MountainGeek Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ji said: the only thing ive been tracking are the meltdowns and its been a historical hysterical season Fixed it for ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Weird duel low solution day 9 but close to another hit. EPS might be fun in the morning. Now really off to sleep lol Upstate NY gets wrecked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'm kinda sick of tracking stuff this year and there really hasn't been anything to track. I had my least melty winter ever. When there was nothing to track, I disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 I think we have a real shot at March ending up colder than February. It isn't unheard of, but I don't think it happens very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 The 6z looks like it is gonna be slightly south.. again... could be a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Snowing Saturday night. big high over canada. shifted 75 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 EPS was very solid for the Sunday event. Still a range on the members. Looks like 10 or so misses south, several with not much of anything, a few north, and plenty with flush hits for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 BullseyeI really don't think your going to be the bullseye. Probably further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just now, WXEnthusiast said: I really don't think your going to be the bullseye. Probably further north See above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, PDIII said: Bullseye Yeah 6z GFS got it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Yea guys don't get your hopes up I think this is further north but you would still get snow from this.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah 6z GFS got it done. That's a pretty large precip field. and it is showing up every run. I am beginning to think it is actually gonna snow... we are right around the screw job zone for the models though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 So now that we have been bulls-eyed by the Euro and the GFS, when does it all begin to unravel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, WXEnthusiast said: Yea guys don't get your hopes up I think this is further north but you would still get snow from this. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Hold on... time out... who are you? Where are you from? And what subforum should you be posting in? seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 So now that we have been bulls-eyed by the Euro and the GFS, when does it all begin to unravel?By the way, 6z run is a rerun of old data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, WXEnthusiast said: By the way, 6z run is a rerun of old data You probably should stop posting in this thread. This wont end well for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, WXEnthusiast said: By the way, 6z run is a rerun of old data It hasn't snowed in 14 freaking months around here. so I am gonna take my 6z run and my black eye and have a happy monday. go troll here: https://m.facebook.com/WxRisk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 You probably should stop posting in this thread. This wont end well for you.Ok sorry I thought this is for the Northeast sub forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Know many on here don't have access to the EPS snowfall maps, so here is the breakdown. First possible event, which has fallen under the radar for the most part, is some weak energy that slides underneath us roughly day 5. 12Z had a broad swath, encompassing most of MD, of trace amounts of snow. 00Z has brought this feature into better focus and has pulled them northward into central MD. 1/2 line came much farther south and is a little bit north of the PA line. At this point those around the PA line would probably have the best shot at seeing anything. Second event, day 6/7, has improved somewhat. Where we saw the DC/Balt corridor and surrounding regions in the 2 inch range, with 2 1/2 around the Pa line, we now see the whole region within the 2 1/2 inch zone. Looking at individual members we see a 50/50 split between those that show 2 inches or more for most/all of the dc/balt region vs those that show less then 2 to nothing. There has been a noticeable uptick on the moderate 6+ inch (12 members) that impact at least portions of the region as well as an uptick within that group of the somewhat big hitters 10+ inches (5) . Third event, roughly day 9, somewhat hard to nail down because it gets muddied by the previous event but it looks that we see an 1 to 1 1/2 increase in the snowfall mean through that period. Which is comparable to the increase that we saw with the 12Z run. Overall the snowfall mean for the entire 15 day period has up ticked slightly to the north, going from 3 1/2 to 4 1/2 (south to north) to 3 1/2 to 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaEasternWX Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, PDIII said: Hold on... time out... who are you? Where are you from? And what subforum should you be posting in? seriously? Hes from the NYC subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Hes from the NYC subforum.Dude I am new to this website I am still learning things sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: So now that we have been bulls-eyed by the Euro and the GFS, when does it all begin to unravel? I'll take the first shot at this. It was the overnight run of the EPS. Degraded the day 9 event a little and post 10 day really went south in my mind. Just one run though so not an issue yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: I'll take the first shot at this. It was the overnight run of the EPS. Degraded the day 9 event a little and post 10 day really went south in my mind. Just one run though so not an issue yet. My focus in on Sunday. Thats our first legit shot, and trends have gone strongly in our favor. So that is what I was referring to specifically. Lets hope it holds. The subforum needs this lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, WXEnthusiast said: Dude I am new to this website I am still learning things sorry I suggest you read/observe/learn and not post until you get a feel for how things work here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 Going north? As depicted now with the pv dropping so far south for the day 6/7 event I am not so sure there is much more leeway for the storm to go north. And considering the trends over the last few days of dropping that pv even farther south I would probably argue that if we had anything to fear it would be seeing this storm trend south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXEnthusiast Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 I suggest you read/observe/learn and not post until you get a feel for how things work here.So is one of the rules not posting where you don't live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: My focus in on Sunday. Thats our first legit shot, and trends have gone strongly in our favor. So that is what I was referring to specifically. Lets hope it holds. The subforum needs this lol. I have felt and still feel somewhat optimistic. At least as optimistic as one can be considering how everything has gone into the crapper all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 6, 2017 Share Posted March 6, 2017 My focus in on Sunday. Thats our first legit shot, and trends have gone strongly in our favor. So that is what I was referring to specifically. Lets hope it holds. The subforum needs this lol.It sure looks good right now - both gfs and euro hitting the DMV with a nice 6-12" with ensemble support for both inside 7 days. Im starting to buy storm #1 but still skeptical on the snow on snow storm train.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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