Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Close to a record for driest mid winter GFS run ever lol, .32 over 15 days. Time for the into the abyss Eric GIF, only this time feature VT posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Close to a record for driest mid winter GFS run ever lol, .32 over 15 days. Time for the into the abyss Eric GIF only this time feature VT posters. that's an improvement from yesterday's 0.17" over 16 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Bing Crosby type winters were not so uncommon thats why I wondered if the numbers they think are normal are jaded because of the recent prolific run. Boys crying for their mammas because of no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Don't worry, 12z will have a blizzard probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 that's an improvement from yesterday's 0.17" over 16 days. That was my house, probably better for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Don't worry, 12z will have a blizzard probably. GFS has been consistent with the dry period, have to say it has done well even PFs 1-3 rainstorms came true(even though he disavowed them and got violently angry at CPick and I for busting his balls) lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Boys crying for their mammas because of no snow. the cold in VT without snow cover is pipe busting stuff, you guys better hope for snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 GFS has been consistent with the dry period, have to say it has done well even PFs 1-3 rainstorms came true(even though he disavowed them and got violently angry at CPick and I for busting his balls) lol A truncated GFS is never going to show much with a pattern for clipper deals. This will eventually turn into more Plains sytle systems as the whole thing retros. Probably by late month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 A truncated GFS is never going to show much with a pattern for clipper deals. This will eventually turn into more Plains sytle systems as the whole thing retros. Probably by late month. cmon lets whip them while they are down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 For those who somehow have to see a modeled storm on a day 12 prog, this isn't really the pattern to fit that. Personally, what I like is the propensity for models to show systems that may be coming out of the Plains towards the end of the month. You can see the potential in this by looping the various GFS runs and seeing storms coming out of the Plains and developig off the East Coast. It seems to me that everything is essentially going to be modeled as a 1-3" clipper, and some will verify as moderate events, some won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 ADK and PF pictured as they descend Mansfield mid Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 GFS trouncing the Euro in the mid range in this pattern. Euro may have gotten the MRF upgrade back in November will all those phantom storms it keeps modeling. At one point or another the Euro had most of the east coast under a winter threat this week into the weekend. Whoops. Tough pattern for snow lovers up N NW. Ended up being much more damaging than many were indicating. Resorts closed, open resorts kind of empty, lots of lowland businesses suffering. Tough, tough stretch and I don't see it ending with regards to snow anytime soon...at least not for the next week or 12 days synoptically. May be the end of the month as the pattern begins to shift/break down before we can really do much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 cmon lets whip them while they are down It seems to me that everything is essentially going to be modeled as a 1-3" clipper, and some will verify as moderate events, some won't. Yeah I think so, Ray. Of course if the 06z GEFS happened with ruler flow...I think some may head for the granite massif of Mt Mansfield...but I'm just going by what I feel may happen. As everything retros and heights try to lower out west..I can envision systems ejecting out of the Plains towards the end of the month. That's my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 I've enjoyed this past week TBH....if winter isn't going to provide plowable events, then stay out of the way. That's my take, but its irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 We are all... This is our f****** state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 They were due for a bit of a screwjie. I rememeber powderfreak and I were talking last year or so about some horrific winters there between 1950-1990 that seem a lot less common in recent years. Still, they'll get their feet of snow upcoming. There's a lot of winter left. Yeah I remember talking about that with you....seeing these low years that aren't really comprehendible given what the mean has seen in the past like 15-20 years. Even the COOP's snow depth plots have for the most part been above to well above (ie depths of like 90" in March when the mean is 70") and at the ski area, a bunch of us newbies (say past ten years) have been wondering what a true below normal winter would be like with like depths maxing at 55" or something instead of like the 8 feet we've gotten jaded with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 We are all... This is our f****** state. "and no cutter gonna take that from us!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Over the next week to 10 days we'll all nickel and dime ourselves with a couple 1-3 or 2-4 inch events with solid cover by this time next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 We are all... This is our f****** state. The old-timers in the 1950s didn't know about winter 2013-2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 "and no cutter gonna take that from us!" Haha...the Vermont strong campaign was after Irene a couple years ago. Wonder if that's where the Boston strong came from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Over the next week to 10 days we'll all nickel and dime ourselves with a couple 1-3 or 2-4 inch events with solid cover by this time next week If you keep repeating that every week, eventually you'll be spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Bing Crosby type winters were not so uncommon thats why I wondered if the numbers they think are normal are jaded because of the recent prolific run. Yes & no. I was young but I remember back to the mid/late 70s and certainly the 80s. We had some good years but we had some boney ones too. I grew up in both NH & VT though. I'm a little bit 603, a little bit 802 and no stranger to boiler plate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 "and no cutter gonna take that from us!" dis is our fckn state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 If you keep repeating that every week, eventually you'll be spot on. Haven't said it until yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 It's funny how much urine can be poured into the cheerios of some. Looking forward to the change coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 It seems to me that everything is essentially going to be modeled as a 1-3" clipper, and some will verify as moderate events, some won't. problem is nothing is modeled as a 1-3 clipper on the goofus, more like dusting to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 problem is nothing is modeled as a 1-3 clipper on the goofus, more like dusting to 1 Sounds like the VT depression crowd has you too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 problem is nothing is modeled as a 1-3 clipper on the goofus, more like dusting to 1 You know what I meant...light. This pattern blows rusty coat hangers imo...I'd like to fast foreward through S-, and frigid, cracked, bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Sounds like the VT depression crowd has you too. Hell no, just playing, I am as confidant as you are that spilt flow develops and the last week of Jan and first week of Feb are pretty damn good. Before that even I think the GFS is way too dry for the VT crew. I would bring the cows in from the grazing green grass fields of VT before this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 You know what I meant...light. This pattern blows rusty coat hangers imo...I'd like to fast foreward through S-, and frigid, cracked, bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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