LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: That cell in the LHV could hit the eastern parts of the city if it holds together we had a brief period of moderate rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, dWave said: The worst of that t storm missed to my west and SW but i got a rainbow. Over E Tremont Av in Parkchester this is the second double rainbow in two days that I've missed out on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 15 minutes ago, bluewave said: Many people in this part of the country have never experienced hail before. So they just associate anything frozen falling from the sky with winter. Plus they don’t follow the weather as closely as we do. cant hail occur with winter storms too? I remember it being mentioned here before...specifically with coastal storms that develop rapidly along the warm gulf stream waters and have convection associated with them. Weak tornadoes can occur with such storms too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, weathermedic said: Numerous trees and wires down throughout western and southern Brooklyn went to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 47 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: That was crazy. I haven’t seen hail like that in about 10 years golf ball sized? 1.8"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, bluewave said: Many people in this part of the country have never experienced hail before. So they just associate anything frozen falling from the sky with winter. Plus they don’t follow the weather as closely as we do. Sorry but it really goes to show you how lacking our education system is in the sciences. They don't teach weather like they used to. I remember have discussions in grade school about the different types of precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Hail core over Prospect Park thats where I grew up, I wonder how big it got and how long it lasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Whiteout? Is it snowing? H+++++++++ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: 34 minutes ago, weathermedic said: Numerous trees and wires down throughout western and southern Brooklyn 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: went to my west It was a pretty hard hitter. Good thing the newly planted trees looked to have survived Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: golf ball sized? 1.8"? Nah more like nickel sized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Sorry but it really goes to show you how lacking our education system is in the sciences. They don't teach weather like they used to. I remember have discussions in grade school about the different types of precipitation. it isn't that cut and dry..... I remember it being mentioned here before...specifically with coastal storms that develop rapidly along the warm gulf stream waters and have convection associated with them, small hail can occur. Weak tornadoes can occur with such storms too. One winter storm that comes to mind that had small hail and even a waterspout just off the south shore was the late Jan 2011 storm at the beginning of its second phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jacob brooklyn said: It was a pretty hard hitter. Good thing the newly planted trees looked to have survived how long did it last? I read back and it sounds like the hail lasted for 10 min and the storm itself went on for about half an hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 2 hours ago, bluewave said: First June since 2009 with no 90 degree days at JFK. The 89 today was the high for the month. Very few warm offshore flow days with the onshore flow dominating. Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jun Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 2020 89 1 2019 91 0 2018 91 0 2017 94 0 2016 92 0 2015 90 0 2014 91 0 2013 91 0 2012 97 0 2011 93 0 2010 98 0 2009 83 0 think we hit 90 here on Friday or it waits until next week, Chris? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: how long did it last? I read back and it sounds like the hail lasted for 10 min and the storm itself went on for about half an hour? I didn't post the video. But By me it lasted a good 20 minutes. Wind swept rain. No hail. A lot of small and some large branches down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: how long did it last? I read back and it sounds like the hail lasted for 10 min and the storm itself went on for about half an hour? in my area of manhattan it lasted that long and hail for 10 minutes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 So many boundary interactions. One of the coolest radar grabs Ive seen in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 6/29 ACY: 92 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 TTN: 90 JFK: 89 New Brnswk: 89 TEB: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 87 NYC: 87 ISP: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 Rainfall from the storm for official sites. NYC: 0.58 LGA: 0.07 JFK: 0.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 Just now, SACRUS said: Rainfall from the storm for official sites. NYC: 0.58 LGA: 0.07 JFK: 0.02 I expect we will do better in the next two days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 After 7/3 which may be the hottest day of the season so far, the period 7/6 - 7/11 looking more likely first widespread strong heat and heatwave potential. ECM gets 850 tems >19C several times. A bit out there nd need to watch if the seasonal trend is fleeting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 12 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I expect we will do better in the next two days Totally agree and Wed could be more widespread. Looking north at what ME, NH and VT had today is where the ULL will pivot south to over our area by Tue overnight into Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: After 7/3 which may be the hottest day of the season so far, the period 7/6 - 7/11 