• Member Statistics

    15,845
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ianspace
    Newest Member
    ianspace
    Joined
mackerel_sky

2/8/2020 Snow Event

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

you know there is wwa all around Asheville and Buncombe County,  I would think looking at the future radar for tomorrow we would also be under the wwa.  looks good for Buncombe according to that. 

I'm not a mountain expert. But I think the trajectory with this storm creates  downsloping in the Asheville area. As such, they don't get much appreciable precip.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the in-house CJ model has updated on the news and now keeps the R/S line a good 20 miles south of i-85 for duration of the storm. Previous run had it just along 85.

  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
42 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Latest HRR at the end of its run, juicy...:weenie: valid for 10am Saturday morning. Gainesville is gonna get plastered!

Screen Shot 2020-02-07 at 5.23.12 PM.png

That has my entire county in yellows which I'm guessing is snow with more streaming in from the SW! IF something like that were to happen the dynamic cooling from the heavier snow would most certainly allow temps to drop to at least freezing. Soooo nice to look at but I'll take whatever I can get.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

GEFS has increased for like the 5th or 6th run in a row now. 

If I were you(given how this winter has been), I would be like a kid in a candy store right now. You will most likely get plastered. What's your elevation up there?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

the in-house CJ model has updated on the news and now keeps the R/S line a good 20 miles south of i-85 for duration of the storm. Previous run had it just along 85.

Just saw that and lasts till about 4 ish! Colder temps and more precip! I thought I was hallucinating!

  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Lookout said:

I dont agree with this. Temps should be at or even below freezing around Gainesville for a good portion of the event. Temps will already be 32 to 34 at onset  with wetbulbs around 30 12z to 14z..and with steady precip temps wont move much. 

Take it with a grain of salt but its Interesting to note the hrrr and 3km nam have narrow areas as high as 0.40 to 0.45 on the 18z runs. Would be something if that planned out. 

I'm not sure if this will have eventual consequences in the morning but my temp never got above about 37 today with cloudy skies and right now at sunset it's starting to clear out and I'm down to 35. Maybe that will mean colder tonight as clouds move in and warm us up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, ATLMet84 said:

If I were you(given how this winter has been), I would be like a kid in a candy store right now. You will most likely get plastered. What's your elevation up there?

I definitely am. This is all I had hoped for out of February, just a well timed wave within a short window of cold temps. My house sits at around 2400. I think the counties to my SW (Lumpkin, Pickens, Dawson, etc) may end up doing a bit better just because of earlier onset and better orientation for upslope enhancement. But I'll be happy if I can get at least 2 inches. Still will be below seasonal average, but it sure helps take the sting out of it. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

I definitely am. This is all I had hoped for out of February, just a well timed wave within a short window of cold temps. My house sits at around 2400. I think the counties to my SW (Lumpkin, Pickens, Dawson, etc) may end up doing a bit better just because of earlier onset and better orientation for upslope enhancement. But I'll be happy if I can get at least 2 inches. Still will be below seasonal average, but it sure helps take the sting out of it. 

Well even if they get more to your SW along the higher ridgeline, you're still sitting VERY pretty up there with that much elevation. I'm only at 1200' down here so my "saving grace" will be early timing. I will be happy with a solid dusting. I'm sure due south of you in the lower elevations of Habersham Co. will have significantly lower totals and will melt early. Would be an interesting drive to see.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said:

You know to get the heaviest snow, you’ve got to be able to smell the rain!

I'm in Jackson county, GA, right on the edge of  Hall county. Looks like I'm right on the edge of the heavier precip, hoping its more snow than rain

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, ST21 said:

I'm in Jackson county, GA, right on the edge of  Hall county. Looks like I'm right on the edge of the heavier precip, hoping its more snow than rain

I'm keeping my fingers crossed for all of us in North GA. Hopefully you get accumulation too. Got any elevation over there?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

It’s already 38 here! Winds ripping out of the w/sw, surprised we can get cold air with that trajectory 

I'm on a ridge but already down to 32.6. Valleys are down below freezing with all night to drop as clouds have cleared. If winds die down, temps will drop well into the 20s. Temps can only recover so much from a cold night with clouds moving back in. Oh the hopes of snow for tomorrow morning. I'm giddy! :thumbsup:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
29 minutes ago, ATLMet84 said:

I'm keeping my fingers crossed for all of us in North GA. Hopefully you get accumulation too. Got any elevation over there?

Not sure how high elevation I am honestly

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, ST21 said:

Not sure how high elevation I am honestly

1217’ is the elevation listed for Cumming.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, jburns said:

1217’ is the elevation listed for Cumming.

Sorry I moved this year. Haven't been on here in a couple years. But I'm in Braselton, and if I'm reading this right, I'm at 900 ft

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

Even the high end forecast from GSP looks pretty meager. We must really be wishcasting this one or something.

Looks good to me:lmao: 

refcmp.us_ma.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said:

Looks good to me:lmao: 

refcmp.us_ma.png

I will be ecstatic if that kinda radar comes to fruition! Can you say huge wet flakes?! What time is that for?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I will be ecstatic if that kinda radar comes to fruition! Can you say huge wet flakes?!

Last week I was under bands like shown here. Super big ole flakes! It was awesome.
Here’s to someone getting raked!


.
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Extreme NEGA said:

00Z NAM gives us the goods

sn10_acc.us_ma.png

That shows me with about 3.5". I don't expect that but would love every second of it!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.