• Member Statistics

    15,773
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    mansour
    Newest Member
    mansour
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
weatherwiz

Wednesday, February 26, 2020 (overnight into Thursday) Low Topped Convection Potential

Recommended Posts

11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

 

well now I am in the same boat as everyone else with calling for the fake winter threats that never transpired. 

Except we know 24 hrs out that it's a fail. First tstm fail down, many more to come. 

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Except we know 24 hrs out that it's a fail. First tstm fail down, many more to come. 

you are such a weenie deflater 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

darn, failed a February threat

When we really get into summer and start forecasting convection 5-6 days out at least we know that will happen and pan out. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

When we really get into summer and start forecasting convection 5-6 days out at least we know that will happen and pan out. 

yeah most of the time, anyway. Heh. I'm just happy we are making baby steps to comfortable, outdoorsy weather. Convective fun is still a ways off..besides your chase

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
56 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

This is the most depressing winter thread ever.

What total joke this thread was...I mean really???  This is the first I’ve been here...glad I only wasted 30 seconds on this.  Wiz looking for a rumble of thunder in February, lol. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

What total joke this thread was...I mean really???  This is the first I’ve been here...glad I only wasted 30 seconds on this.  Wiz looking for a rumble of thunder in February, lol. 

Certainly was a joke...just like the hundreds of posts throughout the winter stating "winter is coming", "changes are coming", "there's our pattern change at day 10". Same too about posts about a big cold shot first week of March. . 

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Certainly was a joke...just like the hundreds of posts throughout the winter stating "winter is coming", "changes are coming", "there's our pattern change at day 10". Same too about posts about a big cold shot first week of March. . 

image.png.184d7db6f6a348a1c5156a24ab40420b.png

  • Like 1
  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
38 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Certainly was a joke...just like the hundreds of posts throughout the winter stating "winter is coming", "changes are coming", "there's our pattern change at day 10". Same too about posts about a big cold shot first week of March. . 

Only posts like that made a month out naturally won’t always verify. Apples to oranges when a thread fails two days out.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Only posts like that made a month out naturally won’t always verify. Apples to oranges when a thread fails two days out.

ehhh it's all in good fun and jabbing. 

I kinda jumped the gun on this...overlooked (or well didn't look) a few things which if I had I probably wouldn't have made this thread. I focused too much on dynamics/lapse rates and didn't even bother to look at theta-e/llvl moisture. 

but it's also the tone of things...I like sticking my head out and trying to make actual forecasts/calls and get away from the notion of "if this happens then this will result". I notice that quite a bit on twitter and I think those posts put the wrong ideas in peoples head. It's not the person's fault who is putting forth the information though...it's how the information is being perceived.  

Even the past month with all these "signals" on the EPS about changes...were those changes really of any merit? When you take into account the structure hemispheric pattern that has been place I don't think any of them ever did. The biggest thing (in my mind was) a lack of a mechanism to disrupt this pattern/circulation to make such changes go through.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

If anything this was good practice for the season. Gotta shake off the forecasting rust. 

You should of had all the ‘nothing happening’ forecasting practice over the fall and winter. 

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

wow, the trolling and sardonic bitterness is real from some. Chin up, positive vibes, friends.

  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.