IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 $$ FLOOD WATCHNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ428 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT....A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO LIFT THROUGH OUR REGION TODAYFOLLOWED BY ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT.SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THE RAIN WILLBECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES AND IT MAY RESULT IN SOMEFLOODING.DEZ002>004-MDZ020-NJZ012>014-020>024-026-027-101630-/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0001.130610T1600Z-130611T0600Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST428 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATETONIGHT...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR* PORTIONS OF DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND NEW JERSEY... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN DELAWARE...DELAWARE BEACHES...INLAND SUSSEX AND KENT. IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND... CAROLINE. IN NEW JERSEY...ATLANTIC...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...CAPE MAY...COASTAL OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...EASTERN MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX...OCEAN...SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON AND WESTERN MONMOUTH.* FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT* SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO AT MANY LOCATIONS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS REMAIN HIGH AS A RESULT OF FRIDAY`S HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE... THERE IS A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IN THE REGION.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASEDON CURRENT FORECASTS.PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS THROUGH THE DAY AND BE ALERTFOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONETO FLOODING... BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODINGDEVELOP.&& FLOOD WATCHNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ428 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT....A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO LIFT THROUGH OUR REGION TODAYFOLLOWED BY ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT.SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THE RAIN WILLBECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES AND IT MAY RESULT IN SOMEFLOODING.DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-NJZ001-007>010-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-101630-/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130611T0600Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN428 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2013...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND... CECIL...KENT MD...QUEEN ANNES AND TALBOT. IN NEW JERSEY... CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...MERCER...MORRIS... NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...SALEM...SOMERSET...SUSSEX AND WARREN. IN PENNSYLVANIA...BERKS...CARBON...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN MONTGOMERY...LEHIGH...LOWER BUCKS...MONROE... NORTHAMPTON...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY.* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT* SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF AN INCH OR TWO AT MANY LOCATIONS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RIVER AND STREAM LEVELS REMAIN HIGH AS A RESULT OF FRIDAY`S HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE... THERE IS A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IN THE REGION.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASEDON CURRENT FORECASTS.PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS THROUGH THE DAY AND BE ALERTFOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONETO FLOODING... BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODINGDEVELOP.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Pouring here. Looks like another wet day on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Pouring here. Looks like another wet day on Thursday. The 06z GFS had a MCS complex moving through on Thursday dropping up to 3-4" of additonal rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Pouring here. Looks like another wet day on Thursday. Yeah heavy rain here too, hoping for some thunder/lightning out of this. NAM already looks way too low. Has only .05" before 18z and less than a half inch total through tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Yeah heavy rain here too, hoping for some thunder/lightning out of this. NAM already looks way too low. Has only .05" before 18z and less than a half inch total through tomorrow The 12z NAM wants to keep it all north of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 The 12z NAM wants to keep it all north of us Yeah it looks like the NAM vs ECMWF/GFS which both have 1"+ this afternoon and tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 0.52" already from this rain. Pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Funny, from about I-78 south it's pouring but barely a drop here in the far northern part of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Heavy rain right now. 0.22" so far on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 1.6 inches of rain from doppler estimates in parts of Monmouth CO the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 2.0"+ per hour rainfall rates showing up now with that stuff crossing the DE Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 1.6 inches of rain from doppler estimates in parts of Monmouth CO the last hour. I had 1.10" total here, but there was even more to my SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Looks like some broad rotation now with the cell crossing into Cape May County per KDIX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Heavy rain now over parts of Nassau County, which was nailed from Andrea's rains. With a soaked ground, it won't take a lot to start flooding basements again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 So the 12z GFS nails us again on Thursday-Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 So the 12z GFS nails us again on Thursday-Friday Goes to show how difficult it is to keep a long stretch of boring and dry weather here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Goes to show how difficult it is to keep a long stretch of boring and dry weather here. Well this isn't So California so extended dry patterns are very rare and now we're paying for it given the nice,dry weather from late March and April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Up to 0.77" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 1.05" so far on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 .60" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Latest SPC outlook extends the tornado threat up to just southwest of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Something interesting to note, as I look out my office window which faces northeatward you can see the clouds racing from SE to NW. Typically the clouds move from NW to SE here, which is a sign of some significant low level directional shear here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Tornado watch hoisted just to our south till 10PM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Tornado watch hoisted just to our south till 10PM! Yeah but I think our airmass up this way is too stable. A cool easterly breeze keeping temps in the 60s. Those cells in south jersey have transitioned into an area of steady moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 GGEM is really impressive looking for late Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Looks like we're going to pick up our heaviest rain of the day right around the evening rush out here in NJ. A large swath of 0.25-0.50"+ per hour rates developing in the DE Valley headed up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 BTW 12z GGEM total precip for the next 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 18z NAM is really going to nail the area for the end of the week, you can see it coming Here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 It is conceivable that Central Park can have its all time wettest June by Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 18z NAM total rainfall, with the heaviest rain still off to our west at this hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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