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Potential major winter storm - Feb 24-25 PART II


snowstormcanuck
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Blackrock you will like this update from our friends to the north (APN/Gaylord NWS):

 

NAM (model) IS MORE AGGRESSIVE IN PUSHING THE POTENTIAL BAND OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL FURTHER NW INTO N CENTRAL AND POSSIBLY AS FAR AS NW LWR MICHIGAN. IN CONTRAST…THE ECMWF (European Model) TENDS TO KEEP THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL ACROSS NE LWR MICHIGAN. A COMPARISON OF UPSTREAM RADAR DATA VS. THESE TWO MODELS SUGGESTS THE NAM ACTUALLY HAS A BETTER HANDLE ON THE HEAVIEST RAIN/SNOW BAND CURRENTLY IMPACTING SRN MISSOURI AND NRN ARKANSAS ALONG THE NW EDGE OF DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG 700-500 MB FGEN. HOWEVER…THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT RUN TO RUN IN LEADING UP TO THIS EVENT. IN COORDINATION WITH GRR AND OUR SHORT TERM FORECASTER…WILL GO WITH A COMPROMISE OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS.  THUS…HAVE PUSHED HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS FURTHER NW INTO OUR CWA…ESPECIALLY FOR TONIGHT.

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Check out KC radar. It's just that little lull in the returns where you turn over to -FZDZ. It's ripping upstream. You're in good shape for the next couple of hours.

Exactly. Still uncertain as to when the exact changeover will occur but looks like 11am-2pm is the consensus. 

 

Should be a fun morning.

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I actually may get in on the action for this storm a little was expecting the brunt to stay well south but looking like a solid 4-8" of cement. Congratz to the folk down south someone is going to be pushing a foot with blizzard like conditions maybe even a little thundersnow???

 

I wouldn't be surprised if Gaylord to Alpena is in the bullseye the way this thing is trending. 

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