snow1 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Tell you this right now, won't be anything like NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 42 low over western va and secondary off nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I don't see the gfs doing a complete turn around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 45 light snow trying to move in. Still that sloppy look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 48 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I have a feeling the NAM was a blip....but still 4-8" snow for our area generally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I have a feeling the NAM was a blip....but still 4-8" snow for our area generally Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 51 light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 00Z GFS not as wet as the 00Z NAM. Low moves off coast south of Long Island but quite a bit to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I have a feeling the NAM was a blip....but still 4-8" snow for our area generally The NAM often has overexuberant runs like this-remember what it did prior to the 2/8 storm where it showed 5ft of snow where there was that many inches or less at the end. The GFS however has its problems too, so we'll see what happens. It'll likely come down to the Euro like it always does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 54 steady snow. Nothing like nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 compare 500mb. that's more important Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The next NAM run I'm sure will look like this GFS run, and the SREF I believe will pull back big time in its next run....euro....we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The next NAM run I'm sure will look like this GFS run, and the SREF I believe will pull back big time in its next run....euro....we'll see did the last nam run look like 0z? why in the world would they "pull back" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 57 steady snow. The ratios will have to save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 h5 looks a little better at 54 but still not translating to the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I knew that NAM was out there, still interesting tho.. I feel like the euro won't change much from its 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 compare 500mb. that's more important Isn't it a little late for that now? Everything's sampled, and it's just not working out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 57 steady snow. The ratios will have to save us The last few runs seemed to show healthy snowgrowth, so hopefully that can help. We all should be more than happy with a 6" or so event that turns everything into a tundra as temps dive toward 0 on 30mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 60 steady snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 compare 500mb. that's more important Exactly, right now that's what's more important! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Let the run finish. Don't look at the surface. If the 500 comes thru the slot ur in for 4 to 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If you take the NAM out of the equation, nothing really changed in the general forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 .25+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Isn't it a little late for that now? Everything's sampled, and it's just not working out. The GFS loves to overemphasize the lead wave for some reason in these kind of events and might still be doing it too much. It's likely real at this point but it makes a lot more sense for more development to take place near the main trough. Keep in mind there is single digit air interacting with water in the 40s, with powerful upper air energy coming through. That'll have to have some kind of reaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 60 steady snow Light snow developed at 45 hours and looks to be over about six hours past the 60 hour point is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 compare 500mb. that's more important Isn't it a little late for that now? Everything's sampled, and it's just not working out. That's what I was thinking....aren't all the players on the field now and can actually start looking at model runs to be taken as is ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new. Years guys! Looks like nam is playing catch up. Sorry I'm at the bar. Looks like 3-6. Later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 GFS cut back in totals from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new. Years guys! Looks like nam is playing catch up. Sorry I'm at the bar. Looks like 3-6. Later Are you drunk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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