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BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

It get's really cold on GFS.

850th.conus.png

The dam has to break at some point, right?  Between last January and this one BUF has had 5 days where the high has been below 32 degrees. That’s 41 out of the last 47 January days above freezing!  Ouch!  Impressive actually in a dark humor kind of way for winter enthusiasts. 

Really hope the extended cold showing up in the models holds. Those are my personal favorite patterns. Doesn’t need to snow every day but we don’t have to stress about melting and cutters after a nice snowfall. 

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15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Maybe para was on to something;)

snku_acc.us_ne (58).png

Divide those numbers by 2, add 5 inches to that number, subtract 10 for bad snow growth, add 15 for fluff factor,  subtract 20 for winds blowing it to China, then add 20 using the weenieism method and multiply that with .75 for the realist effect = total snowfall.

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48 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

That you did. 

Totals seem kind of low though.....barely a measly 50 inches here.

We should bump those up.

 

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2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Divide those numbers by 2, add 5 inches to that number, subtract 10 for bad snow growth, add 15 for fluff factor,  subtract 20 for winds blowing it to China, then add 20 using the weenieism method and multiply that with .75 for the realist effect = total snowfall.

From now on I will only use the Mattchera algorithm for snowfall totals

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17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

European is setting up something day 9-10 as well.. Going to be a transfer situation verbatim..

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus (42).png

Yes this “could” be something to watch,..or disappear completely like a plane in the Bermuda Triangle...

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