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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Thread


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Good observation about Lamoni storms.....

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
523 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2022  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES  HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN LUCAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA...  
  EASTERN DECATUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA...  
  NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA...  
  SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA...  
  
* UNTIL 600 PM CST.  
      
* AT 522 PM CST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF CORYDON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45  
  MPH.  
  
  THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS   
           MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE   
           HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
           BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
           DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  
  
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
  CHARITON.  

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4 minutes ago, Indystorm said:

Tor watch now issued for north central MO as well until 9 p.m.  Kinematics over thermo today.

Ugh. Really thought there were some kinematic issues too (unidirectional winds above 850mb) that would prevent long-lived supercellular mode. If not for that I would have gone.

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2 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Ugh. Really thought there were some kinematic issues too (unidirectional winds above 850mb) that would prevent long-lived supercellular mode. If not for that I would have gone.

From now on, just go out and play every early season threat.

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01Z SPC outlook expanded the enhanced risk for wind into more of far SW/SC WI as well as NW/NC IL. The long-lived tornadic cell already appears to be shrinking/disorganizing a little bit due to sunset. The MS River can act as a brick wall for severe convection even into late May, so we'll see.

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It is roaring pretty good outside, so those well-mixed low levels means temps not likely to drop off too much more prior to the line passage later.  As mentioned above, risk areas expanded east on new outlook.  

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01Z SPC outlook expanded the enhanced risk for wind into more of far SW/SC WI as well as NW/NC IL. The long-lived tornadic cell already appears to be shrinking/disorganizing a little bit due to sunset. The MS River can act as a brick wall for severe convection even into late May, so we'll see.

Seems fairly overzealous, given the environment ahead of the activity will be trending downward the next several hours.
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Here is another radar frame of a confirmed tornado (I believe) from several hours ago, 545pm eastern time. I sometimes wonder what exactly is happening as the base velocity 1+2 levels pick up various high velocities.

eHRHIuA.jpg

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Well that was impressive to say the least.  Easily the best storm since the derecho in '20.  Can't tell for sure how high they got due to heavy rain and it being night, but weather station 5ft off the ground hit 64mph, so guessing we had 70+mph winds.  The roar reminded me of the derecho.  Wow.

MV enhanced for sure there…
70727314850434d7c15e50cc1a6f0541.jpg


.
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Power went out here as thunderstorm moved in, not sure if it was a bit of mixing down or high synoptic winds earlier created something for the rain to take advantage of.

 

Bit of thunder but not much. Oil lamps are something not many have or appreciate anymore. Glad I have a few.

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