Snow_Miser Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 92 now with a HI of 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Very strong cell popping up in Nassau again. Wouldn't be shocked if another warning came up. Edit: Cell has weakened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Radar estimates of 1.30" of rain the last hour over Central Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 Highs so far today EWR: 95 NYC: 92 LGA: 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 had a 10-minute downpour here in KFRG... waiting for that cell out west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Found this interesting from the Upton's NWS facebook page: "The DREAMS project is currently using the Doppler on Wheels (DOW) to scan the developing storms over Queens and Nassau county. These storms have fired along the sea breeze boundary. One of our Meteorologists is with the research group today at Jacob Riis Park and has shared this photo with the Cumulonimbus cloud from the thunderstorm over LGA." I had a great view of that pileus from my vantage point here in Nassau earlier. The storms fired rapidly right along the sea breeze front. It went from from sunny to towering CU in about 15 minutes followed by thunder shortly after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes Low (10%) Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes Low (<2%) Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events High (80%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots Low (10%) Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events Mod (30%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches Mod (30%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events High (80%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 our threat went down the drain with the convective blowoff to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Clouded over here in Queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 The t-storm near Wrightstown,NJ, could get warned at any moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 our threat went down the drain with the convective blowoff to the south New York City is not covered under the watch. The watch is for NJ and western and southern sections of this sub-forum only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 That anvil is putting a halt to the temperature rise this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Dew Point went from 70 to 61 here in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Beautiful cell down in SW Monmouth/Cream ridge. 4" rainfall already. My temp has fallen from 91 to 83 just with the anvil and breeze from the cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Made it up to a high of 93 for the day, currently 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 our threat went down the drain with the convective blowoff to the southYup. Good call.Clouded up the area and now dew points are lowering as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 our threat went down the drain with the convective blowoff to the south what do you make of the cells crossing the Delaware River atm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 what do you make of the cells crossing the Delaware River atm?weakening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Lots of rumbles of thunder here (with no storms nearby) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the moors in england Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 weakening so the high CAPE woundn't help? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Maybe we can get some more sun soon. Seems to be brightening up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 so the high CAPE woundn't help? The cloudcover from the anvil blowoff is lowering our surface heating, thus lowering our instability a bit. There is also weak shear, especially with respect to magnitude, so the very slow upper level winds yield quite slow storm movement, allowing for the storms to rain themselves out as opposed to pushing outflow out ahead to sustain themselves. The downdraft thus remains too close to any potential new updrafts, helping to "choke" the lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 The cloudcover from the anvil blowoff is lowering our surface heating, thus lowering our instability a bit. There is also weak shear, especially with respect to magnitude, so the very slow upper level winds yield quite slow storm movement, allowing for the storms to rain themselves out as opposed to pushing outflow out ahead to sustain themselves. The downdraft thus remains too close to any potential new updrafts, helping to "choke" the lift. Well said. I witnessed just that here in Monmouth. Strong pulse cell yielded 4-5" of rain in SW Monmouth but the limited movement for 1-2 hours w/ the rapid decrease in instability at the surface ultimately caused its demise. The rain cooled air prevented the maintenance of the storm as it did not propagate into a more unstable environment. But these storms are putting out a ton of lightning. I've had frequent flashes and loud booms w/ virtually nothing on radar near me right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Even this far away from the storms I heard some rumbles of thunder and even saw some nice mammatus clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Euro first guess for July 4th is daily mean temps near normal with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Sun's out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sb7881 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 when will the front from late this week finally move away from the area to allow high pressure to build back in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 when will the front from late this week finally move away from the area to allow high pressure to build back in?it's proggeed by most long range models to remain stalled for the next 2 weeks or so due to strong western Atlantic ridging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 It seems more often then not the immediate metro area gets skunk for storms, while areas of snj and sne get hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 Orange county got rocked. Flooding on the thruway with cars stuck, numerous fires, boats in distress, trees and wires down everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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