40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I haven't been paying much attention but glancing through the GFS...and yeah I know all the caveats exist but it hasn't been bad...when I put the date out of 1/22 being the break to crap weather again....some of that came from 10-15 day GFS progs that had been consistently hinting in general we'd lose the cold/snow and it was right. To me, there's a real opportunity here at least as of right now for more than the 1 week of cold/snow that we've been getting. It's really the first time all winter we could say that there's some really favorable trends. Heck even if the GFS is off by the normal magnitude of cold... Anyway, I'm encouraged on the outstanding prospects for 6-10 days of cold/snow, and IMO the increasing prospect it may last considerably longer than that. EDIT: Not sure on the snow, if we get cold but get boned on the snow that'd be uncool. Ski areas are going to make their money in February. Therein lies the risk...I'd rather vault into spring, than edure the better part of a month of cold and dry. I think we will see our fair share of snow next month, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I would think we should have a 8-15 day window of decent snow potential. Not all of it may be white, but we may have the chance of anything from Clippers to Bomb. I'm pretty intrigued by this change. Nice snow event for I-95 and points nw on the euro a week from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I would think we should have a 8-15 day window of decent snow potential. Not all of it may be white, but we may have the chance of anything from Clippers to Bomb. I'm pretty intrigued by this change. Nice snow event for I-95 and points nw on the euro a week from now. Yeah..Euro has had run after run of a nice snow storm even to the coast for the Feb 2-3 timeframe next week. It's locking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Had to have been 2007. Wasn't there a good storm in like the first couple days of March a few years back then the rest of the month was high pressure? Last year we had a decent storm with 28-30" falling March 6-7. C'mon just one biggie this season, that's all I ask (we didn't get October). We did. Columbus Day Weekend and then 3 hours into the craziness of the October storm at the Pit. 33.5/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Looks like we go back to snow at 174. SNE gets absolutely destroyed. Looks like 992mb just E of Block Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I'm actually getting somewhat excited by this upcoming change. It should offer up some opportunities. I think the longevity will be partly based on MJO convection. If it can go into phase 8-1-2, then we may have a 2-3 week period at least. If not, then maybe 8-15 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL..sounds like my dream storm..a slow moving bomb that drops 1-2 feet on all of us. NOW I am excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I'm actually getting somewhat excited by this upcoming change. It should offer up some opportunities. I think the longevity will be partly based on MJO convection. If it can go into phase 8-1-2, then we may have a 2-3 week period at least. If not, then maybe 8-15 days or so. I'm planning on 8-15 days and more would be gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I would like to lock in the euro for next friday please... Its been consistantly showing this storm for a few runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL..sounds like my dream storm..a slow moving bomb that drops 1-2 feet on all of us. NOW I am excited LOL, not when it's over a week out. Weenies relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL..sounds like my dream storm..a slow moving bomb that drops 1-2 feet on all of us. NOW I am excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Well, count me among those who is as excited about the long range as I've been all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL, not when it's over a week out. Weenies relax. But the idea of something is there..I think there is a good chance of some sort of storm near the northeast next Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL, not when it's over a week out. Weenies relax. Weenies stiff and rigid ..21 bun salute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The euro seems pretty locked in on a solution similar to this...impressive signal for day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Weenies stiff and rigid ..21 bun salute Toss 'em low, toss 'em high, let 'er fly and caution's eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Weenies stiff and rigid ..21 bun salute The transition storm. When weenies transition from innes to outies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The transition storm. When weenies transition from innes to outies. LOL. It would be a much needed relief to everyone on the board. Even for those who have gotten snow, we'd love to be getting a whole lot more. 33.7/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The Canadian ensembles are pretty good looking in the long range too. What I did notice last night, was that the euro ensembles were quickest to try and break down the PNA signal just a bit. The GEFS and GEM ensembles did not want to do this. We'll have to watch this going forward. Either way, it looks pretty nice going into the 1st half of Feb..after the 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL. It would be a much needed relief to everyone on the board. Even for those who have gotten snow, we'd love to be getting a whole lot more. 33.7/33 Just once, let loose and allow it to all hang out....comment without alerting us of your temp and dew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL...if only we could get posts like these 48 hours out. The signal is strong for this storm. I'm already more worried about rain then ots and its 168 hours away. Looks like we go back to snow at 174. SNE gets absolutely destroyed. Looks like 992mb just E of Block Island Wow, it almost stalls east of the Cape at 180. 998mb..CCB for all of Southern New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The Canadian ensembles are pretty good looking in the long range too. What I did notice last night, was that the euro ensembles were quickest to try and break down the PNA signal just a bit. The GEFS and GEM ensembles did not want to do this. We'll have to watch this going forward. Either way, it looks pretty nice going into the 1st half of Feb..after the 3rd. I thought the EC ens looked the best... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 LOL...if only we could get posts like these 48 hours out. The signal is strong for this storm. I'm already more worried about rain then ots and its 168 hours away. There may be something nearby, but details are completely worthless at this stage. I'm more focused on trying to see how the long range will plan out. I'm not going to take whatever happens on Friday seriously, until Monday or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 The Canadian ensembles are pretty good looking in the long range too. What I did notice last night, was that the euro ensembles were quickest to try and break down the PNA signal just a bit. The GEFS and GEM ensembles did not want to do this. We'll have to watch this going forward. Either way, it looks pretty nice going into the 1st half of Feb..after the 3rd. Torch Mon-Wed next week ahead of fropa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 I thought the EC ens looked the best... They look great, but they were hinting at a -PNA trying to return quicker than the rest of the guidance, as of last night. GEFS looked the best last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Torch Mon-Wed next week ahead of fropa? MOnday and Tues will be chilly. Wednesday torch ahead of low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 There may be something nearby, but details are completely worthless at this stage. I'm more focused on trying to see how the long range will plan out. I'm not going to take whatever happens on Friday seriously, until Monday or so. Yeah, I realize that it's useless at this stage..but I can't really help but be interested. I was looking at the GEFS and almost every single member have the storm and its 7 days a way...pretty incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 They look great, but they were hinting at a -PNA trying to return quicker than the rest of the guidance, as of last night. GEFS looked the best last night. That is a change, then......the EURO was looking best...esp with regard to NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Just once, let loose and allow it to all hang out....comment without alerting us of your temp and dew. Touchy, touchy, touchy, Ray. lol Actually, I've cut down on doing it. But just for you, temp spiking. 33.8/33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Someone should fire up a new thread for this next threat to seperate it from this pattern change thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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