moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It's always encouraging when ALY hasn't dismisssed things. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS MODEL GUIDANCE STILL HAS A LOT OF SPREAD...THUS LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS FOR A POTENTIAL NOR`EASTER AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Sounds like a night time snowstorm for us I Would rather see it snowing heavy during the day. Really? I'm the total opposite, I LOVE watching snowfall at night, makes for a very beautiful sight and everything seems so relaxing and peaceful...the tranquil feeling is very soothing. Then every once in a while you hear a loud rumbling of a plow going by and it adds some extra "noise" to the background. Then having a full moon shinning brightly off the freshly covered snowpack...it's about as close to heaven as you can get to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Definitely, and the GFS ensembles from 0z indicated the trend west might happen. I expect it to continue through 12z by maybe another 50 miles or so. GFS ensembles mean from 0z already had 0.5 qpf here, and this is a bit west of that. What the hey--let's call it 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 It's always encouraging when ALY hasn't dismisssed things. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS MODEL GUIDANCE STILL HAS A LOT OF SPREAD...THUS LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS FOR A POTENTIAL NOR`EASTER AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK... As we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Sounds like a night time snowstorm for us I Would rather see it snowing heavy during the day. That's the weeniest comment ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I have to say what I'm most impressed about this storm is the central pressure as the thing passes near the Cape. The GFS is a bombing 966 as it approaches SE NE. We saw the Euro at 959mb. That's really really really impressive. I just did a double-take looking at the latest Euro. Rain for us(surprise )but the wind is apt to be approaching hurricane force out here. Better think about pulling the boat. The erosion has already been significant. It looks like we lose a few houses with this set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 I have to say what I'm most impressed about this storm is the central pressure as the thing passes near the Cape. The GFS is a bombing 966 as it approaches SE NE. We saw the Euro at 959mb. That's really really really impressive. What would translate to in terms of winds interior locales? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I just did a double-take looking at the latest Euro. Rain for us(surprise )but the wind is apt to be approaching hurricane force out here. Better think about pulling the boat. The erosion has already been significant. It looks like we lose a few houses with this set-up. There are very few sub-965mb KUs as they pass SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 What would translate to in terms of winds interior locales? Definitely gusts 40-50 mph...maybe even 50-60 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 As we thought I'm glad the EC has given up on the southern stall that had me worried yesterday. It's more progressive nature is a bit disconcerting as the GFS is a scraper for the western areas (hopefully shifting). But give me the EC as it is currently and I'll be a happy man. Still looks like some pretty steep qpf gradients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 What would translate to in terms of winds interior locales? Well if the Euro is right... I'd imagine like 45-50mph gusts possible inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well if the Euro is right... I'd imagine like 45-50mph gusts possible inland That'll be cool. Even if the qpf amounts are low, it will give the impression of more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 There are very few sub-965mb KUs as they pass SNE. Verbatum, what would the winds be with the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I've just sifted through the 26 pages of comments/images that were posted since I went to bed. I smiled. I grimaced. But, finally--here's one that gives a nice grin. Still concerned I'll be on the outside looking in. Appears to me that the correction vector at this point is east, not west. Hopefully will at least get a moderate snow and some wind in GC. The EC has come up north like I had hoped, but I'm bummed it's become so progressive. Yes, put me in the .5-.75 bracket. The past two runs have each come appreciably west. I'm looking for just a bit more at 0z. You're definitely a glass half empty kind of guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 06z ensembles just east of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It's always encouraging when ALY hasn't dismisssed things. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM AS MODEL GUIDANCE STILL HAS A LOT OF SPREAD...THUS LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS FOR A POTENTIAL NOR`EASTER AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK... sounds like BOX's AFD... Uncertainty and low confidence... When will these guys get this figured out? I mean c'mon its almost 2011 and they still can't get it figured out within 3 days? WOW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Verbatum, what would the winds be with the Euro? I don't have the Euro wind products. Scooter does though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well if the Euro is right... I'd imagine like 45-50mph gusts possible inland Gotta figure they'd issue blizzard warnings if that verified. I'd prefer no wind at all in a snowstorm actually so it doesn't blow all to hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 sounds like BOX's AFD... Uncertainty and low confidence... When will these guys get this figured out? I mean c'mon its almost 2011 and they still can't get it figured out within 3 days? WOW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 06z ensembles just east of the BM. A tick west of 00z. Looks nice, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Gotta figure they'd issue blizzard warnings if that verified. I'd prefer no wind at all in a snowstorm actually so it doesn't blow all to hell Yeah. I love wind in snowstorms.... so much more exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 sounds like BOX's AFD... Uncertainty and low confidence... When will these guys get this figured out? I mean c'mon its almost 2011 and they still can't get it figured out within 3 days? WOW... Yeah, these Meteorologists are just a bunch of dummies. I mean they can't even tell you what's going to happen with a storm that hasn't even started to form. I mean really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 A tick west of 00z. Looks nice, actually. Look Mike Look!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Yeah. I love wind in snowstorms.... so much more exciting. Exciting yes..but I hate how it blows some spots to bare grass.. Then when the torch comes late next week you end up with splotchy snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Exciting yes..but I hate how it blows some spots to bare grass.. Then when the torch comes late next week yo end up with splotchy snowcover Great, I don't like snowcover so that's perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 sounds like BOX's AFD... Uncertainty and low confidence... When will these guys get this figured out? I mean c'mon its almost 2011 and they still can't get it figured out within 3 days? WOW... Please tell me this wasn't a serious post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Great, I don't like snowcover so that's perfect. I don't understand that at all. So you just want it to snow and then melt right away? So we're left with a green New Years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You're definitely a glass half empty kind of guy. If I'm going to bust, I'd rather over-perform. It's a coping mechanism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I don't understand that at all. So you just want it to snow and then melt right away? So we're left with a green New Years? I like the big storm. I want it to stick around for a day or two. Unless it's going to grow into some massive depth I don't need it around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Yeah. I love wind in snowstorms.... so much more exciting. That's why you should live near the coast. Every storm is way more exciting then the Currier and Ives boring crap the interior gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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