• Member Statistics

    15,690
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    BillDodson
    Newest Member
    BillDodson
    Joined
Tyler Penland

2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.

Recommended Posts

13 hours ago, WarmNose said:

Just looking at slope cams, it looks like Beech and Sugar are running those snow guns full throttle. Should be a great head start on the ski season 

Sugar Mtn was looking kind of pathetic yesterday afternoon on the webcams and had one slope open.  Back open to the top now; I'll be hitting (hopefully not too literally) the slopes later this week for the second time this season.

  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
42 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

Sure does look like it's over here.  Clouds are breaking and the wind died off.  After all of that snow blowing around who knows how much actually fell but I have at least 2" on the ground everywhere I've checked so that's what I'm going with for a measurement. 

 

Better than nothing.

Same here. Two inches max. I wonder what happened with this system and why the forecasts busted so bad. It'll be interesting see the post event analysis from the experts on this one. But, for all I know it might pick back up this afternoon and we get plastered.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, SnoJoe said:

Same here. Two inches max. I wonder what happened with this system and why the forecasts busted so bad. It'll be interesting see the post event analysis from the experts on this one. But, for all I know it might pick back up this afternoon and we get plastered.

I saw someone on social media say they received 4" in Burnsville.  Unless they're in the area of the NW side of Mt. Mitchell I'm seriously doubting that.  

Back to flurries here.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just drove back to Deep Gap from work in Boone. There was more snow on the ground when I got to work this morning in Boone than there was when I left. Deep Gap barely has anything. My deck is white, and there are some patches of snow on the ground, but nothing like what I was expecting. It’s definitely cold enough for it to accumulate, and it did for a while, but it’s just not staying on the ground. 31° here in Deep Gap. We got a dusting at best, even in Boone. Better than nothing I guess.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

put this on the obs. thread too....

Still snowing up here ATM...temps dropping rapidly...I am guessing no school for the kiddos in NW NC tomorrow-as I predict a lot of freezing/re-freezing overnight as some snow still falls.

Winds are ripping

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Unless there is some 9th inning miracle I’m gonna have to chalk this one up as a major bust from the NW NC Mtns. It’s been a long while since we had a good NWFS that amounted to more than an inch or 2.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, AirNelson39 said:

Unless there is some 9th inning miracle I’m gonna have to chalk this one up as a major bust from the NW NC Mtns. It’s been a long while since we had a good NWFS that amounted to more than an inch or 2.

We had a lot fall up here near Meat Camp...maybe the ground was too warm and the fact that the wind kept blowing it around...most of the snow was flying horizontally during the day here, WCS 2-hour delay, everything is icing up here, so bet they cancel school for students tomorrow 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

KMRX Radar lighting up with NWF moisture. This ones been disappointing.. hoping for one last gasp with this backside flow that appears to be of true NW orientation.

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well that was pitiful compared to forecasts.The cold feels great when the wind dies down though. In other news, GFS has the first true gulf low on the 14th. Let's see what the magic 8 ball has in store for mid month.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

Anyone see the latest GFS and Euro runs? It’s time to get into tracking mode. We have something.

We'll see. These long range massive ice storms usually fizzle out or turn into big cutters.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still got roughly 8-10 days before potential system #1 is here. The storm signal itself is there on all models, location and upper level stuff is of course different at this stage. But I'd be surprised if we made it to Christmas and didn't get a nice little storm.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

i'm discrediting the GFS currently as it doesn't even know where to send next week's storm yet, but the Euro is still close to something big, and the 0z run still has a good changeover to heavy snow as the system departs, still not out of this one yet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Sw NC weather said:

Yes, with the secondary low forming in the gulf, it definitely has potential.

all we would've needed is for the HP to slow down 12 hours... that would have been a monster run for the mountains if it did. Nice and cold leading up to it with a solid CAD.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Southern stream is so active and appears that’s not gonna change anytime soon, just a matter of timing and we will get crushed this winter. GFS has another big system moving in around 18th/19th. Would be a nice 10 year anniversary lol 

411D1E05-6E58-4E25-B6D9-9D21BBB2432E.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, HKY18 said:

Southern stream is so active and appears that’s not gonna change anytime soon, just a matter of timing and we will get crushed this winter. GFS has another big system moving in around 18th/19th. Would be a nice 10 year anniversary lol 

411D1E05-6E58-4E25-B6D9-9D21BBB2432E.gif

Now you've got my hopes up for an 09-10 redux.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am interested in the possibility for a wintry mix around WNC on Wednesday Night/Thursday morning.  It all depends on timing with the first wave that moves in from the southern stream.  6z GFS is much more progressive with the wave, allowing the moisture to move in quickly while a +1040mb high retreats to the NE.  Euro's temp profile is very similar to the GFS but it is much slower with the initial wave.  A weak low like the GFS shows would have a small warm nose and with it running into such a strong high, the CAD could be substantial.  The next two days of model runs it will be crucial to focus on timing.  The ridging in the Atlantic is something you really like to see though and all long range models are showing it.  Should be a fun month of tracking systems.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Hvward said:

I am interested in the possibility for a wintry mix around WNC on Wednesday Night/Thursday morning.  It all depends on timing with the first wave that moves in from the southern stream.  6z GFS is much more progressive with the wave, allowing the moisture to move in quickly while a +1040mb high retreats to the NE.  Euro's temp profile is very similar to the GFS but it is much slower with the initial wave.  A weak low like the GFS shows would have a small warm nose and with it running into such a strong high, the CAD could be substantial.  The next two days of model runs it will be crucial to focus on timing.  The ridging in the Atlantic is something you really like to see though and all long range models are showing it.  Should be a fun month of tracking systems.

Originally the euro showed winter storm, the timing of the high pressure was better for weekend wave. Now we have to hope GFS has right idea of keying on the weak s/w before next weekends rainstorm. all a matter of timing precip with optimal CAD config.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...