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Carvers Gap

Winter Observations '19-20

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Going to get this loaded and on-deck for observations for December, January, and February.  Specific events will likely have their own observation threads.  This thread is for the time in between events.  Winter is coming!  In honor of the last Skywalker movie...

sOix3Fo.jpg

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First official winter observation:

Thunder rolling on the plateau. The most thunder I've heard in a while. Some rolling for over a minute. 

starts about 10 seconds in, would have recorded longer but my wife interrupted my weather geek out

Edit, as the storm gets closer, it has the most vivid lightning I've seen while in Morgan county.

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16 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

First official winter observation:

Thunder rolling on the plateau. The most thunder I've heard in a while. Some rolling for over a minute. 

starts about 10 seconds in, would have recorded longer but my wife interrupted my weather geek out

Edit, as the storm gets closer, it has the most vivid lightning I've seen while in Morgan county.

Ha Ha..You know its been sad when you get excited to hear a rumble of thunder,i was like this, this afternoon when i heard about 5 rumbles

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Just now, Carvers Gap said:

All of Neyland in the tunnels, folks.  Doesn’t get much better than that.  LOL.

Nothing worse than watching a football game in the rain,even with a poncho it's not very enjoyable to me.Went to a Jaguars game several years ago and it was raining so hard with some wind it was blowing sideways thanks to the St.Johns river,where our seats were it was blowing right in our face

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30 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

Nothing worse than watching a football game in the rain,even with a poncho it's not very enjoyable to me.Went to a Jaguars game several years ago and it was raining so hard with some wind it was blowing sideways thanks to the St.Johns river,where our seats were it was blowing right in our face

Man, bought some seats in the dry.  Pays to be an AmWx regular.  As soon as you all starting talking about this weekend, I knew I was going to buy them in the dry.  

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Had a pretty good storm here too about 30min ago. Kinda caught me off guard a little bit. My son and I were out scouting some land a friend of ours owns. I noticed it was getting mighty dark, I just figured it was about to rain soon, when all of a sudden I saw a flash of lightning and asked him, was that lightning. Sure enough it was! There were several more intense flashes, and then the bottom fell out for a few minutes. Still getting moderate rain. 

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1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

This is a fun system for sure. Nice squall line in middle TN now heading this way. Maybe it will surprise with the NW flow tomorrow night too!

We got some wind and very little convection

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Quite a bit of thunder and just drenching rain today and currently. I am about to cross 75 inches on the year and will soon break the yearly record imby for the last 100 years, though that record was set last year. Amazing that we had one solid month of drought in the middle of it.

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Picked up 2.26in of rain for the total from this event. Way more than it first appeared would fall. This system was definitely an overproducer!

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4 hours ago, Jed33 said:

Picked up 2.26in of rain for the total from this event. Way more than it first appeared would fall. This system was definitely an overproducer!

Was a pretty sketchy drive back from Knoxville last night as moderate rain feel most of the trip home.  We fortunately hit a nice seam where only light rain was falling at one point.  Lots of ponding water on the roadway.  Creeks are full this morning.  Pretty amazing the difference in the weather pattern from several weeks ago...seems to be no problem with nice rain totals now.  Reminds me of last winter and spring.  Just turn on the fire hose.

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The oddity continues(probably coincidence)...and the 12z suite being cooler continues as the GEFS is quite a bit cooler IMHO over the lower 48 for the last half of the run.

edit:  I wouldn't say yet that it has broken with its recent continuity for d8-15, but its run-to-run change when compared to the 6z GEFS is pretty remarkable as it places more of a trough in the eastern half of the US.

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Not surprised the OPs are flopping around so much..with such a large spread in all the teleconnections in LR modeling, hopefully we can start narrowing the spread soon. Right now I would just go with climo and enso as a base until it's sorted out some lol.

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You can tell this is northern stream and not southern stream energy. Winds are N at 12 and another bit of precip just came through as a mix of rain and snow at 40 degrees. Last event it had to get to 34 to change over due to the S flow.

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Currently getting some snow actually mixed in with the rain at the house. 10min ago I was sitting at 44 degrees dewpoint 31. I got up to go grab a drink of water and noticed it was 41, so I figured something must be falling. Looked outside and noticed it was mostly rain, but there were a few snow grains hitting the glass picnic table and melting. 

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Lookout Mountain and Signal Mountain saw a dusting of snow this morning. Just rain in Chattanooga proper. Anybody surprised? Didn't think so.

The only snowflakes I think I'll see this December (East Brainerd area) are the cheesy lights hanging on my house, lol!

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