IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 What's the current record and how far are we from breaking it? I forgot... .47" of rain left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Might miss me just to the south.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Undercut yet again. Oh well, more days ahead. .47" of rain left. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lol it went south of the city oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I feel like they should warn that NYC cell. IT doesn't even have any lightning anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Damn! Missed us to the south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The 00Z GFS does something I've never seen before, bring the H850 20oC line to Barrow, AK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 No, that was the RGEM. Anway it's best not to take it too literal. No it did not. It had had a line of rain/storms from Philly through NJ coming through from 3pm to 7pm. Not constant rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sutherlandfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Models started showing some Bermuda Highs next week extending to the mid atl which could definetely create some juicy temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Models started showing some Bermuda Highs next week extending to the mid atl which could definetely create some juicy temps. The Euro agrees with these GFSENS 2m temperature departures for July 1-7 of close to +3. Dewpoint temperatures look to be possibly 70 degrees or higher. There will be plenty opportunities for scattered convection and the warm overnight lows may be the main part of the daily temperature departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 No it did not. It had had a line of rain/storms from Philly through NJ coming through from 3pm to 7pm. Not constant rain. That's what I thought he meant. Certainly the NAM didn't have what we proposed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The 06z 4k NAM takes the stuff in PA and forms a pretty nice squall line for this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Overcast skies here. Also looks like the 12z NAM is shifting the low for Thursday a bit south of previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 Overcast skies here. Also looks like the 12z NAM is shifting the low for Thursday a bit south of previous runs. Was watching the sat images last night into GL/OV and PA and thought the coud deck and any debris might mess with today's highs. Looks like clouds in the way of another 90, pending on how much clearing we get later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lee Goldberg mentioned last night that the debris clouds from last nights thunderstorms to our west may limit our high temps today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 If the latest GFS is correct Friday and Saturday might be washouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Cloud deck has limited surface heating for sure. Still a good amount of CIN in place also so it's going to be awhile before we see something break through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 It needs to hit 90 today to be classified a heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 We got sun coming out way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Slight risked again tomorrow. Third or fourth day in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I think the storm chances for our area is really low this afternoon. We are lacking the instability( too much cloud cover), and the low/mid level lapse rates are horrible. We have some shear, but that's not going to work any good if the storms can't get initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I think the storm chances for our area is really low this afternoon. We are lacking the instability( too much cloud cover), and the low/mid level lapse rates are horrible. We have some shear, but that's not going to work any good if the storms can't get initialized. Agreed, although the sun is starting to come out in portions of NNJ. We really need things to change over the next several hours if we want to see some strong convection over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Well under forecast high temps thus far. NYC at 80F, definitely a no-go for official heat wave for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Agreed, although the sun is starting to come out in portions of NNJ. We really need things to change over the next several hours if we want to see some strong convection over the area. If we do see some thunderstorm development today (SE PA and DC most likely); I think the only thing we need to worry about with these storms are heavy rainfall. PW are at 1.7 inches. The freezing level is too high for any sig hail, and the dcape is not that impressive for strong winds to transfer down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sutherlandfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 This wet pattern does not look like it wants to let up anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Flash Flood Watch is up. That record is going to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The Euro agrees with these GFSENS 2m temperature departures for June 1-7 of close to +3. Dewpoint temperatures look to be possibly 70 degrees or higher. There will be plenty opportunities for scattered convection and the warm overnight lows may be the main part of the daily temperature departures. M7D11.jpg You mean July 1-7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Suns out temp up to 86 now Edit - 87 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 Looks like a few hours of sun and some late afternoon highs. EWR at 86. Some may be able to get the heatwave some have already with some 90 degree readings on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 You mean July 1-7? Yeah, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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