Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Whiplash of emotions up in here GFS hates SNE. Consistently wants to blowtorch them. Dont know that it's right but I've seen that play out countless times in the 2 decades I lived there. Not exactly uncharted territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 So have I! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Close to 3 for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Left when I was 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS does not usually have a NW bias. Not in my poor memory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, rochesterdave said: GFS does not usually have a NW bias. Not in my poor memory. I could be in correct but I thought it actually had a SE bias. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 No respectable new yorker lives in boston 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: I could be in correct but I thought it actually had a SE bias. I always remember a SE bias during winter months for EC LP back in my OSU days. Not sure if they've 'corrected' for that by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Busy day at work just catching up, what did I miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Storm Cancel, Euro horrible 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Busy day at work just catching up, what did I miss? Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS= SE Bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 15 minutes ago, Syrmax said: GFS hates SNE. Consistently wants to blowtorch them. Dont know that it's right but I've seen that play out countless times in the 2 decades I lived there. Not exactly uncharted territory. It doesnt know how to cad properly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I have no idea what happens on the euro between 96 and 120 hrs but it has a 998 mb slp over So. VA at 96 and GFS has 994 mb in exact same spot 6 hrs earlier, accounting for 18Z vs 12z time differences. By 120h Euro takes slp to Halifax while GFS is tucked inside that, from NYC to BOS to Eastport Maine track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 So I'd be more concerned bout mixing then I am about missing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Toss Euro for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: It doesnt know how to cad properly Not buying that for this event. It's an slp placement issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just saw EPS, surprised at how far SE they want after such great consistency. Still think WSW for us is in order. This also sets the stage for the next storm the farther SE this storm goes the better chance we are in the prime zone for next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Here was the 12z euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: Here was the 12z euro.. EC & Ukie swap?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still feel like tomorrow nights runs will give us a much clearer picture. Still to early for exacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 18z run should be out in an hr or two, hr 90 brings you to 12z sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Just saw EPS, surprised at how far SE they want after such great consistency. Still think WSW for us is in order. This also sets the stage for the next storm the farther SE this storm goes the better chance we are in the prime zone for next What does one have to do with the other in this case? I saw that logic used elsewhere with tomorrow evening's system and the weekend storm, which will barely be aboard West Coast as Thursday system swings thru here. Bigger issue is speed, rate of development and interaction w/ UL energy swinging/pivoting SE from Canada. IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 They look very much alike which is worrisome lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Not buying that for this event. It's an slp placement issue. Hmm yeah it does seem to be more wholly different. Gfs is faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Both models take the primary near WV then transfer off to the south and east.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Hmm yeah it does seem to be more wholly different. Gfs is faster. Agree that GFS isnt good with CAD but in this case it looks really tucked in. Dunno if that's right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ecmwf has more separation from the northern and southern stream at 72...the gfs has a more intense and negatively tilted southern stream shortwave. The ecmwf doesnt partially phase with the northern steam like the gfs does through 96. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 FV3 amped. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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