rochesterdave Posted January 16 Whiteface getting crushed: https://whiteface.com/mountain/webcams/ Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 16 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: It get's really cold on GFS. The dam has to break at some point, right? Between last January and this one BUF has had 5 days where the high has been below 32 degrees. That’s 41 out of the last 47 January days above freezing! Ouch! Impressive actually in a dark humor kind of way for winter enthusiasts. Really hope the extended cold showing up in the models holds. Those are my personal favorite patterns. Doesn’t need to snow every day but we don’t have to stress about melting and cutters after a nice snowfall. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Whiteface getting crushed: https://whiteface.com/mountain/webcams/ So jealous! Kicking myself for not heading up there for the long weekend. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 I’ll go first 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16 Just now, Buffalo Bumble said: So jealous! Kicking myself for not heading up there for the long weekend. My friends went up to Killington for the weekend. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 Oh boy PW went on us lol No more 240 hr limit WRT the clown map.. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 Maybe para was on to something 1 2 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16 Told ya'll its coming 1 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16 Canadian looks good just SE of here Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CNY_WX Posted January 16 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Dark Followed by increasing light. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
TugHillMatt Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Maybe para was on to something Divide those numbers by 2, add 5 inches to that number, subtract 10 for bad snow growth, add 15 for fluff factor, subtract 20 for winds blowing it to China, then add 20 using the weenieism method and multiply that with .75 for the realist effect = total snowfall. 2 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 To bad it's the HRRR, with it's single band embedded in the wrap around moisture.. Yet we see like 0.10" of precip with 6 hrs of snow lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16 41 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Seriously I’m not seeing that much snow for northern Erie Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Told ya'll its coming That you did. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 Tuh region is blossoming Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 Something here doesn't add up lol 35+ dbz and hardly any precipitation but 1+ inch an hour for areas with less DBZ values.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 6 hours of 25-35 DBZ equals 0.10" lol Maybe reflectivity is off or precipitation amounts lol Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 6 hours of 25-35 DBZ equals 0.10" lol Maybe reflectivity is off or precipitation amounts lol P-type issues? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: P-type issues? Nahh brother..Only looking at total precipitation..Not R,/S.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Forecast low is 32/33 ratios going to suck for sure.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 Gotcha. I think your set. Don’t over analyze. Should be a tic north like it always is. Gas up the blower. I think upslope over performs this afternoon into tonight. And then the true LES kicks in. Take pics. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 European is setting up something day 9-10 as well.. Going to be a transfer situation verbatim.. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 For the European, we take.. Next 6+ Days.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cny rider Posted January 16 48 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: That you did. Totals seem kind of low though.....barely a measly 50 inches here. We should bump those up. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wolfie09 Posted January 16 Looks reasonable.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WNash Posted January 16 2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Divide those numbers by 2, add 5 inches to that number, subtract 10 for bad snow growth, add 15 for fluff factor, subtract 20 for winds blowing it to China, then add 20 using the weenieism method and multiply that with .75 for the realist effect = total snowfall. From now on I will only use the Mattchera algorithm for snowfall totals 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: European is setting up something day 9-10 as well.. Going to be a transfer situation verbatim.. Yes this “could” be something to watch,..or disappear completely like a plane in the Bermuda Triangle... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rochesterdave Posted January 16 Whiteface is just getting crushed! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
