burgertime Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Let's see if we can keep the 18z mojo going and carry over to the 00z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Let's see if we can keep the 18z mojo going and carry over to the 00z tonight. Bring the mojo sir! 18Z GFS Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Pressure is on to recreate this...:-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Whewww! Glad that's over. Happy to move along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Maybe the Sun storm that happened yesterday will shake things up. When I posted about it Burger made an interesting comment that I thought had some credibility in that it probably takes days-weeks, for the affects of such an event to be felt by our atmosphere. However it seems that our atmosphere here on earth is already feeling it. Not sure if this storm, which was like the 7th strongest ever recorded will help our micro climate in the SE out Pos-Neg or neutral. If things really shake up differently all of the sudden then when we look back a month or two from now we can identify a new culprit. Here is the links, just some food for thought. SUN STORM HITS EARTH... DELTA Reroutes Flights... Dropped calls on cellphones... Spectacular northern lights... All found on Drudge Report: Pretty pic of the northern lights, which may be visible from even the SE tonight.Look North and preferably be north of your city limits when doing so. You might get lucky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2012 Author Share Posted January 25, 2012 Maybe the Sun storm that happened yesterday will shake things up. When I posted about it Burger made an interesting comment that I thought I had some credibilityin that it probably takes days-weeks, for the affects of such an event to be felt by our atmosphere. However it seems that our atmosphere here on earth is already feeling the efffects. Not sure if this storm, which was like the 7th strongest ever recorded will help our micro climate in the SE out POS?NEG or neutral. If things really shake up differently all of the sudden then when we look back a month or two from now we can identify a new culprit. Here is the links, just some food for thought. Just so you know my comment was made on zero science at all. From what I've been reading that explosion should effect nothing but the auras and nothing more...but who knows I guess? Anything that can help! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Maybe the Sun storm that happened yesterday will shake things up. When I posted about it Burger made an interesting comment that I thought had some credibility in that it probably takes days-weeks, for the affects of such an event to be felt by our atmosphere. However it seems that our atmosphere here on earth is already feeling it. Not sure if this storm, which was like the 7th strongest ever recorded will help our micro climate in the SE out Pos-Neg or neutral. If things really shake up differently all of the sudden then when we look back a month or two from now we can identify a new culprit. Here is the links, just some food for thought. SUN STORM HITS EARTH... DELTA Reroutes Flights... Dropped calls on cellphones... Spectacular northern lights... All found on Drudge Report: Pretty pic of the northern lights, which may be visible from even the SE tonight.Look North and preferably be north of your city limits when doing so. You might get lucky! I was thinking the same thing. I think there should be more studies out there about how the sun affects our weather patterns if any. There is just a huge amount of energy from the sun that you would think could affect our weather. just something interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Well Burger I hope you can give us all some luck and keep us in the game. I have been waiting to see some white stuff but I'll accept anything frozen. Good Luck to all the SE peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 At the very least, the GFS is advertising some shots of cold air, something we haven't had a lot of this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 At the very least, the GFS is advertising some shots of cold air, something we haven't had a lot of this year. Ya looks like starting on the 29th and through the rest of the period looks better than what we have had. Maybe even some mountain snow Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2012 Author Share Posted January 25, 2012 I won't be around for PBP tonight but hopefully someone will pick it up in my absence. Here is to hoping I wake up to this thread being a few pages long! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Looks like more heavy rain for the south at the end of the week. Widespread 1 inch totals according to 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 At first glance the 00z warmer than the 18z through 120hr...but the cold shot finally comes and looks colder for NC at 126hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Hopefully the LP in the NE will tighten up and continue the feed of colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 the cold air comes into the upper South Sunday and jets out Monday, as advertised a while now. There's nothing to keep cold air in here, the flow is so fast. Looking at the global picture at 144, theres a completely zonal flow from Japan to the east coast of the US, so halfway around the world is zonal...very unusual. Something is likely to amplify that won't be seen by the models around this time frame or shortly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 This 0z run looks almost identical to last night's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Still looks like there is a bit of snow to go around for the NC folks on this run but it's very light. Nothing like the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Still looks like there is a bit of snow to go around for the NC folks on this run but it's very light. Nothing like the 18z. low is faster and weaker this run...but hey, it's still there...and there's still snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 low is faster and weaker this run...but hey, it's still there...and there's still snow. yeah theres snow on about 4 days worth of frames there from 252 hours or so in NC, but only because of the deep east coast trough it has. Who knows yet where the ridge will build and the deep trough occurs. The vortex in Alaska backs up to east Siberia, so thats a little bit of change for a little while. Nothing really too exciting on the run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 low is faster and weaker this run...but hey, it's still there...and there's still snow. True. Better than nothing I suppose. If we got excited over seeing some potential flurries, I suppose a dusting or almost an inch of snow is worth something. Btw, here is the look of the accumulations at 276: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 If the GFS keeps some consistency on a deep eastern trough in that time frame for a few days, it's probably on to something, but we'd need it to be further west to blossom into a real storm threat for the East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Over 12" of rain (liquid equiv.) in western Canada coast this run. That area has had one heck of a wet time the last couple of months. It would be interesting to see the actual totals. I'm sure its over 20" already some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Saw this post in a mid-atlantic thread....this is in reference to the 12z Euro Ensembles day 10+....the GFS/GFS Ens are in general agreement with this Pacific pattern as well The PAC side on the Euro ensembles actually looks like one of those favorable El Nino pacific patterns...the AK low retrogrades WSW to a position well into the Aleutions and even SW of there pumping up the heights over AK and creating a -EPO/+PNA pattern...the temps are finally responding to this a bit more as the cold gets dumped into the eastern half of Canada...not western Canada like we had with the -EPO/-PNA pattern. NAO is kind of meh, but not a raging positive...it has some higher heights trying to build into Greenland from the east...but they never really form into a big block...but that is certainly better than having a monster vortex there. The NAO is usually the hardest thing on the models...the west based block it was trying to show for the end of this month earlier never really formed...more of a weak high anomaly near Baffin Island...which is better than nothing, but an actual block would have been nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 0Z Doc LR meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 2011/2012 Winter...meh The last thing I need is more rain later this week. It's been too soggy outdoors for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 2011/2012 Winter...meh The last thing I need is more rain later this week. It's been too soggy outdoors for a while now. No kidding. I have not seen it rain this much in two months ever! It rains every couple of days. Ponds,rivers,streams,and lakes are all full. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 No kidding. I have not seen it rain this much in two months ever! It rains every couple of days. Ponds,rivers,streams,and lakes are all full. The rest of NC will take any rain it can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 The rest of NC will take any rain it can get. Ya i no there is a lot of places that have not seen that much rain at all. Sometimes it seems like the mountains just hog all the moisture and everyone else gets leftovers. Hopefully that can change as we go further into winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 If the GFS keeps some consistency on a deep eastern trough in that time frame for a few days, it's probably on to something, but we'd need it to be further west to blossom into a real storm threat for the East Coast. Sorry Robert....had to correct your post....it just fits this winter. LOL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 25, 2012 Share Posted January 25, 2012 Sorry Robert....had to correct your post....it just fits this winter. LOL... I will take Roberts version of that quote and a FEB 2004 redux please! LOL! Gotta laugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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