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Kmlwx

2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

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Later tonight might look linear, but the low level jet will really ramp up, and there could be embedded tornadoes in lines. We are not accustomed to dealing with that scenario in this region.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

TW just outside of CHO left to expire. While I'm listing storms to watch, the one outside Lake Monticello has space to work and some low-level rotation.

That's my cell to watch.  If there's one that could overperform...it's that or the chesterfield storm.

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

That's my cell to watch.  If there's one that could overperform...it's that or the chesterfield storm.

The Chesterfield storm is heading for the southern Maryland magnet. And it certainly has parameter space all to it's self for a while.

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FDK storm rotation is actually over New Market it appears.

Might have hit Urbana and Ijamsville if anything touched the ground.

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2 minutes ago, Amped said:

FDK storm rotation is actually over New Market it appears.

Might have hit Urbana and Ijamsville if anything touched the ground.

That is what I was thinking. Apparently the part of the cell that was rotating went over my neighborhood from what I can tell. 

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For the 2nd batch tonight, you need to look towards SW VA or S-Central WV.  If that line goes boom and you start seeing a ton of reports coming out of it then we're set for an interesting night. 

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4 minutes ago, SilentTalkie said:

Out in Crozet... nothing came to pass with the tornado warning. Just a light shower. 

1.52 inches of rain just over Afton mt from Crozet at the edge of  Waynesboro, very little thunder despite being near the tornado warning.... some brief winds...

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Storm along frederick/moco boundary and in Loudoun County trying to go spinny?

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Storm along frederick/moco boundary and in Loudoun County trying to go spinny?

Both have some beautiful hooks but haven't been able to put it together for whatever reason.

TW for storm N of Roanoke, that's downstream of me again. Maybe I can hear some thunder this time.

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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Both have some beautiful hooks but haven't been able to put it together for whatever reason.

TW for storm N of Roanoke, that's downstream of me again. Maybe I can hear some thunder this time.

Just not enough instability to get the rotations to stick. It's <800j/kg regionwide.  Probably the only thing preventing a boom scenario.

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Just not enough instability to get the rotations to stick. It's <800j/kg regionwide.  Probably the only thing preventing a boom scenario.

It might in a lil while when the LLJ strengthens some more across the region and when the CF gets closer

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3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Rotation south of New Windsor has looked interesting for a little while.

I'm surpassed it isn't TOR wanted...tight rotation....perhaps a  small CC drop?

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3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Rotation south of New Windsor has looked interesting for a little while.

It really has. Just looked at the last few frames. That one could definitely pop briefly.

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I don't get it should have been warned long ago

 

edit: 

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
731 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2019  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...  
  NORTHWESTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...  
  
* UNTIL 815 PM EDT.  
      
* AT 731 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED OVER WESTMINSTER, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
  

 

 

 

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