CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Tip has no weenie. It's physiologically clad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 You can see why the MA has MCS potential. Note the strong WAA at 850 through the day tomorrow and tomorrow night. Wow. +16C at 12z tomorrow to +24C by tomorrow evening near midnight...not to mention the increase in moisture at that level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 You can see why the MA has MCS potential. Note the strong WAA at 850 through the day tomorrow and tomorrow night. Wow. +16C at 12z tomorrow to +24C by tomorrow evening near midnight...not to mention the increase in moisture at that level. Congrats Baltimore. Incredible images out of Colorado, and Jerry wants to move there for snow? Holy scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 better hope the gfes mean is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 better hope the gfes mean is wrong i feel like that's the same general look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 i feel like that's the same general look. compared to what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 CoastalWx, on 27 June 2012 - 02:39 PM, said: Tip has 10" weenie. It's physiologically clad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 compared to what? Basically the same as the Euro and GFS Op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Disrobing. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 compared to what? what do you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Basically the same as the Euro and GFS Op. it's past day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 The euro op is probably just a little too troughy in the northeast. Even if it isn't, that's an H5 anomaly map which will obviously show anomalous readings at that level with 570 thicknesses near Hudson Bay. Ensembles are a little warmer than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 it's past day 10 meh 36 hrs later, that will not stay constant but it still is showing the trough in the means in the east. Typical summer for those NE of NYC. I worry about the rest of the country though, that is incredible days and days of brutal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 better hope the gfes mean is wrong Wow... that is remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Man what a nice week it appears. Just good ole summer type wx. No real extremes at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Going back to the GEFS prog, it looks like the euro ensembles also try to throw a round of hotter wx in here during the 8-10 or so...give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 Going back to the GEFS prog, it looks like the euro ensembles also try to throw a round of hotter wx in here during the 8-10 or so...give or take. wait, it gets hot in the summer, damn. I agree with your +2 call for July with the higher departures higher than the negative ones. In the mean time what a fantastic couple of days for outside activities. Summer doldrums will get here but for now feel energetic and relaxed in this weather. Folks all around seem less grumpy and happier. The brutal heat makes a lot of folks miserable stay in the AC types.Hopefully we continue to fight the death ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 A steady light to at times moderately heavy upslope rain continues to fall... most stations in the vicinity of the Spine are in the 1-2" range again today for rainfall, bringing storm totals over the past 48-72 hours to 2-4". It has been pouring here on RT 108 recently and it looks like Mansfield just keeps regurgitating 30-40dbz echos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Going back to my GF'S bra, it looks like the euro ensembles also try to throw a round of hotter women in here during the 8-10 or so...give or take. Seriously though, the 18z NAM really roasts the I-95 region of eastern Mass, and even out to Logan, with a 2pm of 33C at T1. That's about 37C in the 2-meter. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Wow... that is remarkable. Not one pixel of below normal on that map...even in troughs. Sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Not one pixel of below normal on that map...even in troughs. Sad. the end of humanity is near Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Wowzers...these FRH grids in the MA are sick....37C at T1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Not one pixel of below normal on that map...even in troughs. Sad. I was just thinking about that, and how the operational run has negatives and is the cooler outlier, whereas, every single member in the GFES cluster is positive ? Heh? something doesn't seem right about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Seriously though, the 18z NAM really roasts the I-95 region of eastern Mass, and even out to Logan, with a 2pm of 33C at T1. That's about 37C in the 2-meter. Wow. Its 850s are a good 2C warmer than the EC/EC ens/GFS so I suspect it'll cool off a couple of degrees C by verification time like it did with the last heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 the end of humanity is near It may never go below normal again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Its 850s are a good 2C warmer than the EC/EC ens/GFS so I suspect it'll cool off a couple of degrees C by verification time like it did with the last heatwave. yeah i saw that. it even has some weenie 23 and 24C 850s close by...that's actually a bit warmer than the last shot of heat - i think it was like 21-22C...which like you said proved to be too warm. the flow is also much stronger from the SW - that would at least cut back on the heat SE of a BOS to PVD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 I was just thinking about that, and how the operational run has negatives and is the cooler outlier, whereas, every single member in the GFES cluster is positive ? Heh? something doesn't seem right about that. Well the mean is AOA normal throughout, but the individual members have some sparse below normal spots although they are few and far between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Its 850s are a good 2C warmer than the EC/EC ens/GFS so I suspect it'll cool off a couple of degrees C by verification time like it did with the last heatwave. There's also detail continuity shifts in this run. Saturday was supposed to the be the hottest, now the NAM decides to snap off a plume of that plasma in the mid west and waft that overhead at peak heating on Friday. Then, manages to recess the 850 all the way to just 16C for Saturday. Not sure that's real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 27, 2012 Share Posted June 27, 2012 Well the mean is AOA normal throughout, but the individual members have some sparse below normal spots although they are few and far between. It really is fascinating to see how the total mass of positive anomalies completely trumps the negative out of existence on this run cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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