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First Winter Storm Threat for New England 2011/12 - II


Baroclinic Zone

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GFS definitely appears quite a bit colder, at least here in northern CT. Still above freezing at the sfc, however, the warm layer is quite shallow. Unfortunately past 48 HR the GFS on twisterdata goes in 6-HR intervals so I'd assume by 51 HR it would be even colder. Still though as long as precip rate is strong I think on the GFS BDL could be mixing with snow or perhaps all snow.

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That little se tick is better for you. The lift is good, but the DS is pushed south a tiny bit too which buys you time.

I'm probably going to need every inch of the 900-something feet of winter hill has to offer in this. But its starting to look a little more favorable that I could actually get more than an inch...maybe 2 or 3" could happen in this. I'd still like to be a tad north in N ORH county or near Socks at 1300 feet...but this could be decent.

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