Allsnow Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 18z NAM puts us in the warm sector on Sunday. Could be a decent chance at seeing severe weather. Not great timing as it has rain in here by early afternoon. The 12z GFS is further south with the track of the low and would give us more rain Is it correct to use a simulated radar off a model to predict severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Is it correct to use a simulated radar off a model to predict severe? Its not bullet proof at all but it can give you a general idea of what could happen (at least that's how I use it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Just had a heavy downpour which lasted a half hour. The sun is out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Moderate rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Dodged the showers here this afternoon but up to 8.03 in. for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Dodged the showers here this afternoon but up to 8.03 in. for the month. I'm getting a sprinkle now...I was brushed in the afternoon with a few drops... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 First flooding has begun in my town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 18z GFS went south with the noreaster for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 18z GFS went south with the noreaster for next week Yeah where have we seen this before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro has nothing for that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro has nothing for that period. Either the Euro is wrong or the GFS is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro has nothing for that period.The Euro had it and lost it. GFS has been fairly consistent however this has been the wettest run. Hopefully things trend wetter. I want to shatter the rain record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 0z GFS continues to show the storm for next week http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_105_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 0z GFS continues to show the storm for next week http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_105_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Yup quite a bit stronger too this run. Looks awfully a lot like yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 The Euro had it and lost it. GFS has been fairly consistent however this has been the wettest run. Hopefully things trend wetter. I want to shatter the rain record. I suspect the GFS is correct on this. The pattern seems very consistent with what we've had. Even if the pattern flips as the GFS shows in about a week, I think we are shattering the rain record easily. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.