stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Maybe a new thread will bring us look. Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The Euro's going to come north. We might even get .1" in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 GGEM and Ukie are decent in my area. I think 4-6 very plausible at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The Euro's going to come north. We might even get .1" in DC. Don't sell us short. I'm sure the upcoming north trend will produce .15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Qaanaaq Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 GGEM and Ukie are decent in my area. I think 4-6 very plausible at this point. That's a great turn around from about 24 hours ago, good luck!! Who else is stayin up for the Euro ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I almost hope the Euro goes even farther south. Not necessarily to screw Richmond, but if it goes farther south there will be absolutely no reason for me to check a weather model tomorrow, when I should be outside enjoying what looks to be a near 60 degree day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Euro's going north...it sure aint going south and it'll line up with the gfs. Dt will get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I might get a decent snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Euro's going north...it sure aint going south and it'll line up with the gfs. Dt will get rain. DT just locked all his followers in Richmond area into expecting at least 6 inches of snow, cause storm would be arriving at sunset. Hard for me to say if he's right or wrong. I lived there for awhile, and that place is even harder to forecast then here. The elevation of Richmond is like 166 feet, about half of what it is at the National Cathedral in DC, not to mention farther south not far from multiple tidal (warmer) bodies of water. They cashed in though well in 2010 when we did, so it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 DT just locked all his followers in Richmond area into expecting at least 6 inches of snow, cause storm would be arriving at sunset. Hard for me to say if he's right or wrong. I lived there for awhile, and that place is even harder to forecast then here. The elevation of Richmond is like 166 feet, about half of what it is at the National Cathedral in DC, not to mention farther south not far from multiple tidal (warmer) bodies of water. They cashed in though well in 2010 when we did, so it's possible. He hasn't really locked anyone into 6"+ of snow...his most recent guess map had a general swath of 2-4" in the RIC area. You are correct about forecasting for this area...it is tough due to the lower elevation of the airport (~150') compared to my elevation 25-30 miles away (~300'). I don't see why, at least N & W of town, we can't overcome slightly warm 2m temps with the precip rates shown on the models. Our usually conservative NWSFO has me progged for 4"+ as of right now and ~3" for RIC proper. Historically, the r/s line generally sets up in the same spot with systems like this so we know what to expect. Large bust potential for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I am actually thinking about driving to Massanutten, but models have to juice up and come north tomorrow for me to consider it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This storm has been a difficult one for many areas, but for the northern edge it's been terrible. Probably not going to be making a map on the morning show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 57 people waiting on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coyoteweather Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Although this storm will not affect my area, I have made snow map on my blog for folks that are interested here in the Mid-Atlantic thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Although this storm will not affect my area, I have made snow map on my blog for folks that are interested here in the Mid-Atlantic thread. I was thinking about making one too. However, there are so many problems with this storm now. Is it going north or south? How are the boundary layer issues on the east coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coyoteweather Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I was thinking about making one too. However, there are so many problems with this storm now. Is it going north or south? How are the boundary layer issues on the east coast? Yea, it's still a little up in the air (get it!), but I decided that it was time to make one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I was thinking about making one too. However, there are so many problems with this storm now. Is it going north or south? How are the boundary layer issues on the east coast? Indeed this is a big concern. Despite the south trends... For the area that it looks to affect the Most at this time... you have to consider the low level warmth now. Need precip rates to be pretty hard. Plus ratios will not be high at all. 10 to 1 at best.. maybe lower... plus initial moisture question? How much is lost there in the form of liquid if any now? : p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The Euro's going to come north. We might even get .1" in DC. im good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 im good You will henceforth be my only source of "what model x will do" predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 You will henceforth be my only source of "what model x will do" predictions. not a bad move on the euro.. comes in late up here. we need back into the .25" range tho prob for much to measure in grass. we might be able to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 not a bad move on the euro.. comes in late up here. we need back into the .25" range tho prob for much to measure in grass. we might be able to get there. we're like 10 mi away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 not a bad move on the euro.. comes in late up here. we need back into the .25" range tho prob for much to measure in grass. we might be able to get there. Would you mind giving a quick QPF breakdown? DCA/BWI/CHO/RIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Would you mind giving a quick QPF breakdown? DCA/BWI/CHO/RIC? my increments are .05, 1, .25, .5, 1 and im not 100% sure i have CHO or RIC eyeballed correct so they're more general.. BWI = .08? DCA = .15? CHO = .5+ RIC = .5+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 my increments are .05, 1, .25, .5, 1 and im not 100% sure i have CHO or RIC eyeballed correct so they're more general.. BWI = .08? DCA = .15? CHO = .5+ RIC = .5+ Appreciate it...hope you guys get something measurable up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Another jump like this past one and we're back in the 2-4 range right? DC that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 Anybody else up? Cause uh..I'm seeing things on the model that shall not be named... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Anybody else up? Cause uh..I'm seeing things on the model that shall not be named... The nam is further north threw 30HR on Twisterdata vs 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5speed6 Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Anybody else up? Barely. And.. yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orangewx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Anybody else up? Cause uh..I'm seeing things on the model that shall not be named... say it randy...you know you want to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well it definitely moved north. It's noteworthy because it follows the 0z slight move to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.