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NYCSNOWMAN2020

WINTER 2019/2020 BANTER

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59 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

St Patricks Day parade in NYC cancelled

First time it's been postponed in 258 years.

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1 hour ago, Nibor said:

First time it's been postponed in 258 years.

Interesting, so it was still held during the Spanish Flu outbreak?

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43 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

No politics. 

Apologies. You’re right; just got caught up in everything going on. Will stick to the weather on here going forward.

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3 hours ago, matt9503 said:

Apologies. You’re right; just got caught up in everything going on. Will stick to the weather on here going forward.

All good, just am intimately familiar with where the convo will end up here lol

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17 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Looks like they will suspend the rest of spring training starting today.

we may not have any sporting events for like 2 months!

I am going by China where they were in bad shape for 7 weeks before things started to improve.

 

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50 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

All good, just am intimately familiar with where the convo will end up here lol

No doubt. It gets ugly quick.

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46 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Looks like they will suspend the rest of spring training starting today.

From MLBTR 

12:15pm: Passan tweets that in the wake of a conference call with Manfred, MLB ownership groups are expecting not only the suspension of Spring Training games but also a delay to the start of the regular season.

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14 minutes ago, yoda said:

From MLBTR 

12:15pm: Passan tweets that in the wake of a conference call with Manfred, MLB ownership groups are expecting not only the suspension of Spring Training games but also a delay to the start of the regular season.

Opening day in May?

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9 hours ago, BxEngine said:

All good, just am intimately familiar with where the convo will end up here lol

Usually ends up in a bunch of lies and stupidity 

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10 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Looks like they will suspend the rest of spring training starting today.

Ah thank God that’s like the worst sport lol

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20 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Opening day in May?

At least the weather will be better than their money grabbing March opening's.

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14 hours ago, Rjay said:

Usually ends up in a bunch of lies and stupidity 

I was talking about politics but if you want to discuss the weather posts too thats fine. :guitar:

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On ‎2‎/‎17‎/‎2020 at 8:00 PM, donsutherland1 said:

It should be noted that 1960 was experiencing strong blocking at this time and that blocking would continue into March at which time the blizzard took place. In contrast, the AO is at extreme positive values and may approach or reach the record set earlier this month in coming days. Unlike in 1960, the cold is far less expansive in the Northern Hemisphere. Even if a mechanism to bring it into the CONUS and then hold it there were available, which seems unlikely, one would not be dealing with the kind of widespread cold that defined March 1960 in the CONUS.

February-1960-February-2020.jpg

Here's how things progressed in 1960:

Feb-Mar-1960.jpg

None of the guidance shows cold of the expanse and magnitude shown during the second half of February, much less over a two week period.

At this point, especially with the current pattern and forecast ensembles, calls for extreme cold on a scale of March 1960 should be viewed with a great deal of skepticism. Extremes, by definition, are low probability events. When no clear variables for producing them are currently visible or available in the guidance, their absence should raise significant "red flags."

 

As noted on February 17:

None of the guidance shows cold of the expanse and magnitude shown during the second half of February, much less over a two week period.

At this point, especially with the current pattern and forecast ensembles, calls for extreme cold on a scale of March 1960 should be viewed with a great deal of skepticism. Extremes, by definition, are low probability events. When no clear variables for producing them are currently visible or available in the guidance, their absence should raise significant "red flags."

Here is the final outcome:

March-1960-March-2020-Final.jpg

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