CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, swva said: Wondering if we even get hit with the band sweeping south. Latest discussion from kbuf says band will pull closer to coast as it drifts south. This has definitely been a huge let down.. still beautiful up here.. I guess I need to enjoy my cold and dry week now. That's not gonna happen till much much later SWVA. I wouldn't be concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Looks like KBGM seems a bit more confident n seeing at least a few inches. WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected late tonight to late Wednesday night. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. Very cold wind chills expected both tonight and Wednesday night. Expect wind chills to range from 5 below to 15 below zero tonight and 10 below to 20 below zero on Wednesday night. * WHERE...Onondaga County. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 1 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 9 PM this evening to noon EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for snow covered and slippery roads. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite and even hypothermia, especially Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 I don't know how believable this is as I have never seen this tool before but its from WPC/ looks overdone to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 26 minutes ago, Potvinsux said: Sorry to hijack the thread but I'm researching property to buy for best LE. It seems Worth, Lorraine, Boylston, Montague, Smartville are pretty good areas but I'm trying to find a topo map for the area you're suggesting. Do you have a specific town I can research with the elevation? Thanks! Nic Great screen name LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 16 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Looks like KBGM seems a bit more confident n seeing at least a few inches. WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected late tonight to late Wednesday night. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. Very cold wind chills expected both tonight and Wednesday night. Expect wind chills to range from 5 below to 15 below zero tonight and 10 below to 20 below zero on Wednesday night. * WHERE...Onondaga County. * WHEN...For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 1 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 9 PM this evening to noon EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for snow covered and slippery roads. The cold wind chills could cause frostbite and even hypothermia, especially Wednesday night. 3-5" Rinse and Repeat 4ever...;) look Ma, no models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: 3-5" Rinse and Repeat 4ever...;) look Ma, no models! Yeah quite common, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Yeah quite common, lol! Exactly what I was saying last night, early a.m. i didn't chase today. Looked too far north to bother with and not all that special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 looks like the radar won't be fixed till tomorrow the earliest and by Friday the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 The band is up in Watertown, lol, and they weren't even supposed to see a dusting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 9 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: looks like the radar won't be fixed till tomorrow the earliest and by Friday the latest. Sorry Just kidding.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Sorry Just kidding.... Thats a good pone, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Looks like it’s starting to drift south to me. Guess we will see what it’s going to do soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 I hiked Erie County Forest today in East Concord, far southern end of the county. Snow depth on the drive down the 219 was noticeably deep starting near the Boston/Hamburg Exit. Conditions turned squally at the Colden Exit, but no defined lake effect band for the rest of the drive down. The hike/snowshoeing was fantastic. Temp hovering around 10 degrees with passing squalls. Depth was surprisingly "only" about 18" for the first mile of the hike, heading south off Genesee Rd. But depth increased noticeably after crossing Dresser Creek, well over my knees/3' kind of depth. A real ball-buster breaking a trail through that to the endpoint of my hike at the Sardinia cabin (a rest stop along a snowmobile trail, complete with a picnic table and wood stove). I drove a few miles south after the hike around 3PM and hit what's left of the main band in Springville. About 1"/hr. rates at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 Hrrr keeps the band over Fulton all night, if we can score 20-1 ratios, could be a decent event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Hrrr keeps the band over Fulton all night, if we can score 20-1 ratios, could be a decent event.. With those temps in the lower single digits, I can't see them being anything less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 I have very light snow falling again. It will be interesting to see what it does. Local stations still saying 9-12”..hmm not buying it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted December 26, 2017 Share Posted December 26, 2017 9 minutes ago, swva said: I have very light snow falling again. It will be interesting to see what it does. Local stations still saying 9-12”..hmm not buying it yet I'm rooting for you big time, swva. Praying you're rewarded for your passion and patience! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 5 minutes ago, ncforecaster89 said: I'm rooting for you big time, swva. Praying you're rewarded for your passion and patience! Thanks!! I really can’t complain. We have probably had 17-18” from the storm. It unfortunately all fell before I got here or at least most of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 NEW YORK ...Cattaraugus County... Perrysburg 32.0 359 PM 12/26 Co-Op Observer ...Oswego County... 8 N Redfield 56.9 547 PM 12/26 Co-Op Observer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Moderate snow falling.. picked up a quick 0.5”.. hope it will last a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I might be a fool, and probably am, but it looks like a legit chance for the metro for LES either friday or saturday. Both models, goofus and euro have a northern stream low over michigan on friday and another one Saturday. KBUF mentions the Friday potential, but honestly the Saturday timeframe looks perfect for a 4 to 6 hour period ahead of the low. Its hard to get excited as most of whats been advertised has just disappeared. Maybe this will be legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: NEW YORK ...Cattaraugus County... Perrysburg 32.0 359 PM 12/26 Co-Op Observer ...Oswego County... 8 N Redfield 56.9 547 PM 12/26 Co-Op Observer Wow, very impressive! I need to set up camp in Perrysburg during one of these events. Never been...is there anything there other than a 4 corners?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 6 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Wow, very impressive! I need to set up camp in Perrysburg during one of these events. Never been...is there anything there other than a 4 corners?? Yup. They got a church and a general store and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 18 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I might be a fool, and probably am, but it looks like a legit chance for the metro for LES either friday or saturday. Both models, goofus and euro have a northern stream low over michigan on friday and another one Saturday. KBUF mentions the Friday potential, but honestly the Saturday timeframe looks perfect for a 4 to 6 hour period ahead of the low. Its hard to get excited as most of whats been advertised has just disappeared. Maybe this will be legit. I'm thinking we see more of a squall line. Kinda like we saw a couple weeks ago we're it setup over Ontario then blew through BUF with a quick 3-5" before flow goes quickly NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Yup. They got a church and a general store and that's it. Does anyone else feel like the snowbelts have shifted a bit? Growing up I always thought Mayville was the snowiest place in WNY...now its Perrysburg...the tug has always been the undisputed champ by LO but I feel like northern syracuse and oswego used to do much better than recent. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 20 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I might be a fool, and probably am, but it looks like a legit chance for the metro for LES either friday or saturday. Both models, goofus and euro have a northern stream low over michigan on friday and another one Saturday. KBUF mentions the Friday potential, but honestly the Saturday timeframe looks perfect for a 4 to 6 hour period ahead of the low. Its hard to get excited as most of whats been advertised has just disappeared. Maybe this will be legit. I’ll believe it after the band has already dropped 6”+ on my house. But you’re right...something to keep an eye on for that period. It would also be cool if some snow was flying during the USA v Canada outdoor hockey game on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Looks like a very small area of decent snow tonight, hrrr still trying to find it lol.. Last 2 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Obviously hrrr is on the right track, gonna be a close call for kfzy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 52 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Does anyone else feel like the snowbelts have shifted a bit? Growing up I always thought Mayville was the snowiest place in WNY...now its Perrysburg...the tug has always been the undisputed champ by LO but I feel like northern syracuse and oswego used to do much better than recent. Thoughts? I've been here 13 winters so not a long enough experience to tell if anything has shifted. To my eye...it hasn't. I'd have to see long term data, which probably isn't that reliable further back than about 20 years when spotter networks grew. It's variable year to year. I remember one winter where the Tug area did worse (or about same) than down this way (esp Fulton), but just once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Snowbelts don’t really change. Perrysburg, mayville, and south Dayton are snowiest places off erie. Redfield, Montague, and Copenhagen are top 3 for tug? The secondary belts of Springville, Boston, Colden can sometimes keep up with the southern tier belts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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