vespasian70 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Best clown map yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Best clown map yet. unfortunately euro doesn't want to play nice with that Sunday/Monday clipper. Maybe it'll come around, at least the ggem sees the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 unfortunately euro doesn't want to play nice with that Sunday/Monday clipper. Maybe it'll come around, at least the ggem sees the potential. Hopefully it isn't picking up on a trend. Or it's time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 unfortunately euro doesn't want to play nice with that Sunday/Monday clipper. Maybe it'll come around, at least the ggem sees the potential. What's it doing for Fri night-Sat? Seems like we could get more than an inch with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 What's it doing for Fri night-Sat? Seems like we could get more than an inch with that one. it blows....pretty much thru the entire run. Looks like .2" snowfall for the little thingy tonight/tomorrow....around 1.5" for the fri-sat 'event'...another 1.5 for the sunday thing. I hate the euro...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 it blows....pretty much thru the entire run. Looks like .2" snowfall for the little thingy tonight/tomorrow....around 1.5" for the fri-sat 'event'...another 1.5 for the sunday thing. I hate the euro...lol And wasn't it just like 2 days ago where it was showing like 8-10 inches for us through the next 10 days? How did Euro perform with this most recent clipper that blew up on the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 And wasn't it just like 2 days ago where it was showing like 8-10 inches for us through the next 10 days? How did Euro perform with this most recent clipper that blew up on the coast? yea the euro wins no awards this year. Although when it says we get scraps....we get scraps. But that could be because we keep getting scraps and it keeps finding a nut. Anyways this is the 240 total snowfall. If it's any consolation, the entire subforum is in the same boat outside northeast OH, (that's from the sunday clipper). The stuff you see in the midatlantic is lala land 9 day storm....which might be a good thing as it trends nw...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 buckeye, on 17 Jan 2014 - 3:05 PM, said: yep....especially considering those modest snowfall totals will probably not even verify. Euro looks kick-in-the-ballz cold from day 8 on....fugly, all I'm gonna want to do is snooze. I'm just trying to figure out how CMH gets it's inevitable rain in this pattern. I'm thinking a piece of the vortex breaks off and drops sw and phases with an incoming southern stream and we end up with GHD II or something like that. This....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Let's play who said that. What meteorologist said the following therefore jinxing us from receiving an appreciable snowfall Sun-Mon? "I am posting the map for the Sunday into Monday storm, although I do see the new GFS did go a little north with the storm, but the trend will be to go south again because the model is blowing too much warm air into the storm. The upside of the storm is high snow accumulations once again. I can see over 6 inches of snow along the track of the storm. If it blows up along the coast like yesterday, we could see over a foot of snow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Sunday may be close to rain up to I-70 The models absolutely blow in the long range all of a sudden and show nothing after the Sunday clipper, although I do think some more chances will start showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Let's play who said that. What meteorologist said the following therefore jinxing us from receiving an appreciable snowfall Sun-Mon? "I am posting the map for the Sunday into Monday storm, although I do see the new GFS did go a little north with the storm, but the trend will be to go south again because the model is blowing too much warm air into the storm. The upside of the storm is high snow accumulations once again. I can see over 6 inches of snow along the track of the storm. If it blows up along the coast like yesterday, we could see over a foot of snow." You know, whenever a meteorologist says (or anyone) "it's a cold airmass in front of the storm, it will be weaker and farther south than progged!" I want to slap them. That's almost 100% BS, the warm is almost always underdone on the models ahead of an incoming storm and the upper level jet ripping at 150MPH and it's location drive storm tracks a lot more than a "really cold airmass" at the surface two days ahead of the storm. Ugh. People tried using that line to wish the 1/5 storm back SE into Cleveland and how did that work? And rant aside, I'm not sure who said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Sunday may be close to rain up to I-70 The models absolutely blow in the long range all of a sudden and show nothing after the Sunday clipper, although I do think some more chances will start showing up. I think rain is out of the question through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 euro isn't a total disaster. Yes, we briefly warm up to 38 around hour 114, but looping thru the snowfall it continues to increase through that time which makes me wonder if we stay a wet snow. 850s never get north of the river. All in all, by hour 120 euro shows a total of 3-4" across Franklin county. Brings in the cold big time after Sunday, down to -15 across Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 euro isn't a total disaster. Yes, we briefly warm up to 38 around hour 114, but looping thru the snowfall it continues to increase through that time which makes me wonder if we stay a wet snow. 850s never get north of the river. All in all, by hour 120 euro shows a total of 3-4" across Franklin county. Brings in the cold big time after Sunday, down to -15 across Columbus. How does its track compare to that of 0z? I am grasping for anything to give me