NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Hearing recon has it down to 957 latest pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Hearing recon has it down to 957 latest pass. 956.7 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Euro sitting over the Central Bahamas day 7, barely moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Euro sitting over the Central Bahamas day 7, barely moving. what the.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 936mb at 180hrs on the Euro in the Bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 It might be a broken run, saw a tweet somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Euro run ends with Mathew stalled over the Northern Bahamas, 924.5mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Bahamas blown away, probably crazy beach erosion all along Florida's EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 1 minute ago, bluewave said: The WAR on the Euro is so strong this run that it gets boxed in near the Bahamas for days. It actually starts moving Southeast as the run ends. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Refresh my memory ... What is WAR again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Looks like Anthony was correct earlier and possibly shows what we've all been waiting for the GFS or Euro op runs to show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 2 minutes ago, cut said: Refresh my memory ... What is WAR again? Western Atlantic Ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 West Atlantic Ridge - that last chart reminded me what it is!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Please stay away from the Bahamas one of my favorite vacation spots. Beautiful islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 There is 100+ meters of 26C water in the Bahamas. Granted, that doesn't look like a particularly well-ventilated pattern with the WAR squishing it down, but I doubt we'd see anything worse than slow weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Just now, Allsnow said: Please stay away from the Bahamas one of my favorite vacation spots. Beautiful islands Eh, most models keep the core East of the big vacation spots of Freeport and Nassau. The GFDL is the exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Just now, NJwx85 said: Eh, most models keep the core East of the big vacation spots of Freeport and Nassau. The GFDL is the exception. Good news! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 So the Euro doesn't touch Jamaica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 I don't know if it has been mentioned but the GFDL shows a Jupiter, FL landfall in 120 hours. Considering the dynamics, that solution seems pretty likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 A stronger than expected solution, usually means a slower moving solution. which means it could still be meandering just off the coast, waiting the 'capture'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Cat 4 on recon SFMR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 I am hoping by Sunday we start to get a good handle on where Matthew will eventually track, the threat to the US east coast is certainly still there. Very impressive hurricane at the moment to say the least. If the models start honing in on more of an east coast threat over the next couple of days these forums are going to explode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Here it is folks. CAT 4!! 5:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 30Location: 13.5°N 71.6°WMoving: WSW at 9 mphMin pressure: 949 mbMax sustained: 140 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Wow Matthew blew up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Lord have mercy. Classic RI. Wasn't this just designated a TS yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 23 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: ELord have mercy. Classic RI. Wasn't this just designated a TS yesterday? Read the NHC discussion. Classic RI and forecast by no one. Shows how far we still have to go with hurricane forecasting one thing is true when a storm is as large and as powerful as Matthew it kind of creates its own environment. Hence the sliver of low shear he's been in today is no coincidence I think the Bahamians are royaly screwed. And even south Florida gets into squalls and trop Storm fource winds. the entire east coast is going to take a beating beach erosion wise not just Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Mathew hasn't even moved into the deepest, warmest waters yet which are sitting South of Jamaica and Cuba. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 15 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Mathew hasn't even moved into the deepest, warmest waters yet which are sitting South of Jamaica and Cuba. I'm surprised they mentioned 'weakening' after 12 hours. somebody should make a Matt thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 Hour 150 looks like it about to slam right into south east Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 18z GFS captured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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