Fear and loathing April, 2020 discussion, obs, and the occasional derailment

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Installs!! 

Heat has been on for a couple of days now. Too bad those dews come with 2 inches of rain. Rivers came way up last rain. Night crawlers everywhere.  Big trout time before the rain Easter Sunday 

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Anyone else have dreams of a high risk last night? 

No but I did dream getting risky with Amber Heard

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Heat has been on for a couple of days now. Too bad those dews come with 2 inches of rain. Rivers came way up last rain. Night crawlers everywhere.  Big trout time before the rain Easter Sunday 

Those dews may help with wind damage. Less inversion 

[CoastalWx]

Yeah could see some damage Monday. 

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those dews may help with wind damage. Less inversion 

I thought you said Ryan was meh? Cold ocean direct flow seems to be an issue with that wind direction.  Dews are only near 50 in that Brian post

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I thought you said Ryan was meh? Cold ocean direct flow seems to be an issue with that wind direction.  Dews are only near 50 in that Brian post

Daytime heating helps. Won’t take much to mix a few hundred feet. 

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

No but I did dream getting risky with Amber Heard

sounds like a high risk to me  

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Daytime heating helps. Won’t take much to mix a few hundred feet. 

I was thinking of starting a thread for Monday but the only thing I don't like is the best forcing/dynamics kinda become a bit displaced and remain well west. But that doesn't mean we won't see isolated cells capable of some damage. Hell...GON gusted to like 61 the other day with that convection

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

I was thinking of starting a thread for Monday but the only thing I don't like is the best forcing/dynamics kinda become a bit displaced and remain well west. But that doesn't mean we won't see isolated cells capable of some damage. Hell...GON gusted to like 61 the other day with that convection

I was thinking more synoptic. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I was thinking more synoptic. 

ahhh gotcha...yeah I agree

[CoastalWx]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

ahhh gotcha...yeah I agree

It does look like thunder is a good possibility with elevated CAPE.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It does look like thunder is a good possibility with elevated CAPE.

both NAM and GFS pretty aggressive with elevated CAPE. I could see a severe threat getting perhaps into Fairfiled County CT. I even think a small tornado threat could develop across parts of PA/NJ. Could be wild across the mid-Atlantic Monday morning. 

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

both NAM and GFS pretty aggressive with elevated CAPE. I could see a severe threat getting perhaps into Fairfiled County CT. I even think a small tornado threat could develop across parts of PA/NJ. Could be wild across the mid-Atlantic Monday morning. 

National looks crazy but it seems these underperform and the low risks overpreform 

[weatherwiz]

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

National looks crazy but it seems these underperform and the low risks overpreform 

I think tomorrow will be a big day but I am a little concerned with the lack of a stronger EML/CAP in the warm sector and there could be a quite a bit of cloud cover. I think the overall tornado potential could be mitigated a bit.  

[CoastalWx]

Looks like next week may be further offshore on the EPS.

[Ginx snewx]

Geez the wind is crazy again today. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Geez the wind is crazy again today. 

Blows

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Blows

That what a 958 storm will do for days and days of wind. 

[powderfreak]

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

That what a 958 storm will do for days and days of wind. 

Yeah, still getting -SN up here too thanks to that wind hitting the mtns. 

Days and days of snow.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah, still getting -SN up here too thanks to that wind hitting the mtns. 

Days and days of snow.

Wait thought the dog had his last days of laying in the snow already .....

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Wait thought the dog had his last days of laying in the snow already .....

Yeah she did, until last night's surprise. 

Maybe today she'll have the last roll, ha.

Once the Upslope Machine is turned on, it's hard to completely shut it down.

[CoastalWx]

Wind isn’t too bad, but annoying. Temps in upper 40s. 

[Lava Rock]

Frcst fail. 45f and partly sunny turned into sn shwrs and 36.9f

[CoastalWx]

It’s nice down here. Almost 50.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like next week may be further offshore on the EPS.

Ya we will punt that anomalous trough 

OTS 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya we will punt that anomalous trough 

OTS 

Go figure because it’s cold enough. The trough ain’t going anywhere.

[HalloweenGale]

51 here in West Dennis. Scattered cumulus.

[MJO812]

40 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya we will punt that anomalous trough 

OTS 

Most likely because the cutter shifted east bringing he trough more east.  Cant win.

[alex]

Social distancing, Bretton Woods style 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Wind isn’t too bad, but annoying. Temps in upper 40s. 

Wow its cranking here