some hope. Henry you know who already gave us the kiss of death with his horrible reasoning. I was just about to call game, set, match and tap the next keg. I miss you "dark side" Buck. Where are you? Oh and what does it do Fri-Sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I think rain is out of the question through the weekend. If Sunday's system comes any farther north than the models currently show I think you'd be in trouble even up to Columbus. On one hand the PV will be over southern Hudson Bay on Sunday which argues for the system tracking a bit farther south...but on the other, the models today at least show Saturday's system getting out of the way quickly enough to not suppress Sunday's clipper. We'll see. I liked the Ohio River track shown yesterday personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 How does its track compare to that of 0z? I am grasping for anything to give me some hope. Henry you know who already gave us the kiss of death with his horrible reasoning. I was just about to call game, set, match and tap the next keg. I miss you "dark side" Buck. Where are you? Oh and what does it do Fri-Sat? I just posted in the clipper thread. Basically for us, 2" Friday....2" Sunday.....5" tonight. 10:1 ratios. At least we are not in a screwzone, basically we are in just as good...or bad...shape as the rest of the subforum. I'm still on the darkside, still see no reason to celebrate...still haven't had to shovel sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 euro isn't a total disaster. Yes, we briefly warm up to 38 around hour 114, but looping thru the snowfall it continues to increase through that time which makes me wonder if we stay a wet snow. 850s never get north of the river. All in all, by hour 120 euro shows a total of 3-4" across Franklin county. Brings in the cold big time after Sunday, down to -15 across Columbus. The Euro has been crap. If Sunday's system comes any farther north than the models currently show I think you'd be in trouble even up to Columbus. On one hand the PV will be over southern Hudson Bay on Sunday which argues for the system tracking a bit farther south...but on the other, the models today at least show Saturday's system getting out of the way quickly enough to not suppress Sunday's clipper. We'll see. I liked the Ohio River track shown yesterday personally. No no, let me say again: Rain is out of the question for the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Euro has been crap. No no, let me say again: Rain is out of the question for the weekend storm. Fine fine Columbus sees snow while Athens sees rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Fine fine Columbus sees snow while Athens sees rain But seriously, if we have to go through another January 5t-6th disaster with arctic blast followed by a warm rain followed by an arctic blast, I'm giving up on this winter and going back to the AP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 But seriously, if we have to go through another January 5t-6th disaster with arctic blast followed by a warm rain followed by an arctic blast, I'm giving up on this winter and going back to the AP. well, in the misery-loves-company dept., at least this is the type of situation where if it warms enough to rain in CMH, than a lot of others in the subforum would share the same fate. The trajectory of the incoming low isn't the kind where the WTOD would shoot up the Ohio river and only screw the southeastern parts of the s.f., the WTOD would arrive from the west and actually weaken east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 ILN upped the forecast to 1"-2" for tonight.... we'll see. They've not exactly been on a hot streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 ILN upped the forecast to 1"-2" for tonight.... The ratios have to be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 HPC apparently not going with the euro. The 12z euro "torch" isn't quite as impressive - has CMH going up to 35 briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 HPC apparently not going with the euro. The 12z euro "torch" isn't quite as impressive - has CMH going up to 35 briefly. Actually, that is a lot closer to the Euro than GFS/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 light snow has begun. It sounds silly but even though this will be a pawltry event, it's nice to finally get one that begins when it's still daylight. It seems every other screwjob event got underway around 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 light snow has begun. It sounds silly but even though this will be a pawltry event, it's nice to finally get one that begins when it's still daylight. It seems every other screwjob event got underway around 2am. Are you buying into the 1"-2" ILN is calling for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The ratios have to be insane. Yep. From ILN, "QPF AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIGHT...LESS THAN 0.05 INCHES...BUT DUE TO THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES SNOW RATIOS WILL BE VERY HIGH. EXPECT ANYWHERE BETWEEN 20-40 TO 1 ON THE RATIOS. HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE TO 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE NRN MIAMI VALLEY...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS IN THE CMH/DAY METRO AREAS." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The ratios have to be insane. ILN says up to 40 to 1. Radar looks like crap. Barely anything showing up, but returns to the west have lots of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 ILN says up to 40 to 1. GRR had 70:1 the other day. 40:1 doesn't sound as far fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Are you buying into the 1"-2" ILN is calling for? I'm so cynical now, you don't want to ask me. But since you did, I have no reason to believe this will be any different than what we just had, (about a half inch of dust). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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