Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Thunderstorm just moved through Toronto, and the forecast is for cooler, less humid conditions tomorrow, thankfully. The humidity has been brutal for the past few days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Lake Erie is 76 steamy degrees today ,which has only ever happened one other time in record keeping history (1973) for lake erie. Records date back over 80 years so this is certainly impressive. Looking good for lake effect season once we can bring down the colder air from up north I'm hoping some of the snowsqualls off Lake Huron and Georgian Bay make it as far south as markham, Ontario this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I'm hoping some of the snowsqualls off Lake Huron and Georgian Bay make it as far south as markham, Ontario this winter. ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 ??? You didn't see my post in another thread? I have moved to Toronto for school, although I will still be visiting Ottawa from time to time, and plan to continue posting here in the upstate forum. I figure since people from Buffalo post here, I can too. It is my hope that you will include Toronto and Markham on your snow forecasts this upcoming winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I was watching the tropical stuff and not even paying attention to the severe chances here in our area.... 000 NOUS41 KALY 050103 PNSALY NYZ047>053-051315- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 903 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO CONDUCT STORM SURVEY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY WILL CONDUCT A STORM SURVEY TOMORROW TO INVESTIGATE PATH AND INTENSITY OF A POSSIBLE TORNADO IN MONTGOMERY AND SCHENECTADY COUNTIES. THERE IS VIDEO EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONDUCT THE SURVEY TOMORROW TO VERIFY THE TORNADO...DAMAGE...PATH...AND INTENSITY. $$ OKEEFE I was at a party and miss all the excitement....I didn't know about it until I got home and had a message from Andy...... :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I was watching the tropical stuff and not even paying attention to the severe chances here in our area.... 000 NOUS41 KALY 050103 PNSALY NYZ047>053-051315- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 903 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO CONDUCT STORM SURVEY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY WILL CONDUCT A STORM SURVEY TOMORROW TO INVESTIGATE PATH AND INTENSITY OF A POSSIBLE TORNADO IN MONTGOMERY AND SCHENECTADY COUNTIES. THERE IS VIDEO EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONDUCT THE SURVEY TOMORROW TO VERIFY THE TORNADO...DAMAGE...PATH...AND INTENSITY. $ OKEEFE I was doing the same thing Rick. I've been doing analysis of Katia, Lee, and Irene last week......I knew some of the storms would be strong to severe.....But, I was surprised when I got home tonight and saw the intensity of the storms earlier in the Mohawk Valley and Capital District. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Did anyone else notice the first legit lake enhanced precipitation on the Buffalo radar this afternoon? Lake Ontario is definitely tossing in some moisture and instability on a NW flow, which is injecting itself in the synoptic mid level precip that is advecting NE. It has brought some locally intense downpours to the Western sections of Monroe county. Pretty awesome meso-scale interaction if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 Very autumnal feel to the day here in southern Ontario. Brisk north wind, overcast skies. Winter is coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 Very autumnal feel to the day here in southern Ontario. Brisk north wind, overcast skies. Winter is coming! Totally agree its a chilly 59 degrees here in Amherst with a decent breeze and cloudy with a few sprinkes. Definitly feels like fall today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I didnt know if i should post this here or in the Irene thread...but does anyone know how High Falls Gorge and Ausable Chasm made out with flooding damage? Heading up to lake placid at least twice in the next couple months....just trying to get an idea of how bad the area is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 I didnt know if i should post this here or in the Irene thread...but does anyone know how High Falls Gorge and Ausable Chasm made out with flooding damage? Heading up to lake placid at least twice in the next couple months....just trying to get an idea of how bad the area is. It doesn't look good at High Falls Gorge: http://www.adirondackdailyenterprise.com/page/content.detail/id/526354/Irene-blasted-famed-attractions-in-Wilmington.html?nav=5227 Ausable Chasm seems to be ok: http://www.ausablechasm.com/irene.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 5, 2011 Author Share Posted September 5, 2011 You can see the lake effect coming in off Lake Ontario from Niagara county eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Another nice blob of convection just settled over the ROC area.....The lakes are steaming. This could be a nice fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 Also a bit of lake enhancement here off Lake Cayuga from the northwest flow affecting the eastern slopes of Ithaca with a bit of heavier rainfall especially around midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 6, 2011 Author Share Posted September 6, 2011 Pretty nice lake effect rain bands off Lake Ontario with a NE flow. