Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I’m already at 24 ugh. Up to 21 here. Was hoping the clouds would cap the temp...but no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 31 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Reading conflicting reports from our friends to the south. One poster near Charlotte said the event outperformed guidance overnight, someone from Richmond said what was to be about 3-4 hours of snow lasted less than 1 hour before the flip. Charlotte is much further inland than Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Bolded is an important point but not much to explain why Wxbell is higher than TT at the transition zone other than individual algorithms on each suite. Wxbell is the only map I can find that has York City over 4" using 12Z GFS data. Not saying Pivotal is right but Wxbell should not be higher than TT with the same data. Yea I”m not sure, could be a difference in whatever algorithms they use to generate the p-type too. Because WeatherBell’s winter conditional QPF are all separated now, there isn’t anything lumped with snow accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 we often see some over running precip as storms come up but so far not seeing any break out sadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 17 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 MA ob's reporting little to no virga though its drier here so may be a bit before ground flakes when it gets up this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: MA ob's reporting little to no virga though its drier here so may be a bit before ground flakes when it gets up this far. I think the radar looks good. 3 start time still looking good 16/7. NE winds around 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 20 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Charlotte is much further inland than Richmond. And it's further inland than Marysville. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I think the radar looks good. 3 start time still looking good 16/7. NE winds around 5 It looks great. Still hoping for 4" though not sure how much will be gone tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 any chance with dewpoints so low we can get a bit of cooling or at least hold serve with temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Ruin said: any chance with dewpoints so low we can get a bit of cooling or at least hold serve with temps? Mt Joy gave a good wet bulb temp earlier. I am hoping for 1-2 degree drop. Its only 22 here still. Holding pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Mt Joy gave a good wet bulb temp earlier. I am hoping for 1-2 degree drop. Its only 22 here still. Holding pretty good. damn I never understood how sometimes with a very low dp precip starts almost right away other times its hours and hours of Virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: Current obs: Clouded up here. It’ll be interesting to watch the wind and barometer as this storm comes up tonight/tomorrow. Also still pretty dry here with the dew point below zero. Nice weather machine mag ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Now that it's overcast here, it has that "snow look" of an impending storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Snow will arrive first in Franklin & Adams Co.'s around 2:30-3 p.m. & overspread Lancaster & Lebanon Co.'s btw. ~ 3:30 & 4:30 p.m. A changeover to sleet will occur from south-to-north across the Valley btw. ~ 8 & 10 p.m., with a transition to plain rain btw. ~ 11 p.m. & midnight. - MU this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Now that it's overcast here, it has that "snow look" of an impending storm. It has regressed a degree here with no precip I can see as of yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Low is moving from around Atalanta toward the coast (now in central SC) and pressure is dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Snow will arrive first in Franklin & Adams Co.'s around 2:30-3 p.m. & overspread Lancaster & Lebanon Co.'s btw. ~ 3:30 & 4:30 p.m. A changeover to sleet will occur from south-to-north across the Valley btw. ~ 8 & 10 p.m., with a transition to plain rain btw. ~ 11 p.m. & midnight. - MU this afternoon That would still be ~ 6 hours of snow with the depict. even at 1/2" an hour, we are plus 3! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: It has regressed a degree here with no precip I can see as of yet. Several mPings for snow/grapple showing up west of Breezewood with some good returns on radar and moving up towards Altoona. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That would still be ~ 6 hours of snow with the depict. even at 1/2" an hour, we are plus 3! I still think I'll end up right around 2" and MDT comes in under 3". Hope I'm wrong, won't have to wait much longer for my wrongness to be verified. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Inland low stronger atm @ 998 Is that good or bad thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Dropped from 21 to 17 now as the temps and DP meet and the virga should soon be seen through my window :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, paweather5 said: Is that good or bad thing? I think it is a good thing for this situation....usually a bad thing though. LOL. If the coastal were going to move Northeast it would be a very bad thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Dropped from 21 to 17 now as the temps and DP meet and the virga should soon be seen through my window :-) That's great for you! I'm still climbing fairly rapidly despite the overcast...up to 24.3 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 And flakes are flying in Rou'ville. 17/13. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: That's great for you! I'm still climbing fairly rapidly despite the overcast...up to 24.3 here. Surprised we lost 4 degrees. Was thinking 1-2. Won't help 850 but may portend to more frz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 Terrible holding call against Kelce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Surprised we lost 4 degrees. Was thinking 1-2. Won't help 850 but may portend to more frz. Definitely. I was just checking cams on 81 down through VA - holy crap is it dumping down near Charlottesville and especially down close to Roanoke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: And flakes are flying in Rou'ville. 17/13. Bring it home my friend. You've relentlessly followed this for the past 72 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Dropped from 21 to 17 now as the temps and DP meet and the virga should soon be seen through my window :-) how long did it take a hour or 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now