2022-03-11T154837.986.png

The orientation of the precip is bent more northerly, north of Long Island. Look at ME for example. Wondering if this will phase more than models are thinking. 

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That area enhancing over Ontario should slide towards BUF a little after sunset tonight.  Feeling our window to achieve will be from 7pm on until early morning Saturday.  Really going to depend where that enhanced area wants to setup and persist the longest and how efficiently accumulation can begin at lower elevations near the lakes.  Maybe we can sneak out some juicy meso bands later tonight. 

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Per usual, here in the stupid heatropolis of Sizzlesaharacuse the temp jumped about 5 degrees to 50 degrees the second the wind turned from the blistering South. The snow will be melting from beneath the whole time it falls. Then the rest of it will melt quickly as the crocuses come out when we overperform into the 60s next week.

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1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

Overperformer on tap for WNY?  Just throw that out there looking at moderate snow currently falling, juicy radar downstream, and an incoming front booster approaching from the west. 

It looks really good. Thinking easy 6-7” here based on radar. Need a little over 7” to get to 100” on the year 

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38 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Think it’s time for last Jeb walk of the year. Heavy stuff about to move through. 

dont look all that impressive here out the window... but like you said probably the last one of the year, might as well grab a beer and go for a stroll.

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