NEOH Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Never too early to worry about that, however the shift has been SE on the gfs and euro.... as of today, my biggest worry is it ends up a coastal, crushed, or wave. Of course tomorrow it could be back to showing a 965 bomb over Madison. All aboard the DT train. He's repeatedly said it is impossible for this storm to cut west. Will be interesting to watch the model trends. I like where we sit at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Boom goes the eastern lakes rust belt cities! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I would have waited until after the first storm moves on but the thread will probably be needed no matter what. Feeling good about my chances here. Those of us left out need something to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 19, 2012 Author Share Posted December 19, 2012 How original Rinse and repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 All aboard the DT train. He's repeatedly said it is impossible for this storm to cut west. Will be interesting to watch the model trends. I like where we sit at this point. 00z GGEM is still on the western/central lakes bomb idea. Definitely fun one to watch. Not often do you get people from chicago to the i-95 cities watching the same threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 back west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 00z GGEM is still on the western/central lakes bomb idea. Definitely fun one to watch. Not often do you get people from chicago to the i-95 cities watching the same threat. happens for literally every storm at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 back west congrats to you. Verbataim biggest snowstorm in chicago since febuary 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I will hold off a day or two watching this one. GFS was showing something in this time frame, back about a week ago, so, it has been showing the potential for some time. The GFS had this (I believe its from 12/10, the 12z GFS run, the 850 temp map . I had cropped this from the map, to post it somewhere else... but never did) showing a 993mb low over W. KY at 360 hours, so it was the one of the last frames of that run. I think, given 2, or 3 more days, the handle on this might be a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 congrats to you. Verbataim biggest snowstorm in chicago since febuary 2011 It's flipping around a lot but i'm much more worried about another rain storm than suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 back west we're sitting pretty with this one I think. I don't think suppression is ready to set in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 we're sitting pretty with this one I think. I don't think suppression is ready to set in yet. agree...not worried about suppression. This gfs run is pretty wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Feeling good about a monster here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 It's flipping around a lot but i'm much more worried about another rain storm than suppression. reverse psychology always works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Liking my chances for + departures for total December rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Feeling good about a monster here. So you were just in a bad mood yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 reverse psychology always works. that's not his style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Just wait until Dream Crusher Euro runs in an hour, then it'll probably be back to board depression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 we're sitting pretty with this one I think. I don't think suppression is ready to set in yet. I would assume the snowpack has something to do with your theory, right? I know that's overrated, but that could keep this from really amping and cutting through Wisconsin or Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Liking my chances for + departures for total December rainfall. STOP! Think positive for just once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 So you were just in a bad mood yesterday? Indeed. My call is for track between CLE and BUffalo NY. Not deviating from that either. Lock it in. Full permision to bump troll this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Slightly unusual levels of optimism from everyone about this one... Maybe it will feed on positive energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Indeed. My call is for track between CLE and BUffalo NY. Not deviating from that either. Lock it in. Full permision to bump troll this. Sorry you're screwed, I'm going to be back in town so it'll be 50 and raining or cold and gray as it misses us to the east. Either way I'm a snow deflector so SE MI is in the clear for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Liking my chances for + departures for total December sleet. FIFY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 Sorry you're screwed, I'm going to be back in town so it'll be 50 and raining or cold and gray as it misses us to the east. Either way I'm a snow deflector so SE MI is in the clear for this one. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I would assume the snowpack has something to do with your theory, right? I know that's overrated, but that could keep this from really amping and cutting through Wisconsin or Minnesota. I just don't think we're ready for suppression yet.. I don't see any outrageous blocking setup that a good storm can't overcome.. To the snow pack crap.. maybe if there was expansive snow to the south it could come in to play i suppose... stuff to the north, meh... if a storm wants to cut its going to cut.. How many times have we lost a foot of snowpack in 18 hrs to a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 STOP! Think positive for just once! I'm just being dumb. We're still in silly range. FIFY Snow or rain or bust with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 I just don't think we're ready for suppression yet.. I don't see any outrageous blocking setup that a good storm can't overcome.. To the snow pack crap.. maybe if there was expansive snow to the south it could come in to play i suppose... stuff to the north, meh... if a storm wants to cut its going to cut.. How many times have we lost a foot of snowpack in 18 hrs to a cutter. It's way too far out to for anyone to be confident of any single solution but the arguments from some of the notorious east coast weenies (DT lol) on why this couldn't possibly cut are really weak and the snowpack talk is always the worst. Aside from a handful of southern/eastern runs yesterday, most of the guidance has been west/warm with this storm. Obviously the final track is up for grabs but we should know by this weekend who is really in the game and who is just wishcasting. 12z GFS ensembles came way west of 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 19, 2012 Share Posted December 19, 2012 12z GGEM at 180 hrs looks close to its 0z run...that made a run for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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