EasternUSWX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Next week Mainly Wednesday on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Next week Mainly Wednesday on. That has a very July 1995 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 What a gorgeous evening on Memorial Lake. Bass were really biting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 14, 2011 Share Posted July 14, 2011 Come join us are are new FB page http://www.facebook.com/pages/AnalystwxCast-l-Pennsylvania/176590195737494 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 The period Thursday through Saturday next week will be a very memorable heat wave if the core of that ridge gets over us like the Euro has been showing consistently and now the other models are showing as well. It has been bone dry here for over a month and the grass is a crunchy brown. We are already seeing impressive heating and huge diurnal ranges. Will be interesting to see how hot it can get when you throw 850s that could reach 23-25 degrees C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 The period Thursday through Saturday next week will be a very memorable heat wave if the core of that ridge gets over us like the Euro has been showing consistently and now the other models are showing as well. It has been bone dry here for over a month and the grass is a crunchy brown. We are already seeing impressive heating and huge diurnal ranges. Will be interesting to see how hot it can get when you throw 850s that could reach 23-25 degrees C. I saw that. I am really keeping my fingers crossed for rain Sunday (not a great chance) and Tuesday (somewhat better chance) before this hits. Notsomuch for me, I can easily water via a pump we run from a creek in my neighbor's yard for our garden and basically irrigate, but area farmers have to be concerned. Any idea on rain in the longer term? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I saw that. I am really keeping my fingers crossed for rain Sunday (not a great chance) and Tuesday (somewhat better chance) before this hits. Notsomuch for me, I can easily water via a pump we run from a creek in my neighbor's yard for our garden and basically irrigate, but area farmers have to be concerned. Any idea on rain in the longer term? What is rain? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I really hope this sets us up for another epic winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I really hope this sets us up for another epic winter. Winter can't come soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSU8315 Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 I saw that. I am really keeping my fingers crossed for rain Sunday (not a great chance) and Tuesday (somewhat better chance) before this hits. Notsomuch for me, I can easily water via a pump we run from a creek in my neighbor's yard for our garden and basically irrigate, but area farmers have to be concerned. Any idea on rain in the longer term? I'll be surprised if we see much of anything Sunday. Heights are around 590, so we should be pretty well capped. The feature Monday night/Tuesday is not all that impressive, but it's our best chance for the next 7-10 days. A lot of the fronts passing through recently have not produced a whole lot, and the fact that this front may come through at night won't help our rain chances. Past 10 days, our rain chances should improve as the ridge gradually retreats back west. That being said, it can be hard to come out of these dry patterns this time of year because the lack of moisture can hinder thunderstorm development. Best case scenario would be for the ridge to sit in a perfect spot over the Plains so we get a few MCSs to come overtop of the ridge into PA. In a pattern like this, I would rather have something form elsewhere and try to move in to PA rather than trying to form over us. I'm not saying stuff can't form over a dry ground, but the lower dew points caused by the dry ground can have an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 15, 2011 Share Posted July 15, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I'll be surprised if we see much of anything Sunday. Heights are around 590, so we should be pretty well capped. The feature Monday night/Tuesday is not all that impressive, but it's our best chance for the next 7-10 days. A lot of the fronts passing through recently have not produced a whole lot, and the fact that this front may come through at night won't help our rain chances. Past 10 days, our rain chances should improve as the ridge gradually retreats back west. That being said, it can be hard to come out of these dry patterns this time of year because the lack of moisture can hinder thunderstorm development. Best case scenario would be for the ridge to sit in a perfect spot over the Plains so we get a few MCSs to come overtop of the ridge into PA. In a pattern like this, I would rather have something form elsewhere and try to move in to PA rather than trying to form over us. I'm not saying stuff can't form over a dry ground, but the lower dew points caused by the dry ground can have an impact. Thank you for your post, I appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I'm really hoping this doesn't happen . A lot of places might have a chance to set record warm month averages for July if this heatwave happens to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I've never seen a 90% on the CPC maps before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 I've never seen a 90% on the CPC maps before. Me either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted July 16, 2011 Share Posted July 16, 2011 drought developing in Pennsylvania Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 0Z GFS has me hitting 100 at least 3 times. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Just in case some folks aren't aware of this, CTP has a new Facebook page. https://www.facebook...tateCollege.gov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 Just in case some folks aren't aware of this, CTP has a new Facebook page. https://www.facebook...tateCollege.gov Welcome to 2007, CTP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 80 at 1030am. Here we go. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 80 at 1030am. Here we go. Lol Comfy, for July! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 What a week this could be for Central PA. Going from mid 80s and very low DPs to near the century mark! I think thus far we have been rather lucky in dodging extended heat, while most of the country just bakes. Admittedly this is mid-late July so it's about time we get out heat. For anyone interested you can track the heat real time via our state mesonet. Link to mesonet: http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?state=PA On the left side you will see a panel labeled 'Networks' . Hit the drop down menu, select 'All Networks' and then click the red button below to 'Map It'. Enjoy! :sunny: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 17, 2011 Share Posted July 17, 2011 My parents have hit 112 four times this summer, hit 100 29 already. They are in East Texas. I grew up with that heat, so bring on the wimpy stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 CTP hints at an potentially interesting afternoon/eve for some of us. I just want the rain: NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...MID/HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE WRN HALF OF THE AREA WILL LIKELYDISSIPATE AS IT TRIES TO DROP FURTHER SOUTHWARD AND NO SOURCECONVECTION RENEWS THE UPGLID/MSTR. THE TEMPS WILL GET HOT...BUTCOULD STAY COOLER THAN YESTERDAY IN THE NRN TIER AS THE EARLYARRIVAL OF CLOUDS AND PERHAPS LIGHT PRECIP OCCURS LATER THISMORNING.STRONG NW FLOW WILL INCREASE THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AS A JET STREAKMOVES ESE FROM CENTRAL CANADA TODAY. THE INCREASE IN SHEAR AND THEDIRUNAL HEAT WILL COMBINE TO MAKE A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THISAFTERNOON AND EVENING.ANY STORMS LEFT AROUND MIDNIGHT WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE ANDINTENSITY THROUGH THE NIGHT...BUT COULD LINGER ALL NIGHT DEPENDINGON UPSTREAM CONVECTION THAT WOULD DEVELOP COINCIDENT WITHCONVECTION OVER OUR AREA TODAY. EXPECT THAT MOST WILL BE OFF TOTHE SOUTH BY TUESDAY MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW. SPC SLIGHTRISK CONTINUES AND THEY CONTINUE TO MENTION SUPERCELLS AREPOSSIBLE...WITH A LOW BUT PRESENT THREAT FOR TORNADOES. MAINCONVECTIVE MODE WILL BE BOWING SEGMENTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Up to 86F. Philly area touching 90F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 90.1° currently. Looks like starting yesterday we may be in a 7-8+ day heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 90.1° currently. Looks like starting yesterday we may be in a 7-8+ day heatwave. It's up to 84 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Interesting CTP late morning update: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...THE TEMPS WILL GET HOT THIS AFTN...AND APPEAR ON TRACK. CONVECTIVESHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING ON SHORE NEAR KERI...AND AREEXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BLOSSOM AS THEY HIT THE WARMER LAND ANDDEVELOP CAPES IN THE >1000J/KG RANGE.STRONG NW FLOW WILL INCREASE THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AS A JET STREAKMOVES ESE FROM CENTRAL CANADA TODAY. THE INCREASE IN SHEAR AND THEDIURNAL HEAT WILL COMBINE TO MAKE A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THISAFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPC SLIGHT RISK CONTINUES AND THEY CONTINUETO MENTION SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH A LOW BUT PRESENT THREATFOR TORNADOES AS LCLS ARE LOW ATTM. LLVL SHEAR APPEARS TO BEINCREASING - KUNV GUSTING A BIT NOW OUT OF THE WSW AND BACKINGSEEN OVER NWRN PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 18, 2011 Share Posted July 18, 2011 Definitely feeling the increased humidity today. 88/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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