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BUF&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted September 6, 2011 Share Posted September 6, 2011 http://wx4cast.blogspot.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 Now this is what I call an ideal Toronto December. Agincourt is a suburban region of Toronto. http://www.climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/dailydata_e.html?timeframe=2&Prov=ON&StationID=5052&dlyRange=1895-11-01|1968-01-31&Year=1944&Month=12&Day=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 7, 2011 Author Share Posted September 7, 2011 Now this is what I call an ideal Toronto December. Agincourt is a suburban region of Toronto. http://www.climate.w...&Month=12&Day=1 Everyday with below average temps and almost 4 feet of snow in 1 month for Toronto?!? Never thought that could happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 Heavy rain this morning here in Ithaca and 58F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 Everyday with below average temps and almost 4 feet of snow in 1 month for Toronto?!? Never thought that could happen lol. You should take a look at the stats for the rest of that winter. Toronto almost matched Ottawa in snowfall that winter. It followed a really hot summer too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Oneida County is a mess. States of emergency in Whitesboro and Utica. Roads flooded everywhere. Over 3" so far & counting here. http://www.uticaod.com/breaking/x1413015917/Flash-flood-warning-Chenango-Cortland-and-Otsego-counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Oneida County is a mess. States of emergency in Whitesboro and Utica. Roads flooded everywhere. Over 3" so far & counting here. http://www.uticaod.c...Otsego-counties Binghamton evacuating 10,000 people. But at least in this thread we know about lake effect rain and some winter month in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 BGM is approaching Historic flooding on the Susquehanna River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 BGM is approaching Historic flooding on the Susquehanna River I just drove over the Susquehenna on my way to work in Cooperstown. Scary. The river is raging far our of its banks. Higher than I can remember even with spring runoff flooding. Points downriver are going to see some real ugliness as today goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 I just drove over the Susquehenna on my way to work in Cooperstown. Scary. The river is raging far our of its banks. Higher than I can remember even with spring runoff flooding. Points downriver are going to see some real ugliness as today goes on. they are talking it will top the 2006 floods there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 8, 2011 Author Share Posted September 8, 2011 The GFS has been very consistent in bringing down some cold (for september standards) air. The 18z, 00z, and 06z models all show 850mb temps droping below 0c even as low as -3c. Now while its still pretty far out, its not that far out (150hr). If these temperatures verified there would be plenty of lake effect rain with temps in the 40s and 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 Now this is what I call an ideal Toronto December. Agincourt is a suburban region of Toronto. http://www.climate.w...&Month=12&Day=1 that's the neighborhood where i lived in scarborough when i worked up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 they are talking it will top the 2006 floods there. 2006, i just looked at the streamflows real quick. one of them were saying we'd be approaching the '36 flood levels, binghamton is about to top the floodwall, most of the gauges downstream of binghamton are looking at near-record or record-breaking streamflows to either 1936 levels or agnes levels. the dikes and dams better hold this time, or we're going to have a replay of one of the worst disasters in the history of the susquehanna river valley. i have more than a few folks and friends back in the wilkes-barre-scranton area, and i have seen the pics from agnes. not sure they can recover this time like they did last time, since we don't have a congressman with the pull like dan flood did. btw, hwy 87 in montoursville is closed after a bridge collapse over loyalsock creek, and i-80 is closed i would imagine from west of coyngham to maybe near bloomsburg/buckhorn, and we may have some mudslides/rockslides on i-81, both major highways for trade and travel (please confirm locally, but that's my guess). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 BNGN6 hasn't updated since 15:45 UTC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 BNGN6 hasn't updated since 15:45 UTC. just got a report from a fb friend in vestal. apparently according to one of the local mets in binghamton, the water is spilling over the floodwalls in downtown as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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