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Severe threat 7/6/11 obs/disc


free_man

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20110706_1731_ALB_vis.jpg

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 605

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

130 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 605 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NHC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-019-070100-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0605.110706T1730Z-110707T0100Z/

NH

. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BELKNAP CARROLL CHESHIRE

COOS GRAFTON HILLSBOROUGH

MERRIMACK SULLIVAN

$$

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning for here...storm is moving at 60mph so there's gotta be some wind with this.

65-70dbz with this storm currently... must be some hail with it because radar is showing up to 1.7" of liquid precip in the last hour along the track of this storm. Probably contaminated by hail.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT

230 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

LAMOILLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...

NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VERMONT...

SOUTHERN GRAND ISLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...

NORTHEASTERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...

EAST CENTRAL CLINTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...

NORTHERN CHITTENDEN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...

SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT.

* AT 229 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS NEAR SAND BAR

STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...

WESTFORD...MILTON...CAMBRIDGE...JEFFERSONVILLE...HYDE PARK...

MORRISVILLE...WOLCOTT...ELMORE...

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND

LIGHTNING.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7

9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET TO SAFETY IMMEDIATELY WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. WINDS

MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES AND DAMAGE BUILDINGS. LARGE HAIL

MAY CAUSE INJURY AND DAMAGE PROPERTY.

BOATERS ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR NOW! STRONG WINDS

WILL CAUSE HIGHER WAVES AND SUDDEN WIND SHIFTS MAY OVERTURN BOATS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM WEDNESDAY

EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT.

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Mid level dry air, coupled with the high T/Td spreads and steep low level lapse rates should yield pretty good wind gusts (especially with any cells that can organize cold pools).

Yeah...12z NAM has DCAPEs running >1000j/kg up here on the 21z forecast soundings.
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You might be in line for that cell near ALB if it hold together...and it does look like it is getting stronger...nice!

Too far north for me I'm afraid

It looks like its going north of.me too which sucks.. if it strengthens, it could turn more south as most strong storms tend to do

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Nice flare up of the updraft. Essentially tail end charlie, with a clean inflow. 60 dBZ up to 31kft, I would venture there are golf balls falling with that cell.

Radar looks weird.. looks like the stuff in northern VT is coming southeast and the stuff in Albany is coming north east

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Radar looks weird.. looks like the stuff in northern VT is coming southeast and the stuff in Albany is coming north east

Things should be moving generally ENE, while that cell in central Vermont has some supercellular characteristics and will move right of mean flow.

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There's some big hail in that SE Addison county cell in VT right now.

Yea that is a cold core.. I don't wanna jinx it but it looks like it's bee lining for us

Actually the entire line seems to have strengthened.. 90/60 here.. dew raised 2 degree in past hour.. sun is still shining here too.. usually by now it's clouded up with storms in wnh already

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So far quite a bit of severe reports in the BTV CWA... including 1.00" hail in downtown Burlington. Gusts here were below severe thresholds but still packed enough punch to down a few trees around town (gusts to 50mph). Fire department was real busy with lightning strikes. Power out for 75 minutes.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
435 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
           ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PAUL SMITHS             44.44N  74.25W
07/06/2011                   FRANKLIN           NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

           TREES DOWN ON PROPANE TANK

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W PLATTSBURGH         44.70N  73.47W
07/06/2011                   CLINTON            NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

           TREES POWERLINES DOWN ON ROUTE 3 AND ALONG TOM MILLER
           RD

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERU                    44.58N  73.53W
07/06/2011                   CLINTON            NY   BROADCAST MEDIA

           TREES DOWN ACROSS RT 22B

0230 PM     HAIL             GEORGIA CENTER          44.73N  73.12W
07/06/2011  E0.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           VT   PUBLIC

0240 PM     HAIL             2 E SAVAGE ISLAND       44.69N  73.21W
07/06/2011  M1.00 INCH       CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON A CAR... 1 INCH HAIL
           MEASURED

0240 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SAVAGE ISLAND       44.69N  73.21W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON A CAR... 1 INCH HAIL
           MEASURED

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S MILTON              44.61N  73.13W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES ON ROUTE 7

