SACRUS Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Nice break with partly to mostly sunny skies pushing tempsnear 80 and into the low 80s in some spot sahead of the front. Very nice out with the warm southerly breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I was lurking around and was intrigued in the fact you mentioned this because I happened to blog about it a couple days ago. http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2013/09/pacific-pattern-taking-on-familiar-form.html It does look like this +EPO/-PNA pattern will continue for awhile. I do not think the NAO stays negative for long either. It's a bit uncertain at this point how long the pattern will last. The Euro weeklies give a strong signal through the first week of October. Weeks 3-4 usually are lower skill as the forecast degrades over time. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/09/19/ecmwf-weekly-maps-9/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Noticing patchy spots of color in the trees now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Almost Autumn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Almost Autumn Uh-oh snow changed his icon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Almost Autumn +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Heavy rain incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Uh-oh snow changed his icon! Getting ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Another 80 today...hopefully more next fri and sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Another 80 today...hopefully more next fri and sat The highs were in the mid to upper 70's in NYC on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Too bad for you...my high was 81 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Too bad for you...my high was 81 yesterdayMade it to 80 here yesterday also. Picked up 1.08 in. of rain overnight into this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Too bad for you...my high was 81 yesterday You have my sympathies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 This looks like the first time JFK has seen over an inch of rain since 8-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Long range GFS but nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 The highs were in the mid to upper 70's in NYC on Saturday. Highs 9/21: TEB: 80 NYC: 77 EWR: 80 LGA: 76 JFK: 75 New bnswk: 82 TTN: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Monthly departures through the first 3 weeks of sep (roller coaster) NYC: + 0.4 EWR: -0.7 LGA: -0.5 JFK: - 0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 1.0" of solid rains here from last night. Hit 79 yesterday and 78 Saturday. Haven't been 80+ since September 12th. Now at +0.1 for the month. Nice to have a coolish August/September couplet for once, been awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 I had a strong suspicion that September would be gorgeous after the eternal clouds and rains this past summer. Another week of brilliant sun, seasonable temps, and low humidity. Really get out there and enjoy because it's not often we get this type of weather (long stretches of sunny 70-75 degrees). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Highs 9/21: TEB: 80 NYC: 77 EWR: 80 LGA: 76 JFK: 75 New bnswk: 82 TTN: 80 Did I say something false? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Did I say something false? Not sure I follow? But its truly a gorgeous day out there today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Too bad for you...my high was 81 yesterday That must be a dog day? Lol Omg one or two spots got to around 80 for a day or two. A far cry from all that talk and wishing of widespread mid 80's to around 90 10 days ago....fail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 That must be a dog day? Lol Omg one or two spots got to around 80 for a day or two. A far cry from all that talk and wishing of widespread mid 80's to around 90 10 days ago....fail! He has a bigger warm bias than the DGEX, while it's obviously subjective yesterday felt relatively comfortable. Today and tomorrow are going to be AMAZING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Not sure I follow? But its truly a gorgeous day out there today I think it's just b/c it seemed like you were making a point about something by responding to his post with the highs. Agree absolutely gorgeous weather and the next 5 days will feature more of the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 I think it's just b/c it seemed like you were making a point about something by responding to his post with the highs. Agree absolutely gorgeous weather and the next 5 days will feature more of the same. thanks iso. It was clearly a touch warmer from SI south and west, Yesterday was very nice as well and had a late summer feel and today an early fall feel. The roller coaster has been leaning cooler the last 2 weeks (overall) since the heat. Looks like we continue back and forth with some more warming the end of the week and next weekend. I think we start to ride closer to normal and see less large swings after next weekend/early October, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 The CFS did a nice job showing the warmest temperatures this month out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 That must be a dog day? Lol Omg one or two spots got to around 80 for a day or two. A far cry from all that talk and wishing of widespread mid 80's to around 90 10 days ago....fail! Most of C-/NE-NJ and parts of the city hit 80 (+) yesterday is more than one or two. Friday the 80 degree readings were confined to NJ. You guys need to settle this over a few beers or something. Mister freeze vs Mister Heat miser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 GFS and ECM look to continue the overall dry trend over the next week to 10 datys. Last nights rain todals may be the best rain for at least week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 The CFS did a nice job showing the warmest temperatures this month out west. MonthTDeptUS.png summaryCFSv2.NaT2mProb.201309.gif The CFS has done a pretty good job simulating the monthly departures about a month in advance. Not sure how great it is at forecasting more than one month in advance. This is what it has for DJF. Cool in the east, warm in the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 0.92" here. We haven't had an inch of rain in a single event in over 2 months. Last night was a good rainfall, but we have been trending towards drought conditions here since mid July: June - 7.17" July - 3.93" ( 2.68" 7/1-14, 1.25" 7/15-31) August - 1.48" September - 1.63" (including last night) The rest of September does not look wet. That's probably the reason we are seeing more signs of fall color than usual for this time of year. The trees are a little stressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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