colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, north pgh said: If this plays out I will probably be up till 2 or 3 tonight. Who else will be awake to post obs? I will try...I am short on sleep as it is but will do my best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RUC holding steady Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, colonel717 said: I will try...I am short on sleep as it is but will do my best. I'm off tomorrow so me being a snow weenie I'll be up until at least 2/2:30. That's if it's still looking like more than 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Biggest question - at least for southern zones - may be how fast this changes over from rain to snow. Obviously a quicker changeover and we can get more. I'm not sure mixing is ever an issue in Pittsburgh metro as you can see from the RUC data which shows the higher amounts basically Washington and north. In storms like this it is always better to be closer to the rain/snow line because that's always where the axis of heaviest snowfall lies. I do think this can swing either way, somewhat high bust potential, but the short-term has definitely been in our favor. Anything over 3" locally and I get a season high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, north pgh said: If this plays out I will probably be up till 2 or 3 tonight. Who else will be awake to post obs? If it looks good I'll stay up, but I'm also an outlier in terms of location so my observations really aren't useful to most people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, jwilson said: Biggest question - at least for southern zones - may be how fast this changes over from rain to snow. Obviously a quicker changeover and we can get more. I'm not sure mixing is ever an issue in Pittsburgh metro as you can see from the RUC data which shows the higher amounts basically Washington and north. In storms like this it is always better to be closer to the rain/snow line because that's always where the axis of heaviest snowfall lies. I do think this can swing either way, somewhat high bust potential, but the short-term has definitely been in our favor. Anything over 3" locally and I get a season high. It's crazy to say but anything over 3 is basically a season high for most of our subforum. Thing that worries me is the short range models can overdo it sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 RAP holding steady. Normally short term models all dont align like this so that gives us hope they are not overdoing precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 15 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: It's crazy to say but anything over 3 is basically a season high for most of our subforum. Thing that worries me is the short range models can overdo it sometimes. They can also under do it .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm going with 4-6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: They can also under do it .. Rarely, if ever, are the shortrange models errorung on the low side, unless it is some sort of really unusual setup with a massive storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Mailman said: I'm going with 4-6" here. You look to be in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Rarely, if ever, are the shortrange models errorung on the low side, unless it is some sort of really unusual setup with a massive storm. BLack hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Ok sounds good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, colonel717 said: You look to be in a good spot I'm feeling pretty good about 2-4 in AGC. Hopefully some areas can pop out 5 or so. I would expect advisories shortly on our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: Mr I need 4 accounts in diffrent names so I sound intelligent. He's not wrong though. I have always seen the the short range over do amounts.only difference is its usually a storm that cuts nw and only the short range show crazy amounts. Btw kdka is saying 2-4. He did mention that there is a chance for more since models keep increasing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: He's not wrong though. I have always seen the the short range over do amounts.only difference is its usually a storm that cuts nw and only the short range show crazy amounts. Btw kdka is saying 2-4. He did mention that there is a chance for more since models keep increasing snow. Ok I deleted that. I didn't want get in trouble. Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: He's not wrong though. I have always seen the the short range over do amounts.only difference is its usually a storm that cuts nw and only the short range show crazy amounts. Btw kdka is saying 2-4. He did mention that there is a chance for more since models keep increasing snow. Also 2010 all the short range had minamal amounts and there not a lot of snowstorms to reference this point further that are over 6 inch storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 UKmet 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Well, it is nice to at least have SOMETHING to follow and track. Not exactly sure what nws is waiting for though as far as advisories especially in our southern counties. The 12z consensus is pretty solid for 2-4 in AGC and south a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I doubt I will be able to stay up for much of the overnight snow. With work I basically have to root for weekend storms. Hopefully everyone cashes in on 4+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 I'm buying in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Wow, this forum has blown up in the last 12 hours. Love tracking something... Latest RAP still on board. Good swath of the area getting 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, MikeB_01 said: Wow, this forum has blown up in the last 12 hours. Love tracking something... Latest RAP still on board. Good swath of the area getting 6. It is nice to have some posts in here! For the longest time we only had 4-5 regular posters, but over the last 2-3 years or so finally starting to get a nice group. These storms were it keeps trending better the last 24 hours are the best, and are usually the most likely to bust high. Hopefully we can pull off a decent 3-5 or 4-6 inch region wide event, then snag another bigger event before the season is out. Combine that with a nickle and dime event and we might make it a half way respectable snow total for the season. Plus I'd like to have a few more things to track before Spring sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1114 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 PAZ016-021-022-029-031-073-075-WVZ002>004-012-021-509-091615- Jefferson-Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette- Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- 1114 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Pennsylvania, west central Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and northern panhandle of West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. A system will bring snow to the area tonight into Thursday morning. Accumulating snow of more than 3 inches is possible. An expansion of Winter Weather headlines is probable. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 They can't even commit to giving possible totals... come on NWS storm is hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 1 minute ago, colonel717 said: They can't even commit to giving possible totals... come on NWS... They've been low balling it for the last 24 hours. Hopefully this is a sign they think it could be more than originally thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, meatwad said: Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1114 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 PAZ016-021-022-029-031-073-075-WVZ002>004-012-021-509-091615- Jefferson-Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette- Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- 1114 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Pennsylvania, west central Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and northern panhandle of West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. A system will bring snow to the area tonight into Thursday morning. Accumulating snow of more than 3 inches is possible. An expansion of Winter Weather headlines is probable. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. $$ Sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 8, 2017 Share Posted February 8, 2017 Did anyone see this? Wow. This would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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