OHweather Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Some snow showers with perhaps light accums wouldn't shock me across much of western/possibly central Ohio Friday night. Very strong vort max moving overhead and it looks cold enough right now in those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Now the season REALLY has started! first wxbell map posting of the 2014-15 season (10/29 00z euro)..... Congrats Mansfield, 5-8" Have they ever said what they use ( criteria ) for their snowfall maps? The sites i use shows no snowfall on the snowfall maps for that euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Have they ever said what they use ( criteria ) for their snowfall maps? The sites i use shows no snowfall on the snowfall maps for that euro run? it uses a straight 10:1 ratio, which is why it's usually overdone, especially this time of year. It will be interesting to see if any light accum actually occurs around here, the runs have been pretty consistent with dropping 1" over a large area of northern and central OH. I would imagine a 'whitening' of grassy surfaces is not out of the question if we can get anything during the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 it uses a straight 10:1 ratio, which is why it's usually overdone, especially this time of year. It will be interesting to see if any light accum actually occurs around here, the runs have been pretty consistent with dropping 1" over a large area of northern and central OH. I would imagine a 'whitening' of grassy surfaces is not out of the question if we can get anything during the overnight. It will be interesting if for a 2nd straight year CMH gets a jump start on DTW. 2013-14.............CMH....DTW Thru Dec 12th....13.4"......2.5" Season total.......56.4"....94.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 It will be interesting if for a 2nd straight year CMH gets a jump start on DTW. 2013-14.............CMH....DTW Thru Dec 12th....13.4"......2.5" Season total.......56.4"....94.9" It would be a strange coincidence. Last year we were ahead of many here early in the season but that didn't end up meaning crap. We quickly lost ground and stalled out, beginning with the January 5th storm. We recovered ok later in the season but our overall departure above normal was nowhere near as great as a lot oft others had in the sub forum. I'd rather be winning the snow battle in January then November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 It would be a strange coincidence. Last year we were ahead of many here early in the season but that didn't end up meaning crap. We quickly lost ground and stalled out, beginning with the January 5th storm. We recovered ok later in the season but our overall departure above normal was nowhere near as great as a lot oft others had in the sub forum. I'd rather be winning the snow battle in January then November. oh dont get me wrong, I would too...I just remember being slightly agitated last year in early December (looking back on it it looks ridiculous...but who can predict a record smashing winter?) because CMH actually got the last decent snow in 2012-13, with 4.1" on Mar 25th (DTW was fringed with 0.4"....then another 0.1" on Apr 20 was it). So....there was technically a period of time (separated by the entire warm season) where CMH had several shovelable snows between Detroit, and I was thinking wtf lol? Thinking with deform you have a better shot than me for some light accums tonight, though we both will probably see our first flakes. Columbus averages 16" less than Detroit annually, but they do occasionally get more snow. Since 1885, it has been done 21 times in 130 years 2009-10 2003-04 1999-00 1995-96 1978-79 1967-68 1965-66 1963-64 1962-63 1961-62 1960-61 1957-58 1952-53 1950-51 1948-49 1947-48 1936-37 1917-18 1916-17 1909-10 1905-06 xmacis only has snowcover since 1948, and in that time only once (1960-61) did CMH have more snowcover days than DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 8, 2014 Author Share Posted November 8, 2014 Extended looks kinda boring..yeah some cold,but no snow..but we could get an early snow pack to our north that can only help down the road!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 see if I can get a stir out of you folks. Just think what that snowfall map would look like if the euro went out to 264 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 see if I can get a stir out of you folks. Just think what that snowfall map would look like if the euro went out to 264 hours! Let the games begin.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 10, 2014 Author Share Posted November 10, 2014 I'm in!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Maybe our first decent snow in about 8 days? Comments!! yes..no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Maybe our first decent snow in about 8 days? Comments!! yes..no? First real accumulating snow this weekend actually. Could see an inch or 2. I'd guess closer to an inch. But it's something. More than what we usually have on the ground at Christmas lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 As far as the sunday/monday storm, Weatherunderground 12z Euro snowfall loop just getting to timeframe and from what i saw the southeast half of IN most of Ohio down to KY get 3-6" easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 12z Euro today continues to indicate 3-6" of snowfall for CVG and CMH metro's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 12z euro and ggem for Monday. 4 days to get this a tad stronger and further north. Although there's probably equal chance it gets weaker and more suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Yeah not going all out just yet....but I do like having the Euro and hi-res GFS on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Man does 30 feel cold after being almost 70 2 days ago..Now we need the white stuff to go with the cold!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Not good news for early snow lovers here.....it looks like both the ggem and the euro have shifted east with sun/mon system...ggem a total miss for central OH and euro lighter snows in southeast OH. Meanwhile the gfs and nam have gone the other way bringing more substantial precip into central OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 14, 2014 Author Share Posted November 14, 2014 http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=OH&stn=KCMH&model=gfs&time=current&field=prec...I do like the 17th and 18th time frame! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=OH&stn=KCMH&model=gfs&time=current&field=prec...I do like the 17th and 18th time frame! well we'll see if the euro and ggem shift things back a bit nw. If not, or the se trend continues I'd probably put a fork in it regardless of what the nam or gfs shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Not good news for early snow lovers here.....it looks like both the ggem and the euro have shifted east with sun/mon system...ggem a total miss for central OH and euro lighter snows in southeast OH. Meanwhile the gfs and nam have gone the other way bringing more substantial precip into central OH.I saw your post in the northern OH thread...I had initially been leaning towards a slightly more NW track, because I'm not sure the incoming cold will dive SE fast enough to completely suppress this system. With that said, I'm not sure the jackpot with this is more than a few inches. I'm curious for the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Well looks like the euro brought the snow back....3-5" across central and southeastern with 3" in central and 5" in southeastern areas.. After seeing todays runs....I think 1-3" across CMH is looking pretty solid. Not bad for mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Well looks like the euro brought the snow back....3-5" across central and southeastern with 3" in central and 5" in southeastern areas.. After seeing todays runs....I think 1-3" across CMH is looking pretty solid. Not bad for mid November. I'll take it. The trend is our friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I'll take it. The trend is our friend! yea, be nice to break the seal on measurable snow for the 2014-15 season. Btw, wonder what happened to jbcmh and his winter forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 yea, be nice to break the seal on measurable snow for the 2014-15 season. Btw, wonder what happened to jbcmh and his winter forecast? Honestly, this one is trending the "right" way for a change. It seems like all last year it maybe looked good for us 3-4 days out, only to see models push the precip further and further south as we drew closer. We shall see. Hope biz was good for you this past year. Good call about jbcmh. Hope he is ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I agree with the 1-3" call. I could see some 4" amounts happening southeast of Cincinnati and well south of Columbus. But for the I-71 crew, I think 1-3" is good for now. 12z Euro has .35" for CVG all snow which would be nice for November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I know you guys are discussing the Sun/Mon event, but isn't Saturday looking like our first measurable snowfall? Probably no more than an inch though. Edit: both the GFS and euro totally wiff us with that one. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 yea, be nice to break the seal on measurable snow for the 2014-15 season. Btw, wonder what happened to jbcmh and his winter forecast? I'm around, just been too busy to really put one together this year. At this time, though, I would expect a DJF mean of about 3-4 degrees below normal, so around 27-28. Warmer than last year, obviously, but still cold. For snowfall, I'm calling for the 3rd above normal year in a row, at between 35"-45". The earliest trace of snow on record, the very cold November pattern after a below normal October, as well as larger factors like AO and snow cover all point to a decent winter from my pov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Thx jb. Nice call & nice 2 hear from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 wxbell 00z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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