Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 Euro tries to develop some weenie second defo band across northern IL as the sfc low moves through Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Seems a little early to be throwing in the towel, but the chances of the main storm being a pure snowstorm this far east are slim to nil. Hoping for a front-end thump/ice storm as a consolation prize. There never was a chance of this being a snowstorm around here. Just too much ridging in front of the storm that results in a far NW track. Front end snow/ice looks very dismal as well. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 1.8" QPF in the heart of the snow swath crazy baroclinic zone reminiscent of GHD I too, At 174hrs MSN has an 850mb temp of -5 while northern IN is 12 deg c. That's impressive for a storm this far from the ocean, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 lots of NW members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 considering the range this is a strong far western cut signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 GEFS members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 Geos I just posted that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Geos I just posted that lol ha, The graphic didn't load on the page quick enough, so I kinda missed it. Changed it to the GEFS maps instead. Can't put a whole lot of stock in the EURO, just because of its record this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 lots of NW members several members that completely miss us to the SE with the snow swath and a big whiff here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Ouch. We get the shaft big time on that run. In particular KCMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Much of the GOM is running warmer than average. Can't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Much of the GOM is running warmer than average. Can't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 There's no rhyme nor reason to the EURO's way off solutions 48 hours + out. They've gone both ways this winter, which makes it harder to try to understand what it is doing. It would be one thing if it had a NW bias or a SE one, then we could make a logical guess with some confidence. Last time the EURO had a big storm like this was the snow and sleet one and it was taking the low way too far west... until the last 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 to add to the pile of things to keep an eye....looking over the 12z runs for giggles (nothing serious)... The 12Z GGEM has a decent (970 SLP) storm nearing the GOA where as the 12Z GFS has a much weaker system there (if at all). Ahead of this storm, the heights pump higher along the pacific coast on the the 12Z GGEM creating a nice little pac ridge. This doesn't happen on the GFS and allows the backside of the CONUS trough to flatten out and go negative fairly swiftly in response (in comparison) All FWIW and just something I noticed poking around at stuff... timeframe I was looking at was 12Z 02FEB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 What is the GFS going towards the GGEM now with a multiple lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 What is the GFS going towards the GGEM now with a multiple lows? yea I just took a peak. What a mess to sort out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 26, 2016 Author Share Posted January 26, 2016 What is the GFS going towards the GGEM now with a multiple lows? Said it earlier, very much like GHD I where you have waves running along the baroclinic zone off to the ENE or NE ahead of the main ejecting wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Said it earlier, very much like GHD I where you have waves running along the baroclinic zone off to the ENE or NE ahead of the main ejecting wave. I remember that. Wish I would have been on the forum when that happened. 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 It's doing the 18z solution from yesterday... Well it doesn't get totally stopped up like that run, but it is similar turning into the high like yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 We're gonna be working on this one for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 End result. Have to subtract off 1-3" north of a Kalamazoo to La Crosse line for Thursday's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 My opinion on this one will be found in the winter sports thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Approaching MSP records with these runs. Gotta admire the consistency of the GFS but that doesn't mean squat if it fails in the end. It has my attention. But until the energy crashes onshore this weekend and is fully sampled it's just model porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 @ Jonger, 125 miles and will call it good. Good way of putting it Chitown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 This has had Skilling's attention since yesterday evening's broadcast. He just mentioned this system again, said he is certain there will be good winter storm, alluding to it being west of the Chicago area. He is concerned with the polling going on in Iowa on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Congrats MSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 Pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 This has had Skilling's attention since yesterday evening's broadcast. He just mentioned this system again, said he is certain there will be good winter storm, alluding to it being west of the Chicago area. He is concerned with the polling going on in Iowa on Monday Monday would be fine in Iowa, until really late in the day in western Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 26, 2016 Share Posted January 26, 2016 From the big dog to the chihuahua Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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