WinterWolf Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh so now you’re a qpf queen after making fun of people all winter about it? Lol...he’s banking on the Euro I guess. NWS latest map is 6-8 with pockets of 8-12. If that’s a snooze fest, I’m a lil baffled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 This is a very minor event in my area. Have fun southerners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I honestly have no idea what you’re talking about or doing. You’re in probably the best spot. 1” per hour plus tomorrow night into Friday. I think you’re trolling but who knows. You’ll easily pull over 10” with the OES I'm not trolling. I don't get my rocks off over 6" in 36 hrs this time of year. At least how it looks now. Hopefully it trends better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm not trolling. I don't get my rocks off over 6" in 36 hrs this time of year. At least how it looks now. Hopefully it trends better. You are doing everything you hate about this place. Mehing a snowstorm, using qpf on an off hour run of one model to make a forecast, talking about sun angles and how it won’t stick, not appreciating snow.. the list goes on. Take a look in mirror 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You are doing everything you hate about this place. Mehing a snowstorm, using qpf on an off hour run of one model to make a forecast, talking about sun angles and how it won’t stick, not appreciating snow.. the list goes on. Take a look in mirror And it's all true. I don't wishcast. I'm just going by how things look now. Maybe it trends better. But the whole thing looks pretty uninspiring. Only think exciting is NJ and NYC for the thump. Probably into SW CT. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: SE ridge is strong. Watch Euro at 6z to confirm pumps bumping Breaks on the pumps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And it's all true. I don't wishcast. I'm just going by how things look now. Maybe it trends better. But the whole thing looks pretty uninspiring. Only think exciting is NJ and NYC for the thump. Probably into SW CT. Then please don’t post if you’re gonna bring everyone down because it’s not a blockbuster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And it's all true. I don't wishcast. I'm just going by how things look now. Maybe it trends better. But the whole thing looks pretty uninspiring. Only think exciting is NJ and NYC for the thump. Probably into SW CT. We have to wonder if the Euro is right. Everything else is more stout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Then please don’t post if you’re gonna bring everyone down . Seriously Just unicorns and snow ponies. Gotcha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Breaks on the pumps Off hour run. If 12z does the same then we can join Scooters it’s not going to snow train . They’re also replacing this current Euro. Everything else came north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 From Walt Drag thread. Interesting that the 20% odds go so far north. I guess there is an outside shot that part 2 develops. Not likely but a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Three Euro runs in a row showing something like that. Needs to be considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I’m not really finding that I should believe the euro any more than other models lately. Just look at this last storm as an example when the euro kept hanging on to heavier snow amounts further north for days despite others backing off. It didn’t back off till the last really 24 to 36 hours. And that’s certainly not the first time this year that it’s really just been bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: We have to wonder if the Euro is right. Everything else is more stout There are two things to watch. Thump and CCB. The thump probably has a better likelihood of ticking north? However that s/w is farther west. You'd want that east to help maximize forcing. The CCB is due to the s/w trying to curl up. The problem is that the mechanics probably only allow for it to happen in a limited way. As of now, it may not be enough. So yeah, things could look better, but I'm not sure why people are all offended by how things look and how I report it. I don't make the weather lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I will take 2-4” any day over sleet, ZR, and 35F rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, mahk_webstah said: I’m not really finding that I should believe the euro any more than other models lately. Just look at this last storm as an example when the euro kept hanging on to heavier snow amounts further north for days despite others backing off. It didn’t back off till the last really 24 to 36 hours. And that’s certainly not the first time this year that it’s really just been bad. I think Brian said a million time to toss the snow algorithms there and there is likely a sneaky warm layer. So the euro likely was right, but we cannot get soundings like we can for the NAM and GFS to truly show the profile of the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: There are two things to watch. Thump and CCB. The thump probably has a better likelihood of ticking north? However that s/w is farther west. You'd want that east to help maximize forcing. The CCB is due to the s/w trying to curl up. The problem is that the mechanics probably only allow for it to happen in a limited way. As of now, it may not be enough. So yeah, things could look better, but I'm not sure why people are all offended by how things look and how I report it. I don't make the weather lol. People? Or person? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think Brian said a million time to toss the snow algorithms there and there is likely a sneaky warm layer. So the euro likely was right, but we cannot get soundings like we can for the NAM and GFS to truly show the profile of the atmosphere. Yes we can get Euro soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: People? Or person? There are a few apparently. If people want me to run around naked in the streets for 6" of snow over 36 hrs, they should ask someone else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Everything sucks . 10” of snow in late Feb blows. Wet roads even at night .Meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I will take 2-4” any day over sleet, ZR, and 35F rain any days though Me too...it's a lot better than going virtually snowless for nearly 6 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes we can get Euro soundings 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s in the 10-14” zone There is no 10-14 zone... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, JoeSnowBOS said: There is no 10-14 zone... There will be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol...he’s banking on the Euro I guess. NWS latest map is 6-8 with pockets of 8-12. If that’s a snooze fest, I’m a lil baffled? NWS snow maps are unreliable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There will be lol where?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think Brian said a million time to toss the snow algorithms there and there is likely a sneaky warm layer. So the euro likely was right, but we cannot get soundings like we can for the NAM and GFS to truly show the profile of the atmosphere. Well obviously he should’ve said it 1,000,001 times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I can't stand navigating that site. I mean a nice quick point and click deal from a deterministic model. Some sites have that, but they don't have a ton of vertical layers. So in other words, they use smoothing or have a jagged look to them and can miss finer details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Well obviously he should’ve said it 1,000,001 times! I just feel like people bash the euro because of the lack of data we can see. I've seen many say it gave too much snow, but in reality...if we did see a sneaky warm layer, it would be easier to dismiss the clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Anyone else have Ray’s NARCAN weenie maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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