Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 ? That is front end totals it appears on my wxbell products. Thanks for the clarification Clarise, sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 ? That is front end totals it appears on my wxbell products. Weeniebell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 3-6 near HVN? I don't see that. Maybe up to 4 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Weeniebell. Cut those in 1/2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Cut those in 1/2. Jay whats total qpf for 12Z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 3-6 near HVN? I don't see that. Maybe up to 4 or so. lol, doesn't 4 fall in 3-6, kind of splitting pubes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 lol, doesn't 4 fall in 3-6, kind of splitting pubes here. It's not 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 3-6 near HVN? I don't see that. Maybe up to 4 or so. SW CT can overperform in these events in a small area. If it's up to 4" .... 3-6" accounts for that nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think you need to quantify and qualify your diagnosis to this particular front end thread otherwise its more confusing than it already is, wed afternoon the precip is over I'm confused. Is this not the right thread for front end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's not 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 SW CT can overperform in these events in a small area. If it's up to 4" .... 3-6" accounts for that nicely. They could do well, but 6" is a stretch I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'm confused. Is this not the right thread for front end? Yes it is good job. whats frozen qpf numbers like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hey I forecasting 2-10 for them. It's in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 There's going to be a couple really nice bands probably oriented NW to SE on the front end of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think many region wide will get 2-3. Spot 4 maybe in CT or wrn areas. Perhaps nrn MA too as long as the LLJ provides the oomph. Sometimes one of those warm WAA bands fires in from W-E and stalls before sagging south and is located near the transition line. Maybe someone gets a bit more in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hey I forecasting 2-10 for them. It's in range. yea cuz the .2 from 4 inches to 6 inches is the same as .2 to 1 inch, oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12Z gfs held serve for qpf, 0.29" for AUG, 0.16" for RUM, all snow, and has slowly backed off a bit concerning Wed mildness, though other sources apparently have not. After that the run is essentially dry thru 3/15, then rains and stays above 32 at the end - out in la-la-land, but it's looked that way for a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 yea cuz the .2 from 4 inches to 6 inches is the same as .2 to 1 inch, oh boy 2-12. You can sometimes narrow ranges down from default ranges. I do that all the time. It warms real quick at 850, so unless a mega band sat there for 2 hrs..I think 6 is tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 2-12. You can sometimes narrow ranges down from default ranges. I do that all the time. It warms real quick at 850, so unless a mega band sat there for 2 hrs..I think 6 is tough. yea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I hope someone slant sticks a 6" amount now. I might drive down there covertly to measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 BOS only needs 3.5 to tie people. 3.6 breaks it. Hoping for the best. I betcha they do it tonight... I've been paying attention to rad up stream, and there are some truly heavy bands in the overrunning front. My original idea of this going right up to 32 F with rain overspreading from a couple days ago ain't got a snow ball's chance in Hades. It's going to snow hard for a couple of hours... perhaps 2 per for anyone under one of those bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It definitely would not shock me for some to come up over 3-4" for sure..esp we can get those echoes to blow up like the HRRR has over ern NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The obs off to the west in this have been prettty impressive considering the 3 hourly QPF amounts were in the 0.10-0.15 range...lighter than what most guidance has for SNE tonight. Except the GFS of course which is quite paltry over SNE this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It definitely would not shock me for some to come up over 3-4" for sure..esp we can get those echoes to blow up like the HRRR has over ern NY. Word! ...the other thing I'm wondering.. .the rad returns are moving due E, with almost no detectable polaward bias, which leads me to wonder if the models are too aggressive with warm air intrusion (though perhaps aloft) for a system appearing ever more destined to be W-E oriented... It's ending as a zr in lower michigan and indiana and so forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 17z HRRR : Snow starts at dinner time in Boston. Snows until about midnight when it transitions. Not even a drop of rain for my area on that run. 17z RAP : Really similar honestly, not much difference. Not much rain either near BOS. Not much precip after it shuts off between midnight and 2am. Roads could be quite nasty with glaze if light precipitation can fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Originally i thought we'd all likely see periods of rain unless far northern mass but maybe this ends as sleet and zr for most north of pike with minimal rain. Looks that way now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 They might as well expand the WWA advisory to the south coast. I'd be surprised if most areas, even the upper cape, don't verify close to 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This never, ever looked like 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 This never, ever looked like 40's During the day on Wednesday it does south of pike regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 During the day on Wednesday it does south of pike regions.Disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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