BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 It turned into tea kettle snows as the flow died, lol just typical, This event is toast! And you think you got it bad in West Seneca, yeah OK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 This was NOT a WNW flow event so I don't know why NWS keeps saying WNW flow, just stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 The band hits a wall as it hits the SE corner of the Lake, its hilarious watching it! I'll be surprised if it snows more than an 1" or so! Goodnight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 The South Shore will take whatever is left of this band, if you wanna call it, a band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Well...that was special! Dry arctic air doing it's dirty work. Fulton may scrape out an inch of almost tea kettle fluff but other than that... 0Z GFS is so suppressed thru 198 hrs the CONUS looks like the Gobi Desert. 540 line makes it down to No. FL. How much for JAX? LOL 0Z GEM looks similar but pops a gulf coast ice storm and then heads it out to nearly Bermuda but then magically pops a significant low near NYC at hr 198. Looks very bogus. Not a buyer. Gonna be a looooong and cold 10 days it appears. Maybe we can chase some snow down in Mississippi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Looked out 5 minutes ago to see the first quarter moon setting brightly in the west. I just looked out to see it obscured by clouds so at least the clouds are moving south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Moon's back out, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Yea just brutal. I said 2 days before the event that it was going to be mainly a tug event. However, I thought today and tomorrow would feature Fulton LES. There is still a chance, but this dry air is just brutal right now. Bad snow growth as well. UKMET has a decent lake enhanced event for metro buffalo. I value the Euro and UkMET almost equally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 10 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yea just brutal. I said 2 days before the event that it was going to be mainly a tug event. However, I thought today and tomorrow would feature Fulton LES. There is still a chance, but this dry air is just brutal right now. Bad snow growth as well. UKMET has a decent lake enhanced event for metro buffalo. I value the Euro and UkMET almost equally. Clippers are prob our best shot next couple of weeks. I guess I'll take a feed of 2-4" systems...until we get the next Lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yea just brutal. I said 2 days before the event that it was going to be mainly a tug event. However, I thought today and tomorrow would feature Fulton LES. There is still a chance, but this dry air is just brutal right now. Bad snow growth as well. UKMET has a decent lake enhanced event for metro buffalo. I value the Euro and UkMET almost equally. Its always a Tug Hill event, it doesn't matter, unless its a true NW wind event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 A 2000ft hill at the lee side of any large body of water will produce prolific snows, simple as that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 That's another reason the lift just drops off when it hits the Southern Tug hill, because it loses most of the orographic lift needed to support heavy snows, imo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Timelapse of Erie LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 18 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: A 2000ft hill at the lee side of any large body of water will produce prolific snows, simple as that! It's not even really a hill. It's more a low plateau. But enough elevation to create some lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Timelapse of Erie LES. Cool time lapse. I'll be the smart ass to point out that the fire hydrant lower left didn't even get covered in that clip. That's a funny looking 53"! Fakenews! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Ridge, Plateau, whatever you wanna call it bro. There could a NNW flow and it'll snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Ridge, Plateau, whatever you wanna call it bro. There could a NNW flow and it'll snow up there. New snowfall map for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Funny stuff, I'd love to know what their looking at, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Now to see if anything happens along the south shore. The bands over Georgian bay have oriented nw-se. Barre has been getting hit. Meso is evident also. It's nights/ mornings like this that anything is possible. It cant be forecast. A single streamer has been over Niagara for hours. It's so dry I'm surprised it's even showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 cluding the cities of Rochester and Newark 125 AM EST Wed Dec 27 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions...including the evening commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches are expected in the most persistent lake snows. IDK why, but Buf keeps upping the totals. Anymore and we enter warning territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 A fellow co worker who lives in Oswego said they picked up close to a foot in several hours..Looking at his vehicle, definitely believable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I think freak is sleeping through some heavy stuff in and around Fulton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Took only 4 hrs but snow has started lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Pouring snow right now, let’s see how long it last.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Latest from KBUF AFD, some interesting things and maybe they've learned their lesson on placement of LES over 72 hours in advance: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Oh and the last paragraph is terrible news for snow chances off lake erie. I don't think theres a chance the lake freezes, I think its a guarantee the lake freezes as the forecast doesnt get to 30 for 10 more days. We will have to nank on synoptic snows from this point forward and I dont generally like to hang my hat on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Radar looks like crap, rates look good, shows what ratios can do 4 you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Bro, I can see the stars where I am, lol! Congrats as at least your seeing some snow but the band in the last 10 minutes has taken a big move South so it'll be outta there in a few Wolfie but hopefully you can squeeze out a few real quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 There is -sn falling but its , like I said already, outta here before it even starts. Thats OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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