0250 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLCHESTER              44.54N  73.15W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           TREES DOWN ALONG WATKINS ROAD

0251 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FAIRFAX                 44.67N  73.01W
07/06/2011                   FRANKLIN           VT   PUBLIC

           TREES DOWN AND NICKEL-SIZED HAIL

0255 PM     HAIL             2 NW BURLINGTON         44.50N  73.23W
07/06/2011  M1.00 INCH       CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILTON                  44.62N  73.13W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN- EAST ROAD IMPASSABLE

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE MILTON            44.58N  73.10W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND ROOF SILO BLOWN OFF ALONG
           ROLLING IRISH ROAD

0256 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILTON                  44.62N  73.13W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           10 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN

0256 PM     HAIL             BURLINGTON              44.48N  73.21W
07/06/2011  E1.00 INCH       CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           QUARTER-SIZED HAIL ON RIVERSIDE AVENUE

0258 PM     HAIL             BURLINGTON              44.48N  73.21W
07/06/2011  E1.00 INCH       CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           QUARTER-SIZED HAIL ON NORTH AVENUE

0305 PM     HAIL             WINOOSKI                44.49N  73.19W
07/06/2011  E0.75 INCH       CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           DIME-SIZED HAIL

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE SHELBURNE POINT    44.42N  73.21W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED ALONG MARTINDALE ROAD

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHELBURNE               44.38N  73.23W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT SHELBURNE

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ESSEX CENTER            44.51N  73.06W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   NWS EMPLOYEE

           NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE DAMAGE

0315 PM     LIGHTNING        ESSEX CENTER            44.51N  73.06W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           CHURCH IN ESSEX STRUCK BY LIGHTNING

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S HINESBURG           44.31N  73.11W
07/06/2011                   CHITTENDEN         VT   PUBLIC

           MANY TREES AS LARGE AS 12 INCHES DOWN BETWEEN MONKTON
           AND HINESBURG

0330 PM     TSTM WND GST     CORNWALL                43.96N  73.21W
07/06/2011  E60 MPH          ADDISON            VT   PUBLIC

           3 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MORRISVILLE             44.56N  72.60W
07/06/2011                   LAMOILLE           VT   PUBLIC

           TREES AND SIGNS DOWN THROUGHOUT MORRISVILLE

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S MIDDLEBURY          43.97N  73.17W
07/06/2011                   ADDISON            VT   PUBLIC

           TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0340 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERBURY               44.34N  72.75W
07/06/2011                   WASHINGTON         VT   PUBLIC

           TREE DOWN OVER RAILROAD TRACKS

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STOWE                   44.47N  72.69W
07/06/2011                   LAMOILLE           VT   PUBLIC

           LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING SKY ACRES ROAD

0348 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE BARTON            44.76N  72.12W
07/06/2011                   ORLEANS            VT   PUBLIC

           SMALL TREES DOWN

0355 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSW PUTNAMVILLE       44.31N  72.58W
07/06/2011                   WASHINGTON         VT   PUBLIC

           TREE DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF CULVER HILL ROAD AND
           ROUTE 12

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One sick ass line of storms going on...lots of wind reports too. Pretty unstable throughout the area, the best shear though is along northern sections. Kind of surprised to see the watch this far south but we'll see if that line holds at all or if outflow can spark anything off. Might have a mid/upper level cap down here looking at things.

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One sick ass line of storms going on...lots of wind reports too. Pretty unstable throughout the area, the best shear though is along northern sections. Kind of surprised to see the watch this far south but we'll see if that line holds at all or if outflow can spark anything off. Might have a mid/upper level cap down here looking at things.

God that area to the west of concord, nh is going to screw me in this. Dammit. I thought I had a good shot at storms. Then again, I am in MHT

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Center Harbor nailed again. I swear the Center Harbor/Sandwich area is an absolute storm magnet.

Yeah they seem to always do well. I had a lucky streak from 06-09, but the last couple years have been relative duds.

I'm not sure there will be much severe around my area, but hopefully one of those right moving cells, that keep forming/dissipating with a few frames, comes through here.

At the least the rain and ocnl TS will be nice.

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