POWERSTROKE Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 sorry wow I am just reading post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NegativeTilt Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Nothing but a bunch of lurkers in here. Don't make me post 4 in a row! Will there be a separate thread for call maps? Just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I am not too worried about it closing off or not closing off just yet as opposed to its overall position. I also like what I see and the consistency remains which is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 It's the NAM....hard to ride that model much. Sorry.....but if it looks good for MBY then I might talk about it. True, but it's something to watch. I'm all weenie right now. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 At hr 54, what's going on? Is it taking a slight jog North? Or am I reading this wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Will there be a separate thread for call maps? Just curious sure. go ahead and make a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at hr 54 its positioned the s/w in nw az looks similar to the euro more the the gfs so far. correct me if im wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NegativeTilt Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 sure. go ahead and make one. And jinx it this far out??? Are you nuts?? :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 At hr 54, what's going on? Is it taking a slight jog North? Or am I reading this wrong. no, just a little slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at hr 54 its positioned the s/w in nw az looks similar to the euro more the the gfs so far. correct me if im wrong. hard to tell because of the iterations. Free access Euro only provides 24 hr increments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 no, just a little slower Oh, okay well that's good then. Maybe it will eventually come to the Euro and phase a little later to get more people into the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at hr 60 it looks like the s/w is in central to northern new mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NegativeTilt Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This thread will go BOOM soon if the 12z runs show consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The big low of New England is MUCH stronger this run than the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 0z Euro had the s/w dead center over NM at 0z 12/24. Nam is actually a hair slower at the same time (60 hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This thread will go BOOM soon if the 12z runs show consistency. I definitely want to see the GGEM come in a little colder down my way, these 12z's are going to be important. It'll be interesting to see if the GGEM & Euro shift more Southward or hold tight. The GFS isn't so important in my opinion right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If it trends any slower, this is going to be a Boxing Day storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The big low of New England is MUCH stronger this run than the 6z. True but the nam is slower than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looking better at 66 -- still slower than 6z and starting to close off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The big low of New England is MUCH stronger this run than the 6z. well it reaches to a new contour. it may have been close it to before. again, the s/w is significantly slower too. maybe even beating the Euro for the slowest scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looking better at 66 -- still slower than 6z and starting to close off. Is the precip over OK/Tx breaking out larger to anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looking better at 66 -- still slower than 6z and starting to close off. Yeah the distance between it and the northern stream is a little greater this run which is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at hr 66 it looks like the s/w is a tick farther southwest than the 6z or 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Updated HPC prelim discussion out. Here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looking better at 66 -- still slower than 6z and starting to close off. oh yeah.. this looks good. pos tilt trough beginning to move southward toward the Gulf. also invites the phase... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Can't believe DT hasn't been screaming about the EE rule. I've teed him up on it a couple times, but he hasn't hit it out of the park. Anyone going with the GFS over a NAM/Euro 1-2 punch is going to be like all the kids thinking Santa REALLY IS going to bring them a pony this Christmas. oh yeah.. this looks good. pos tilt trough beginning to move southward toward the Gulf. also invites the phase... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Ok, I am caught up from last night. Nice, except for what I noticed the Ukie doing. It really supresses the storm and I wonder if the model supression (outside of the GFS) is going to continue. That was a pretty big jump and a later phase for the Ukie, which has been performing well. The Euro was looking supressed as well, until the phase occurred. Is anyone else concerned about this (or just us in Tennessee) haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Wow, slower and SOUTHER at 72 -- looks strong, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I think it's important to reiterate the Euro and Ukmet combo when it comes to phasing. When both of these models agree and the Gfs is showing a different solution... Most of the time the Euro/Ukmet combo wins. This has always been a great check to make sure the Euro is not up to it's old biases of hanging southern stream energy back preventing an early phase. The fact that the Ukmet is even later with the phase makes me very confident that the gfs is out to lunch. If one needs a great example of when this combo worked before... Look no further than last year's snowstorms in NC starting with December 18th, 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 looking pretty sharp at 72.. may try to close off again. Euro did 12 hrs laterover W TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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