bluehens Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 At this point I think all I can take away is that there will be a lot of moisture around and you just have to get lucky enough to sit under one of the mega bands for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is it really plausible that the low jumps east like the GFS is showing? The global models have been doing that which really makes the precip stop coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm pretty confident I'll see (like many)heavy snow and wind...maybe thundersnow. Euro is key...it may crack a bit but if it stays even or advances....game on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is the GFS northern cutoff to be believed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is the GFS northern cutoff to be believed? it happened on 2/5/2010 and the rgem has something similar, so it is certainly possible. More likely than the NAM's solution of boston getting 2 feet IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Philly and all burbs in 20 mile radius are great this run like 18z, but north of that it's nothing remotely like the NAM This is what happens when you use the NAM outside of its sort of useful range of 24 hrs. you guys should always take pause when the NAM is significantly different than the globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm pretty confident I'll see (like many)heavy snow and wind...maybe thundersnow. Euro is key...it may crack a bit but if it stays even or advances....game on! I agree. If I wake up to the NAM, GFS, and EURO all on the same page with big snows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm pretty confident I'll see (like many)heavy snow and wind...maybe thundersnow. Euro is key...it may crack a bit but if it stays even or advances....game on! Looks like 20" in my hometown of Horsham and I am going road trippin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Believe it or not the NAM gives PHL LESS snow then the GFS. It's just that it cuts off like 20 miles north of the city on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I think the cutoff is real. What I dont think is real is these incredible amounts confined to NVA and CMD. I believe that moisture will propogate to the north and east a bit more uniformly. Just my feeling on how I believe systems like this should evolve (more in line with the NAM QPF output). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I just heard the GGEM is a huge hit for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is it really plausible that the low jumps east like the GFS is showing? The global models have been doing that which really makes the precip stop coming north. It seems really suspect. 18z did it too but the bulk of the precip stayed with the "1st" low closer to the coast. 0z the precip follow the ots low. Weird but I guess it's plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Want to see if local networks cranked totals or stayed the same... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GGEM trended way better for us compared to the 12z run. Looks like GFS to a degree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Someone wake Ralph.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GGEM trended way better for us compared to the 12z run. Looks like GFS to a degree man the cutoff is scary though...but we do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Let the man sleep before he relapses lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 GGEM trended way better for us compared to the 12z run. Looks like GFS to a degreeGood to hear. The NYC forum was saying Philly is in jeopardy on the GGEM. Is the cutoff where the GFS has it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Want to see if local networks cranked totals or stayed the same... NBC10 still 10-14".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Is DT's love for REGM right now simply b/c it fits his forecast? He continues to fail to mention hits like GFS. How valid is the REGM? It produces amongst the worst totals for us..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 man the cutoff is scary though...but we do well. I just cannot decide what to do. Financially I really can't afford to road trip right now (which is why I'm looking for a partner), but I can't miss the potential to see 3-4 feet in VA. Never experienced that. As far our area if I felt 100% that we'd have a good shot @ 20" I'd probably stay, but I can't gtd. that. A foot of snow is amazing, but 3 feet? I've never seen that much snow. The 2 times I road tripped to Boston I missed the jackpot zones. Nemo I was too far N, and last year too far S.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 6ABC still 12-18" around Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NBC Sheena is terrible, wish Glenn was on....I know it's just little things but she put her maps together she had northern DE in 14-18 and says 4-18, but has Salem county in 14-18+ again it's just the small stuff,(the + sign) but shows she is a Tampa girl and doesn't appreciate snow the way we do......Glenn takes pride and gets excited for this kind of weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I just cannot decide what to do. Financially I really can't afford to road trip right now (which is why I'm looking for a partner), but I can't miss the potential to see 3-4 feet in VA. Never experienced that. As far our area if I felt 100% that we'd have a good shot @ 20" I'd probably stay, but I can't gtd. that. A foot of snow is amazing, but 3 feet? I've never seen that much snow. The 2 times I road tripped to Boston I missed the jackpot zones. Nemo I was too far N, and last year too far S.... i think i would stay. there is also the chance of a nice overpreform here, which is always a lot of fun. Plus if we are on the edge of the heaviest precip, we can get some of the death bands, like 2/5/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 How do mets work at stations? You can't really have one met analyze things one way, for only the next met to come on sees things completely differently. So how does that work? Surely it done via collaboration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kicking Up A Storm Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From TWC.....Why can't they ever be consistent about anything. We're in the pink on this graphic, yet the text is 12-18. hmm..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 NBC Sheena is terrible, wish Glenn was on....I know it's just little things but she put her maps together she had northern DE in 14-18 and says 4-18, but has Salem county in 14-18+ again it's just the small stuff,(the + sign) but shows she is a Tampa girl and doesn't appreciate snow the way we do......Glenn takes pride and gets excited for this kind of weather She screwed up a couple times during the 11pm forecast. Oh well....Glenn is clearly better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 From TWC.....Why can't they ever be consistent about anything. We're in the pink on this graphic, yet the text is 12-18. hmm..... That is sexy. God I hope It's correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 geez, the CMC slams us, looks like 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.