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July 2019 General Discussion

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I'm not a fan of the once-a-week one-and-done rain chance pattern.  For the last month, our one significant rain event occurred on a day when I wasn't expecting anything.  All the marginal fropa rain chances have been duds.  Once again last night I only picked up 0.21".

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HRRRRRR has indicated a few cells might try to pop nearly overhead around midday, so we have a slight chance at some rain before the next stretch of dryness begins.  Vis shows some convective looking cu from extreme northwest IL into the nose of Iowa, so I guess we'll keep an eye on that lol.

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5 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Picked up 0.02" early this morning.  That brings us up to 0.64" for July. 

Wow, I didn't realize it has gotten that dry in northwest Illinois / eastern Iowa area. Farther south in the lower OV, it has been hit or miss this month. Louisville is officially sitting at just 0.99" for the month, which if it holds, will tie for the 5th driest July on record. Meanwhile, other areas of the state have seen nearly double the average for July. Crazy.

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Had my first notable rain event in 3 weeks today. High pressure parks over the region for the next week, looks like a nice week. 
 

Seriously can’t believe Thursday is August 1st. 

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3 hours ago, ovweather said:

Wow, I didn't realize it has gotten that dry in northwest Illinois / eastern Iowa area. Farther south in the lower OV, it has been hit or miss this month. Louisville is officially sitting at just 0.99" for the month, which if it holds, will tie for the 5th driest July on record. Meanwhile, other areas of the state have seen nearly double the average for July. Crazy.

Yeah just 0.06" in the past 3 1/2 weeks.  It's funny since back in June we were screaming for it to stop raining so much, as this area was a swamp for months.  Well I guess we got what we wished for lol.

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INL dropped to 37 this morning.  This broke the daily record of 38, set in 1898 (!).  Normal low for July 30th is 53. It was a "perfect storm" of conditions...cloudy all day yesterday with temps in the mid 60s until sunset, then it cleared out with light winds and temps dropped quickly.

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12Z Euro shows a trace to a few tenths for most of the DVN over the next 10 days.  Also shows the heat returning this weekend and next week.  Not as intense as last week's heatwave, but more 90+ in the offing.  Saw somewhere that there was a cool pattern coming up for the start of August, but that looks like it may be incorrect if the Euro is correct.  AFA the GFS, I don't even bother looking at that anymore lol.

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Really starting to get concerned with drought prospects around here after our dry July and likely dry start to August. Probably going to see a rather rapid expansion of D0 and maybe introduction of D1 for some.

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It was a great July, very sunny and minimal rain for me. I had 3 t-storms none of which were even remotely impressive.

On 7/31/2019 at 4:07 PM, cyclone77 said:

AFA the GFS, I don't even bother looking at that anymore lol.

I stopped a little over a year ago.

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12Z Euro shows a trace to a few tenths for most of the DVN over the next 10 days.  Also shows the heat returning this weekend and next week.  Not as intense as last week's heatwave, but more 90+ in the offing.  Saw somewhere that there was a cool pattern coming up for the start of August, but that looks like it may be incorrect if the Euro is correct.  AFA the GFS, I don't even bother looking at that anymore lol.

GFS performance overall has been better than the Euro for a while now.


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