Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 The other thing the nam does is put our NC friends back into the snow game. I love when there is a NC to northeast beatdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Icon is off the southern Ga coast at hour 90. Hmm. Defintely something to watch now. Could be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The low should ride the boundary. The boundary is not in the middle of CTP as some of the Ops have shown over the last day. NAM looking good for sure...but before we start getting to chirpy...That HP to the north likely scoots and doesnt anchor, so that boundary will likely erode some, but yeah, verbatim an inland runner would hopefully be lower probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Germans have it a bit south. look at 540's. I dare say that this might be a good one incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Nice se shift and weaker. Yea, the UL map at 99 looks great so this could be huge but also very close to losing a capture. All the "door are closed for big snow " posts just took a beating (MA) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Didnt they cancel the storm They canceled and closed the doors. A day or two before they also canceled it due to the snoozer eps and euro runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Lol crybabies in MA will likely get what they’re looking for. This thing is gonna be wayyyy south of where it’s been modeled, that kinda cold isn’t going to lose the battle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Holy!!!! The icon surface is a cashtown crusher.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Icon = vollständige zerstörung Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 wowzers. It's all about trends...until they go the wrong way....right. Gonna sleep on this and dream a little dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, losetoa6 said: Front end beat down per icon And checkout the HUGE deform just west of Hagerstown i81 I am on my phone so may it is a Greencastle crusher. That it was a tad east at first glance. Soon........18Z jma or 18Z nam. Who gets the credit for leading this charge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 41 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: That's "push it south" kind of cold. Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nice icon run. Very acceptable to me While often discounted...when it shows continuity....we take. Gnight all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Methinks this GFS is gonna be pretty, pretty, pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, canderson said: Methinks this GFS is gonna be pretty, pretty, pretty good It's not the jma or nam with low position but defintely a step south and going to snow a lot. Still has the 850 punching warm air up into western PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It's not the jma or nam with low position but defintely a step south and going to snow a lot. Still has the 850 punching warm air up into western PA. Huh it is headed wayyy northwest wtf it’s like it goes south of Atlanta and says naw I wanna go see Toledo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, canderson said: Huh it is heard wayyy northwest wtf It is south at first but still punches into PA at 99 with taint in the lsv. Much faster start to the snow vs the icon with the low at a higher latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: It is south at first but still punches into PA at 99 with taint in the lsv. Much faster start to the snow vs the icon with the low at a higher latitude. GFS will not budge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 The further north and west part is when it retrograde west along the M/D line post 99. Ccb up into the GL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The further north and west part is when it retrograde west along the M/D line post 99. Ccb up into the GL! Seriously congrats Ohio - some on this forum get extremely little snow it appears from this run. edit: actually a bit better but nothing major. It just sits over Harrisburg and spins. Sting winds without the really good stuff - joy! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: Seriously congrats Ohio - some on this forum get extremely little snow it appears from this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Seriously congrats Ohio - some on this forum get extremely little snow it appears from this run. edit: actually a bit better but nothing major. It just sits over Harrisburg and spins. Sting winds without the really good stuff - joy! lol It snows a lot just a tad west of the LSV. It was much better in many aspects until the 90-99 time frame where it went back to its North West drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 For us out this way, this is like the absolute dream track on the GFS. It is a dream though because for me in 20 years of watching weather models and seeing tracks like this pop up it has never once verified. A true apps runner seems to be the rarest storm path out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Looks like big windmaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 That run isn’t even an apps runner though is it? Could be up an Ohio blizzard and a dry LSV with they low jumping so far NW? Just a weird trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: Looks like big windmaker Do you have the windmap or anyone for that matter? It isn't often we see a 985 MB low get that close to us here in WPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: For us out this way, this is like the absolute dream track on the GFS. It is a dream though because for me in 20 years of watching weather models and seeing tracks like this pop up it has never once verified. A true apps runner seems to be the rarest storm path out there. I agree on a rare track. Lots of moving parts. Things will still be changing on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, canderson said: That run isn’t even an apps runner though is it? Could be up an Ohio blizzard and a dry LSV with they low jumping so far NW? Just a weird trajectory. That is why I expect either a correction east or west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It snows a lot just a tad west of the LSV. It was much better in many aspects until the 90-99 time frame where it went back to its North West drive. Would you happen to have wind panels from around the 100-105 timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, KPITSnow said: That is why I expect either a correction east or west. I would be very surprised west. But no hard feelings from most if you get heavy snow. Tracking is fun. The 850 low punching warm air up into the far south corner of PA was a warning sign I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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