CIK62 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 HRRR about to goof for third time this week? Says a cluster of storms SW of NYC for 1pm, but radar has nothing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 HRRR about to goof for third time this week? Says a cluster of storms SW of NYC for 1pm, but radar has nothing now. if you follow one model's explicit forecasts for convection all the time you're bound to find a bunch of wrong forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 88 imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 88 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 83 here as temps have been very slow to rise with a se wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 40%/20% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 40%/20% Of course they get the good action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Nice little supercell in Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Will that cell hit the city or miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Nice little supercell in Jersey Yup, wish I was home. Looks to be headed in my direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Will that cell hit the city or miss? No chance of hitting NYC. It's been stationary for over an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Severe warned now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 90 again....make that #5....hopefully he can sneak in an official heatwave tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 I'm in Whippany, just east of Morristown. Can't really see much in way of cloud formation around these parts, too many buildings/trees... We'll see what it produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 No chance of hitting NYC. It's been stationary for over an hour. Wow who ever is under it must be getting hit good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 It keeps pulsing up and down. Tiny little cells developing off the outflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Wow who ever is under it must be getting hit good Eh, not so much anymore. Velocity scan actually showed some rotation but it is gone now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 There is probably some hail with the cell in Sullivan County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Right mover near Syracuse just got Tor warned. Shear values are 45-55kt up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 There is probably some hail with the cell in Sullivan County. Severe Thunderstorm Warning SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NYC105-122030- /O.NEW.KBGM.SV.W.0027.150612T1938Z-150612T2030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 338 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SULLIVAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 338 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MONGAUP VALLEY...OR NEAR MONTICELLO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. * THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MONTICELLO AROUND 345 PM EDT. KIAMESHA...HURLEYVILLE AND LOCH SHELDRAKE AROUND 350 PM EDT. FALLSBURG...SOUTH FALLSBURG AND THOMPSONVILLE AROUND 355 PM EDT. WOODRIDGE AND WOODBOURNE AROUND 400 PM EDT. PHILLIPSPORT AROUND 410 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 That cell in Southern Morris County is collapsing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 90 again....make that #5....hopefully he can sneak in an official heatwave tomorrow 90F is so lame. Give me some 100s and then I'll be interested. 90F in June-August means nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Really nice couplet now on that tornado warned cell in Upstate NY. Would not be shocked at all to hear that it produced a tornado on the ground. It's all by itself and has plenty of room to go to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 That cell in Southern Morris County is collapsing. Completely disintegrated no more than a couple miles to the west of me. Lol, oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Completely disintegrated no more than a couple miles to the west of me. Lol, oh well. There will be more. The storm motion is rather slow so storms may tend to choke themselves off a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 The 18z NAM brings the line that is currently developing near Buffalo through here tonight. The problem is that it doesn't arrive until after 03z and by then most of the SBCAPE will be gone. If we can get some decent elevated instability to hold on then we might have a chance. The LLJ is forecast to crank a bit around 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Parts of the LHV about to get nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 90F is so lame. Give me some 100s and then I'll be interested. 90F in June-August means nothing. Its at least a plus 10 departure..thats not nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Today's Highs (so far) NYC: 88 EWR: 87 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 New Brunswick: 90 TTN: 91 PHL: 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 12, 2015 Share Posted June 12, 2015 Its at least a plus 10 departure..thats not nothing Nowadays it feels like nothing; those departures would only be single digits if it were a couple weeks later. Even in winter a couple of -10s isn't a big deal. In May it was more noteworthy than now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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