NYCsnowfiend Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 I'm a weenie and always will be especially after the GFS dynamically structure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 This is MOST likely going to be a Cape storm, it's going to boom to late at this point, things could change, but I want to see this thing evolve.u just said these runs mean nothing. :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Its nice to finally see a noreaster progged with some precip to the left of the slp. Now if we can get that gyre to march west on future runs then we'll be talking. That thing only looks like it does because it is over the gulf stream blowing up...if it ticks west some or a lot., it won't be that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 u just said these runs mean nothing. :-/ And what does that exactly have to do with anything I said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 This is MOST likely going to be a Cape storm, it's going to boom to late at this point, things could change, but I want to see this thing evolve. Euro Ensembles argue a different story in the PHL to BOS end up getting hammered....those are the best tools that we have right there in the corner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 That thing only looks like it does because it is over the gulf stream blowing up...if it ticks west some or a lot., it won't be that impressive. Eh, that cyclone is borne of a very powerful upper-level trough and eventually low, and the cold air on the NW side means business... the baroclinicity is there either way. The Gulf Stream helps but you would still end up with an anomalously intense surface low even right along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 And what does that exactly have to do with anything I said?It sounded like u were packing it in based on the gfs. I guess u were just packing it in based on intuition then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 It will be interesting, but I am not putting any stock into models until the players get sampled, we've been fooled the past two storms. I have to play it safe right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 It sounded like u were packing it in based on the gfs. I guess u were just packing it in based on intuition then. Definitely not basing anything of the GFS model lol. I just believe it might boom to far north for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Still too far out to worry about east or west track. The good news is every model has a storm. Position of the low will be something to start paying attention on Monday runs IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 If GFS closed off H5 two to three hours sooner this run would have shown a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Euro Ensembles argue a different story in the PHL to BOS end up getting hammered....those are the best tools that we have right there in the corner. If I had to make a forecast at day 5, I'm using the euro and the euro ensembles as my starting point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 If you didn't like that run you must be on something. Typical gfs bias now picking up on the storm, clearly the euro nd ensembles are no fluke but will wait a couple days until all data is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Any word on the GGEM, should begin running soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Any word on the GGEM, should begin running soon. GGEM is not updating as of yet. Still showing last nights run, it's delayed for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurr_Tracker13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Yeah cause usually I see people posting about it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Yeah cause usually I see people posting about it by now. Yea weenies be going bonkers about a tucked in sub 960 low. You know the routine. Best verification score day 5/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The ggem is late but is running now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Out to 36 on BW's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Here's tonight's BW at 120 colors ain't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Looks more ots this run That's an old one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 WE GET CRUSHED ON THE GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Destroyed ... Please check time stamps before posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Looks more ots this run Old run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Wow, nearly 960 close to the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Destroyed ... Please check time stamps before posting Wow ill take that mistake...yea sorry guys i did check the time stamp hour 0 said mar 21 0z ...idk I never use that site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 That's an old one Ant do you have the actual link i want to see why mine is showing the wrong run - ooo okay never mind the site is messed up, 132 is the new image and 120 and 144 are old....weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Ant do you have the actual link i want to see why mine is showing the wrong run - Thanks You just have to keep on refreshing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 You just have to keep on refreshing it I'd clear cookies too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Pure weather porn on the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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