looking more likely first widespread strong heat and heatwave potential. ECM gets 850 tems >19C several times. A bit out there nd need to watch if the seasonal trend is fleeting. s0 7/3 should be low 90s for everyone? I wonder if we will get the torch we did last July (it happened later in the month last year), we were tantalizingly close to 100 (99 twice!) with heat indices at record levels, near 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 Just now, LibertyBell said: s0 7/3 should be low 90s for everyone? I wonder if we will get the torch we did last July (it happened later in the month last year), we were tantalizingly close to 100 (99 twice!) with heat indices at record levels, near 120. Max temp at EWR/LGA is 93 and 90 NYC , 89 JFK so far, and Fri looks to match or exceed that as it looks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 A strong thunderstorm passed to the south and west of Larchmont bringing hail to parts of New York City while grazing Larchmont. In its wake, there was a double rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 Don that second pic is fantastic. Print it and frame it. I got .03 and now it's beautiful. See what y'all can do about keeping the bulk of the wetness away from me for the next few days, send it all up to JC, he needs it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 A severe thunderstorm with hail moved through parts of New York City early this evening. Parts of the region could again see some locally strong to severe thunderstorms tomorrow. A predominantly warmer than normal pattern will likely persist through at least July and August, paving the way for a warmer than normal summer throughout the region. Occasional short-lived cool shots remain possible Initially, extreme heat is unlikely, but that could change during July, especially if the emerging drought continues to deepen. One or more heatwaves are likely in July across the region. The CFSv2, which has now moved into its skillful range for its monthly forecasts, and the EPS weeklies favor a warmer than normal July across the region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around June 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.37°C. Neutral-cool conditions will likely prevail through mid-summer. The probability of the development of a La Niña event during late summer or early autumn has increased in recent weeks. The SOI was +4.43. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.607. On June 28, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.305 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.464. Last year, the MJO went through a very strong passage through Phase 1 during the closing days of May. About four weeks later, a warmer than normal pattern locked in and predominated through early autumn. This year, the MJO was in Phase 1 for 3 consecutive days with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during the June 1-3 period. Since 1981, there were four such cases that saw the MJO meet or exceed those thresholds during the June 1-10 period: 2002, 2006, 2007, and 2015. While the four cases were evenly split between cooler and warmer than normal during the second half of June, 3 of those 4 cases saw a warmer to much warmer than normal July. This could be an early indication that a summer that will start with near normal temperatures overall (June) could turn warmer than normal afterward. Last year, the SOI fell to -42.04 on June 22 when the MJO was in Phase 6. This year, the SOI plunged below -46.68 on June 5, its lowest level in more than three years. The dramatic plunge in the SOI could be the proverbial spark that kicks off a sequence of events leading to the development of a sustained warmer than normal period. Taking into consideration the MJO, that transition could begin some time during the closing 10 days of June. Further, the cases that saw both the MJO and SOI thresholds satisfied generally saw 10-20 days where the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City. Just as had been the case last year, July and August could feature warm anomalies in the East. July-August 2019 saw 13 days on which the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June. June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.7°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 69 mph gust at breezy point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: A strong thunderstorm passed to the south and west of Larchmont bringing hail to parts of New York City while grazing Larchmont. In its wake, there was a double rainbow. The bottom image is postcard worthy (whoever is into those, haha). I mean that is a perfect shot! It would go on the front of a devotional book or something...awesome! (did you take this shot?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 21 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: The bottom image is postcard worthy (whoever is into those, haha). I mean that is a perfect shot! It would go on the front of a devotional book or something...awesome! (did you take this shot?) Thanks for the kind words. Yes. I took both photos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted June 30, 2020 Share Posted June 30, 2020 On 6/28/2020 at 1:37 PM, psv88 said: Rain shot our dew up to 77. A steamy 81/77 now under blazing sun. After seeing how full everything was outside I estimate about an inch, consistent with radar That's about an inch more than we got. Same today. Watched storms spiraling down from CT and hitting a wall over the sound. Then when we decided it was safe to have dinner outside, it rained on us lightly (but enough to get us wet) for 10 minutes while we had blue sky overhead. If I had a tenth of an inch of rain for everytime I heard thunder the past couple of weeks we'd have drowned, but instead we've a trace to show for it. Sometimes you're a Louisville slugger, sometimes you're the ball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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