buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 My fellow Greater CMH'ers, it's time for another episode of how can we get screwed. Just to refresh recent episodes. The January 5th pre vortex big dog which drove up to our west. The clipper from a couple of days ago which weakened as it stepped on our doorstep, and now we have what looks to be our next incoming screwjob. . This one is more interesting. As the storm approaches from the west and gets to the doorstep of Franklin county, it will begin to break apart as the shield of strongest precip redevelops south and east of us. The attached RAP panel shows this perfectly, also loop the 18z nam for an even better depiction. You can also refer to current WWAs issued all around us, but not for us. I say this not to be a Debbie downer...I just think the screw is easier to take when you can see it coming, limiting the surpises to good ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 My fellow Greater CMH'ers, it's time for another episode of how can we get screwed. Just to refresh recent episodes. The January 5th pre vortex big dog which drove up to our west. The clipper from a couple of days ago which weakened as it stepped on our doorstep, and now we have what looks to be our next incoming screwjob. . This one is more interesting. As the storm approaches from the west and gets to the doorstep of Franklin county, it will begin to break apart as the shield of strongest precip redevelops south and east of us. The attached RAP panel shows this perfectly, also loop the 18z nam for an even better depiction. You can also refer to current WWAs issued all around us, but not for us. I say this not to be a Debbie downer...I just think the screw is easier to take when you can see it coming, limiting the surpises to good ones. Not our year. Like I said a couple of days ago. For such a great winter, this winter sux! LOL Oh, and not to bring it up again, but Philly area going to get 7-10 out of this one. sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 ILN shows the "screw job" with their latest map. I swear Columbus and Newark have the crappiest luck at times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Not our year. Like I said a couple of days ago. For such a great winter, this winter sux! LOL Oh, and not to bring it up again, but Philly area going to get 7-10 out of this one. sigh yea but philly is finding a nut.... every city has a year like that from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The GFS clown map for comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 The GFS clown map for comparison. Does that map calculate based on 10:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we always have Wednesday's 1/2" soap powder car-topper to look forward to. Getting use to those. When the sun comes out the next day the snow evaporates in spite of it being 10 degrees. We are chipping our way to the most uneventful above average snowfall winter ever. That might be something to work towards at least. Greatest seasonal snowfall without achieving a warning criteria event!! Is there a category for that win? Sorry guys, my glass was half full yesterday ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Does that map calculate based on 10:1 ratios? No. Accumulated snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we always have Wednesday's 1/2" soap powder car-topper to look forward to. Getting use to those. When the sun comes out the next day the snow evaporates in spite of it being 10 degrees. We are chipping our way to the most uneventful above average snowfall winter ever. That might be something to work towards at least. Greatest seasonal snowfall without achieving a warning criteria event!! Is there a category for that win? Sorry guys, my glass was half full yesterday ... Welcome back to the dark side! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 we always have Wednesday's 1/2" soap powder car-topper to look forward to. Getting use to those. When the sun comes out the next day the snow evaporates in spite of it being 10 degrees. We are chipping our way to the most uneventful above average snowfall winter ever. That might be something to work towards at least. Greatest seasonal snowfall without achieving a warning criteria event!! Is there a category for that win? Sorry guys, my glass was half full yesterday ... I'm gonna try and be optimistic about tonight and tomorrow's snowfall. Even if we get only 2" it will be around for a while, with fresh coatings added periodically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How the hell did CMH bullseye the greatest snowfall outside of Canada for the March 08 storm? There must have been some kind of gravitational upset with the earth's axis or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 How the hell did CMH bullseye the greatest snowfall outside of Canada for the March 08 storm? There must have been some kind of gravitational upset with the earth's axis or something. LMAO! This is why I said I'd rather take my chances in Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Welcome back to the dark side! LOL thanks, it softens the blow. I'm done with optimism until I can shovel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 thanks, it softens the blow. I'm done with optimism until I can shovel it. AMEN!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 it's 30fcking6 at 4pm, it's 50 in southern OH, it's 60 in DC and yet this SNOWstorm only a few hours from developing is going to miss us south and east. fck ma nature. ....I'm almost done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 LOL! I might have to think about moving to the doublewide belt of Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Bright side - higher ratios if the temps are in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Alberta Clippers which intensify and track south of the synoptic climatology for this track type can present a really difficult forecast. That said, I will give it my best shot. I think that this system has enough energy to create some heavy snow bands as far back as southern Ohio and eastern Kentucky. An important key is West Virginia; if the mountains in that state have "lollipops" of a foot or more, than so will some of the major urban areas of the Interstate 95 corridor....Gotta laugh!! Always to the north or south!!See More..This is Larry C's forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 I might have to think about moving to the doublewide belt of Ohio Two counties below us look to cash in. Unbelievable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Two counties below us look to cash in. Unbelievable! it really has been a localized screwjob this winter...pretty much Franklin county and areas immediately on the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Two counties below us look to cash in. Unbelievable! Does no good rooting it north a few miles!! LOL...only hope is that it moves through northern or central KY!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Does no good rooting it north a few miles!! LOL I don't know - this thing just might surprise us. I'd rather be on the northern fringe than southern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Buckeye, Steve - you guys will love this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 If you look at the radar..you would have to say----HOW does it miss us? Looks good in southern MN and NE Iowa..The trajectory would be awesome for us..But projected to move south AND EAST OF US!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Fwiw, the 15Z SREF mean had 3" for CMH which I'd take in a heartbeat. Though our children might be getting more days off between the snow and extreme cold tomorrow, WED, and FRI. Particularly Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Now that the Arctic front is hours away - we should have a contest to see who can correctly guess when CMH will next go above freezing. My call - 2/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 21, 2014 Author Share Posted January 21, 2014 I am anxiously awaiting to see if the radar fills in...We have had some developement to our SW over the past hour!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Now that the Arctic front is hours away - we should have a contest to see who can correctly guess when CMH will next go above freezing. My call - 2/8 1/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 0Z NAM still looks like 1-2" at most here. Meanwhile Philly gets raked with 6-8" of snow followed by blowing and drifting. Sorry, I'd take Philly winters over this screw hole known as Westerville any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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