doncat Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 Made it to 94 here both yesterday and today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2013 Author Share Posted June 25, 2013 12z GFS and ECM both have a stronger WAR building higher heights fruther westt between mon (7/1) and thu (7/4) before the next front. This results in less rain but its still make no bones about it a very wet pattern. Southerly/tropical flow should keep it warm and quite humid and where storms and rain fires it'll be very heavy each day between sun and next fri. When its sunny it'll be quite warm with outside chance of 90 degree readings. 18z continued where the 12z left off with building the WAR even stronger and further west into the EC between 7/1 and 7/5. Has heights surpassing 588 by next tue. Its still a very active and wet pattern but you see a trend of slowly reducing qpf estimates. Like others have said this is a warm/humid and very wet pattern. Rain totals from thu to jul 4th could be impressive but a stronger ridge will focus widespread heavier rains further west. We'll see where the 00z takes us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 Great news for people who hate the heat. The 0Z June 3rd run pegged the heat potential for the last few days in the week 3 panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 What's going on in CPA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 today's highs: TEB: 93NYC: 91EWR: 94LGA: 95JFk: 91ISP: 90New Brunswick: 92TTN: 91ACY: 92PHL: 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 What's going on in CPA? Possible MCS on the way. Certainly looks to be developing that way on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Possible MCS on the way. Certainly looks to be developing that way on radar Lol of coarse it will go south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lol of coarse its will go south of usWe're probably going to miss the severe threat but it looks like some areas will pick up a soaking rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMiser Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The Euro weeklies don't have any heat as strong as the last few days from July 1-15th. Have the weeklies told us anything worthwhile lately? It seems like it completely missed the current heat wave. I feel the euro's performance overall has been lackluster as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lol of coarse its will go south of us Right now the northern part looks to affect anybody south of I-80. Assuming that the storms hold together and that they don't take more of a SE dive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 We're probably going to miss the severe threat but it looks like some areas will pick up a soaking rain. Almost all of SE PA is warned right (the storms don't even look too crazy on radar)' - Lol never mind the line just reformed and blew up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Not the most impressive looking MCS ever but looks can be deceiving. The Mid-Atlantic derecheo last summer didn't look all that impressive once it crossed the moutains but packed quite the punch. The norther edge looks to be developing as well. Someone could easily pick up over an inch tonight unless this falls apart fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Not the most impressive looking MCS ever but looks can be deceiving. The Mid-Atlantic derecheo last summer didn't look all that impressive once it crossed the moutains but packed quite the punch. The norther edge looks to be developing as well. Someone could easily pick up over an inch tonight unless this falls apart fast. Looks much stronger on UNV's radar. Also some nice storms in NW PA as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Not the most impressive looking MCS ever but looks can be deceiving. The Mid-Atlantic derecheo last summer didn't look all that impressive once it crossed the moutains but packed quite the punch. The norther edge looks to be developing as well. Someone could easily pick up over an inch tonight unless this falls apart fast. If the northern part can build a rain shield behind it we might get some nice wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The Euro weeklies don't have any heat as strong as the last few days from July 1-15th. The CFS v2 is in agreement with a back and forth, generally near normal temp pattern for July 1-20. It actually has the June 25th-August 9th 45 day period slightly cooler than normal for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The rain record might fall tonight - if those storms can get in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lots of lightning visible off to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 You really think nyc will get rain? Seems all storms move north or south of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 What a light show, I count about 10 seconds between flashes. Still to far away to hear thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Damn! These storms just might hit Manhattan dead on! What a way to break the record! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I hope they redevelop..it seems they dissipate when they get to NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Damn! These storms just might hit Manhattan dead on! What a way to break the record! Its going to be close they look wide on the normal rader but on the HD the are kinda small Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Hearing rumbles off in the distance...storms look to miss just off to my north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=out&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.778&noclutter=0&ID=EWR&type=TR0&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.778¢erx=396¢ery=294&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 These storms look to be moving due west. If they hold together, they could break the all-time June precip record for New York City. Rooting for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 What's the current record and how far are we from breaking it? I forgot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Storms are weakening, oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 00z 4k NAM gives us a ton of rain Thrusday night and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Didnt that model gave us rain today from 3 to 7?.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Didnt that model gave us rain today from 3 to 7?.. No, that was the RGEM. Anway it's best not to take it too literal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Rain and wind were INTENSE. Like a weak tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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