Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 All models and Ens indicating a major trough returns to the East Coast enabling temperatures to remain below normal finishing up the month. The tendency to maintain a Neg Nao remains as well. Increased chances for precipitation obviously are a byproduct of a cold pool air mass. As modeled should be a cool period with a less hot summery appeal as most of us enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 16, 2012 Share Posted June 16, 2012 May as well make the title june 23 to aug 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 May as well make the title june 23 to aug 23 One can only wish, with the CFS saying July is cool, that might be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 AMOUTBK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I will gladly take that pattern. That equals numerous cold pools aloft which equal lots of storm chances! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro ensembles don't support this thread. The only sub normal 850 is d8 with d9-10 AOA normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro ensembles don't support this thread. The only sub normal 850 is d8 with d9-10 AOA normal. Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 That's a huge cool signal, hard to get heat with those 5 h deviations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Hmmm See 850s. No doubt it will be cooler but nt blew normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 That's a huge cool signal, hard to get heat with those 5 h deviations Source regions. See winter of 2011-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Cloudy with pop up storms , cold upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Source regions. See winter of 2011-12. Ocean flow and 850 is not the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Ocean flow and 850 is not the issue. See today in Bos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Cloudy with pop up storms , cold upper levels. Near 80 with pm storms. Cooler but AOA normal nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Euro ensembles don't support this thread. The only sub normal 850 is d8 with d9-10 AOA normal. almost the whole period from day 7-15 is below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 See today in Bos That's not a signal for ocean breezes..lol. That s more common in big heat or a low off the coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Pretty far out at any rate, smoothed ENS if the GFS and OP have a clue it's below normal. Plenty of time to see how it evolves, pretty clear signal from NAO, MJO and recurving typhoon. Andy agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 almost the whole period from day 7-15 is below normal. Do we get different output? I thought that Allen's site is up to date. I'm seeing a above normal 850s on most days but not hugely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 almost the whole period from day 7-15 is below normal. That's what I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I see 2-3 day heat followed by normal summer wx but normals are still easy to surpass particularly at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Do we get different output? I thought that Allen's site is up to date. I'm seeing a above normal 850s on most days but not hugely. 850 does not tell the entire story, Accupro shows 2 M too, pretty cool Jerry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Near 80 with pm storms. Cooler but AOA normal nonetheless. Low dews , you need to ave 70 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Only thing we should be discussing is how many days of destructive hail we see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 850 does not tell the entire story, Accupro shows 2 M too, pretty cool Jerry Yeah but I stop using 2m beyond d4-5. So to me if 850s are mild. OT but I won't give accuwx my money after Some of their antics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Do we get different output? I thought that Allen's site is up to date. I'm seeing a above normal 850s on most days but not hugely. I'm not sure how exactly he calculates those 6-10 day averages, but day 6 may be skewing it warm. Still the 6-10 mean on his site is a hair below normal with day 7 onward solidly below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 Yeah but I stop using 2m beyond d4-5. So to me if 850s are mild. OT but I won't give accuwx my money after Some of their antics. Me either but it pays to have friends in low places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Low dews , you need to ave 72 now I'm not sure dewpoints will be that low. BOS next week averages 78/61....week after 80/63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm not sure how exactly he calculates those 6-10 day averages, but day 6 may be skewing it warm. Still the 6-10 mean on his site is a hair below normal with day 7 onward solidly below. I looked at dailies and d8 was subnormal but that was the only day. Did I read it wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 17, 2012 Author Share Posted June 17, 2012 I'm not sure dewpoints will be that low. BOS next week averages 78/61....week after 80/63. You need to ave 72 from tomorrow on to finish aoan for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.